Last week I was the high guy on Aaron Rodgers, ranking him as a top-10 QB. He, and the Jets offense, completely face-planted. This week Rodgers came out as QB5 in the first run of my quarterback projections. It's gut-check time, but I really hope the projections are right.
Rodgers has now played four games with Davante Adams. Three of those were road games against the Steelers, Patriots, and Cardinals. His lone home game came against the Houston Texans. The Steelers are the second-best unit against QBs this season, the Cardinals haven't allowed a QB to score 20 Fantasy points since Week 6, and the Texans just picked off Jared Goff five times. The Colts have given up the ninth-most Fantasy points to QBs this year, though they do have four picks in their last two games.
Rodgers' high projection comes more from the fact that the Jets have an implied total of 23.75 points in Week 11, and Rodgers' passing touchdowns have accounted for 54% of their total points this season. They only have five rushing touchdowns and 11 field goals all season. My expectation is two passing touchdowns for Rodgers and three or more is not out of the equation. Try to ignore what you just saw in Arizona and start Rodgers for one more week. Don't worry, he's on bye next week so I won't suggest him again.
You can find my projections for every position over at Sportsline. You'll get a position-by-position and player-by-player projection on Week 11 scoring over there.
Let's get to the rest of the preview:
Week 11 QB Preview
Numbers to Know
Matchups That Matter
Waiver Wire Targets
DFS Plays
Projections
QB Preview
Numbers to know
- 38 -- Caleb Williams has been sacked a league-high 38 times. Some of that is on the offensive line, and some of it is that Williams holds the ball too long.
- 16 -- Justin Herbert has 16 rush attempts in his last three games, including nine last week. He only had 20 attempts in his first six games.
- 6 -- Russell Wilson has six passing touchdowns in three games. Kenny Pickett led the Steelers with six passing touchdowns last year.
- 2 -- Only two quarterbacks have scored 20 or more Fantasy points against the Bears this season. Five have scored single digits, including Kyler Murray, Matthew Stafford, and Anthony Richardson.
- 23.1 -- Bo Nix is averaging 23.1 FPPG since Week 5. He's completing 66% of his passes and averaging seven yards per attempt in that stretch.
- 5.8 -- Tua Tagovailoa is averaging a career-low 5.8 intended air yards per pass attempt.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Projections powered by
Sportsline
QB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Adds/Streamers (QB Preview)
Projections powered by
Sportsline
Projections powered by
Sportsline
QB Preview
Heath's projections
My full set of Week 11 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 11. Projected stats for all starting running backs are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.