The No. 8 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) will try to avoid a disappointing first-round exit from the 2024 College Football Playoff when they host the No. 9 seed Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) on Saturday night. Ohio State had its five-game winning streak snapped in a 13-10 loss to Michigan in its regular-season finale, despite entering as a 20.5-point favorite. Tennessee bounced back from a loss to Georgia with wins over UTEP and Vanderbilt to clinch an at-large bid in the field. The winner of this game will face No. 1 seed Oregon in the quarterfinals in Pasadena. Tennessee was 7-5 against the spread this season, while Ohio State was 6-6 ATS.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET on Saturday at Ohio Stadium. After opening at -7.5, Ohio State is now favored by 7 points in the latest Ohio State vs. Tennessee odds, while the over/under is 47 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before locking in any Tennessee vs. Ohio State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it went a profitable 43-34 on all top-rated picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen impressive returns.

The model has set its sights on Tennessee vs. Ohio State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Ohio State vs. Tennessee game:

  • Ohio State vs. Tennessee spread: Ohio State -7 (-117)
  • Ohio State vs. Tennessee over/under: 47 points
  • Ohio State vs. Tennessee money line: Ohio State -280, Tennessee +226
  • Ohio State vs. Tennessee picks: See picks here
  • Ohio State vs. Tennessee streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Ohio State can cover

Ohio State is coming off a shocking home loss to Michigan, but it won its previous five games and is 13-1 in its last 14 home games. The Buckeyes easily covered the spread as 10.5-point favorites in their 38-15 win over then-No. 5 Indiana last month, as senior quarterback Will Howard had 201 passing yards and two touchdowns. Howard has 2,860 passing yards and 27 touchdowns overall this season. 

The Buckeyes also have a two-headed rushing attack that is powered by Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson, who have combined for more than 1,500 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns. They also have elite wide receivers Jeremiah Smith, Emeka Egbuka and Carnell Tate. Ohio State has covered the spread in nine of its last 13 Saturday home games. See which team to pick here. 

Why Tennessee can cover

All the pressure is on the Buckeyes in this game, as they are coming off an embarrassing loss and head coach Ryan Day is still seeking a signature postseason win. They have struggled offensively at times this season, particularly in the passing game, and they are facing an elite Tennessee defense. Ohio State also is missing a pair of starting offensive linemen -- Josh Simmons and Seth McLaughlin due to injuries. The Vols are giving up just 13.9 points per game, while their offense has flashed high upside under freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava. 

He has 2,510 passing yards, 19 touchdowns and five interceptions, with four of those scores coming against Vanderbilt several weeks ago. Tennessee's star on offense is junior running back Dylan Sampson, who racked up 1,487 rushing yards and a school-record 22 touchdowns during the regular season. The Vols have won four of their last five games against Big Ten teams, while the Buckeyes are 2-8 in their last 10 games against SEC teams. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Ohio State vs. Tennessee picks

The model has simulated Tennessee vs. Ohio State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Ohio State vs. Tennessee in the 2024 College Football Playoff, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.