Saturday is a massive day for MLB games, with matchups sprinkled all across the day. So many games on tap means there's no shortage of MLB betting opportunities. One of the most popular MLB types is home run picks for MLB player props. After reviewing every game on the docket, we've selected two players for our best home run bets today, and we're backing two National League All-Star sluggers who are off to great starts in 2026.
For even more MLB expert picks and predictions, make sure you see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
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Best home run picks for Saturday, May 23
- Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies (+440)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+375)
Bryce Harper, Phillies (+440, FanDuel)
The Guardians have been solid in the pitching department, ranking in the top 10 in team ERA, but they've also allowed the eighth-most home runs in baseball. Saturday's starter Slade Cecconi is a big reason why, as he's allowed nine homers in 10 starts across 52 1/3 innings this year. That leads to a great matchup for star Phillies sluggers like Harper, who has swatted 12 home runs this year, with nine coming off right-handed pitching. Harper has also homered six times in May, so he's clearly in a good place with his swing. He's been a big reason for the Phillies' recent resurgence, and he has a good opportunity to leave the yard on Saturday against a home run-prone starter and team in Cecconi and the Guardians.
Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks (+375, BetMGM)
Saturday presents a fantastic matchup for Carroll against the Rockies. While we'd prefer if the game was played at Coors Field, Carroll has hit four of his seven home runs at home this season. The Rockies are set to start Michael Lorenzen, who owns a 7.03 ERA. Lorenzen's last start was against Arizona, and he allowed six runs in 4 2/3 innings along with two home runs -- one of which was by Carroll, the second of his career off Lorenzen. Carroll also homered later in the game against Colorado's suspect bullpen. Lorenzen has given up seven of his nine home runs this year to lefties, and they have a 1.208 OPS against the veteran right-hander. Six of Carroll's seven homers this season have come off right-handers. Carroll is off to a fantastic start in 2026, and he's been especially hot of late. Saturday is a great matchup for the talented young outfielder.
