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USATSI

The Texas State Bobcats (2-0) are hosting the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0) in a non-conference matchup on Thursday. This is the first time these universities will play on the football field. Arizona State recently left the Pac-12 and decided to join the Big 12 in 2024. Both teams have been explosive offensively in the early going this season. Texas State is averaging 41.5 points per game, while the Sun Devils are putting up 39 points per contest.

Kickoff from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Sun Devils are 1-point favorites in the latest Arizona State vs. Texas State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 60.5. Before making any Texas State vs. Arizona State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Arizona State vs. Texas State and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds on the spread, money line and over/under for Texas State vs. Arizona State:

  • Arizona State vs. Texas State spread: Sun Devils -1
  • Arizona State vs. Texas State over/under: 60.5 points 
  • Arizona State vs. Texas State money line: Sun Devils -111, Bobcats -109
  • ASU: 2-0 ATS this season 
  • TXST: 1-1 ATS this season 
  • Arizona State vs. Texas State picks: See picks here

Why Texas State can cover

Texas State has a nice duo at tailback which keeps defenses on their toes. Two guys have 130-plus rushing yards on the season. Junior running back Ismail Mahdi uses his light feet and awareness to find the open hole. He's first on the team with 182 rushing yards on 37 carries with one score. On Aug. 31 versus Lamar, the Texas native had 28 carries for 156 yards. 

Junior running back Lincoln Pare is a bruising force in the backfield. Pare bounces off contact and has a knack for falling forward. The Tennesee native has racked up 17 rushes for 133 yards and two touchdowns. Senior receiver Joey Hobert provides the Bobcats with another explosive playmaker. He has 10 receptions for 143 yards and two touchdowns. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why Arizona State can cover

The Sun Devils have been able to establish the run in both of their wins. Arizona State is fifth in the Big 12 in total offense (457), and scoring offense (39) but second in run offense (293.5). Freshman Sam Leavitt is a dual-threat quarterback. The Oregon native has compiled 327 passing yards, 115 rushing yards and four total touchdowns in 2024.

Senior running back Cam Skattebo is the top option in the backfield. Skattebo has a great feel for the game and uses his lateral quickness to glide upfield. The California native is leading the Big 12 in rushing yards (311) and rushing yards per game (155.5). Additionally, he averages 7.1 yards per carry with one score. In his last outing, Skattebo tallied 262 rushing yards. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Arizona State vs. Texas State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 55 points. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arizona State vs. Texas State, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.