Mountain West foes face off in a highly-anticipated showdown with College Football Playoff implications as the UNLV Rebels (6-1, 2-0) host the No. 17 Boise State Broncos (5-1, 2-0) on Friday. The visiting Broncos are coming out of their bye week on a four-game winning streak and look to stay hot behind the play of Heisman Trophy hopeful Ashton Jeanty. They visit a UNLV side that has won two straight and is 2-1 at home.
Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, NV, is 10:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Broncos are 3.5-point favorites in the latest UNLV vs. Boise State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 64.5, which is up significantly since opening at 59.5. Before making any Boise State vs. UNLV picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks and it is 14-7 on top-rated picks over the past four weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it on betting sites has seen strong returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on UNLV vs. Boise State and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football betting lines and trends for Boise State vs. UNLV.
- UNLV vs. Boise State spread: Broncos -3.5
- UNLV vs. Boise State over/under: 64.5 points
- UNLV vs. Boise State money line: Boise State -168, UNLV +139
- UNLV: 5-2-0 ATS this season
- BOISE: 3-2-1 ATS this season
- UNLV vs. Boise State picks: See picks here
- UNLV vs. Boise State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Boise State can cover
The Broncos are 2-0-1 against the spread over their last three games and have gone 2-1 on the road for the season. Their lone road loss was a narrow 37-34 decision against the Oregon Ducks, where Jeanty went off for three touchdowns. Boise State has won four straight games since then by at least 21 points.
Boise State has also hit the Over in five out of six games this season, in part because of what Jeanty brings to the table. The superstar running back and potential first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft has 126 carries for 1,248 yards and 17 touchdowns this season, averaging 9.2 yards per carry against in-conference opponents. When these teams last met in 2023, Jeanty had 21 carries for 153 yards and one touchdown in a 44-20 road win. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why UNLV can cover
The Rebels have the first top-45 rush defense nationally that the Broncos have faced this season, which they will use to slow Jeanty down. UNLV's rush defense leads the Mountain West and allows just 104.4 average yards per game over seven overall games this season. That will add pressure to Boise State quarterback Maddux Madsen, who has a 58.3 completion percentage in away games this season.
UNLV's offense has also been rolling since Hajj-Malik Williams took over under center, and has 838 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and just two interceptions so far this season. Wide receiver Ricky White has been a player to watch since Williams became the regular starter. The wideout has 36 catches for 488 receiving yards in his last four games. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make UNLV vs. Boise State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 65 combined points. It also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Boise State vs. UNLV, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.
