Projections are inexact and boil a range of potential outcomes down to a single number. A good way to consider the results is by grouping together similar options into tiers, then adjusting for upside or downside, plus injury risk since projections generally assume reasonable health.
Below are Heath Cummings' and Ben Gretch's tight end projections tiers for both PPR and non-PPR scoring formats. If you're looking for full Draft rankings, you can always find those on the Draft Prep page.
Keep in mind the below tiers are purely where the players project in a "most likely" scenario. Team context, teammate injuries, and efficiency peaks or valleys can all contribute to different outcomes, but a projection provides a solid baseline to start from.
Heath Cummings' PPR TE projection tiers
265-plus points | 235-240 points | 185-195 points |
Travis Kelce | George Kittle | Evan Engram |
Zach Ertz |
| Hunter Henry |
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|
|
|
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160-170 points | 130-155 points | 115-130 points |
O.J. Howard | Jordan Reed | Jimmy Graham |
Jared Cook | Delanie Walker | Noah Fant |
| Austin Hooper | David NJoku |
| Trey Burton | Eric Ebron |
| TJ Hockensen | Kyle Rudolph |
| Vance McDonald | Mark Andrews |
| Greg Olsen | Darren Waller |
Heath Cummings' non-PPR TE projection tiers
175-plus points | 150-160 points | 115-125 points |
Travis Kelce | Zach Ertz | Hunter Henry |
| George Kittle | Evan Engram |
|
| O.J. Howard |
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85-105 points | 65-85 points |
|
Jared Cook | Jimmy Graham |
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Delanie Walker | Greg Olsen |
|
Jordan Reed | David NJoku |
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Trey Burton | Mark Andrews |
|
Vance McDonald | Eric Ebron |
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Austin Hooper | Noah Fant |
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TJ Hockensen | Kyle Rudolph |
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| Darren Waller |
|
| Will Dissly |
|
| Jack Doyle |
|
| Chris Herndon |
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Ben Gretch's PPR TE projection tiers
295-plus points | 235-245 points | 170-185 points |
Travis Kelce | Zach Ertz | Evan Engram |
| George Kittle | O.J. Howard |
|
| Hunter Henry |
|
|
|
135-145 points | 120-135 points | 105-115 points |
Jared Cook | Austin Hooper | Jimmy Graham |
Jordan Reed | Trey Burton | Jack Doyle |
David Njoku | Greg Olsen | Noah Fant |
Vance McDonald | Delanie Walker | Eric Ebron |
Kyle Rudolph | Chris Herndon | Mark Andrews |
Darren Waller |
| Mike Gesicki |
|
| T.J. Hockenson |
Ben Gretch's non-PPR TE projection tiers
190-plus points | 145-150 points | 110-125 points |
Travis Kelce | George Kittle | O.J. Howard |
| Zach Ertz | Evan Engram |
|
| Hunter Henry |
|
|
|
80-95 points | 70-80 points | 60-70 points |
David Njoku | Chris Herndon | Noah Fant |
Jared Cook | Greg Olsen | Mark Andrews |
Vance McDonald | Delanie Walker | Tyler Eifert |
Darren Waller | Jimmy Graham | Dallas Goedert |
Jordan Reed | Eric Ebron | T.J. Hockenson |
Kyle Rudolph |
| Mike Gesicki |
Trey Burton |
| Will Dissly |
Austin Hooper |
| Jack Doyle |