The Texas State Bobcats face the Troy Trojans in a key Sun Belt matchup on Thursday night. Troy has won eight consecutive games in the series and is 12-1 all-time against Texas State. The Bobcats (2-2), who finished second at 4-4 in the Sun Belt West last season, were 8-5 overall. The Trojans (1-4, 0-1 Sun Belt), who won the West Division last year at 7-1, were 11-3 overall in 2023. This will be the Sun Belt opener for Texas State.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. Texas State is averaging 37.5 points per game this season, while Troy averages 21.4. The Bobcats are 13.5-point favorites in the latest Texas State vs. Troy odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 57. Before making any Troy vs. Texas State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks. It also went a sizzling 6-0 on all top-rated college football picks in Week 5. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Texas State vs. Troy. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for the Troy vs. Texas State game:
- Texas State vs. Troy spread: Texas State -13.5
- Texas State vs. Troy over/under: 57 points
- Texas State vs. Troy money line: Texas State -532, Troy +387
- TXS: The Bobcats have hit the first quarter Over in nine of their last 11 games (+6.85 units)
- TROY: The Trojans have hit the first quarter Under in their last 12 games (+12.00 units)
- Texas State vs. Troy picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Texas State vs. Troy streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why you should back Texas State
The Bobcats have a solid receiving corps, led by fifth-year senior wide receiver Joey Hobert. He leads the team with 26 receptions for 265 yards (10.2 average) and four touchdowns. In Saturday's 40-39 loss to Sam Houston State, he caught eight passes for 75 yards (9.4 average) and two touchdowns. He had eight receptions for 47 yards (5.9 average) in a 31-28 loss to Arizona State on Sept. 12.
Senior wide receiver Jaden Williams is coming off a 10-catch, 133-yard performance in Saturday's loss. He had four receptions for 75 yards and two touchdowns against Arizona State. For the season, he has 22 receptions for 292 yards (13.3 average) and three scores, including a long of 44 yards. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Troy
Junior quarterback Goose Crowder and sophomore QB Tucker Kilcrease split snaps last week in the loss to Louisiana-Monroe. Crowder is the Trojans' top passer, completing 43 of 62 passes (69.4%) for 542 yards and five touchdowns. Kilcrease has completed 9 of 17 (52.9%) for 134 yards and one TD. He also has rushed 21 times for 125 yards (6.0 average), including a long of 25 yards.
Leading the Bobcats' rushing attack is junior running back Damien Taylor. He has surpassed 100 yards rushing twice this year, including a 15-carry, 109-yard and one-touchdown performance against Florida A&M in a 34-12 win on Sept. 21. He carried 11 times for 103 yards and a score in a 28-26 loss to Nevada on Aug. 31. For the season, he has carried 57 times for 336 yards (5.9 average) and two TDs. See which team to pick here.
How to make Texas State vs. Troy picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 53 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texas State vs. Troy, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas State vs. Troy spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.