The No. 12 Boise State Broncos will host the Nevada Wolf Pack in Mountain West action on Saturday and the stakes will be especially high for one sides. The Broncos (7-1) are on a potential path to the College Football Playoff with the Group of Five now guaranteed one entry into the 12-team tournament. Nevada (3-7), meanwhile, would love to play spoiler without the possibility of making a bowl game. So can Ashton Jeanty and Boise State continue their march toward the playoff, or will Nevada find a way to pull off the upset to redefine its season?
Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Ida. The Broncos are favored by 24 points in the latest Boise State vs. Nevada odds and the over/under is 60.5 points. Before entering any Nevada vs. Boise State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Nevada vs. Boise State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Boise State vs. Nevada game:
- Boise State vs. Nevada spread: Boise State -24
- Boise State vs. Nevada over/under: 60.5 points
- Boise State vs. Nevada money line: Boise State -2941, Nevada +1246
- Boise State vs. Nevada picks: See picks here
- Boise State vs. Nevada streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Boise State can cover
Jeanty was already widely regarded as one of the best running backs in America but he's elevated his game even further and is now among the favorites to win the Heisman Trophy on a team with CFP aspirations. Jeanty has rushed for 1,525 yards and accounted for 21 total touchdowns over the first eight games of the season and he's also scored multiple touchdowns in six of eight games.
However, the Broncos are more than just their superstar running back. Quarterback Maddux Madsen leads the Mountain West in touchdown passes (17), yards per attempt (8.0) and passer rating (153.9). Meanwhile, the Boise State defense has four players on its roster with at least 4.5 sacks and is holding opponents to just 300.7 yards per game over its last three outings. See which team to pick here.
Why Nevada can cover
The Wolf Pack don't have a shot at finishing at .500 or better with three more games on the schedule, but they have had a penchant for outperforming oddsmaker expectations against Boise State in recent years. Nevada has covered in seven of its last 10 head-to-head meetings with the Broncos, including an outright upset as 3.5-point underdogs the last time it visited Albertsons Stadium.
Nevada has held its last three opponents under 400 yards of total offense and actually outgained Colorado State 441-327 in a 38-21 loss. Quarterback Brendon Lewis, Savion Red and Patrick Garwo give the Wolf Pack a dynamic three-headed rushing attack that has combined for nearly 1,600 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns on the season. See which team to pick here.
How to make Boise State vs. Nevada picks
The model has simulated Nevada vs. Boise State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nevada vs. Boise State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Boise State vs. Nevada spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
