If the past three weeks have taught us anything, it's that this game is not easily predicted.

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The Miami Dolphins laying an egg against the New York Jets in Week 3 is the perfect example. Does that mean we're avoiding the Jets when streaming now? Of course not. We're going to make like Joel Embiid and trust the process. Let's get right to it.

Quarterback
1
Deshaun Watson Houston Texans QB
I was extremely impressed by Watson's performance in Week 3 against the Patriots, even if they are not currently a good defense. Let's start with the fact that Watson was seven-for-eight for 76 yards to DeAndre Hopkins, the only player the Patriots had to worry about taking away in the passing game. Watson's running ability gives him a solid floor and really lowers the bar for what he needs to do throwing the ball to be a No. 1 quarterback. I'm not scared of his Week 4 matchup against the Titans at all.
2
Andy Dalton Cincinnati Bengals QB
The Bill Lazor era got off to a good start with Andy Dalton putting up 20 Fantasy points despite a game script that only called for 27 Dalton attempts. Expect Week 4 against the Browns to be another low-volume, high-efficiency game for Dalton against a secondary that just allowed T.Y. Hilton to go off for 7-153-1.
3
Jay Cutler Miami Dolphins QB
You have to have a short memory in Fantasy Football, so I'm trying to forget Jay Cutler's embarrassing performance on Sunday. Now he plays an even worse Saints defense in London, and I expect a bounceback. Why Cutler over Blake Bortles? Game script. Bortles' Week 3 breakout was the exception, not the rule.
Tight End
1
Vernon Davis Washington Redskins TE
The No. 1 option this week comes with a gigantic asterisk. You're only starting Vernon Davis if Jordan Reed sits again. I expect Washington will be playing from behind in Kansas City on Monday Night, and Kirk Cousins is going to have to get the ball out fast. That should be good news for Davis, Chris Thompson and Jamison Crowder.
2
Charles Clay Buffalo Bills TE
Charles Clay produced again in Week 3, with six catches and his second touchdown of the season. He should get even more volume in Week 4 against the prolific Falcons offense. I prefer Clay in PPR because of his target volume, but he's also becoming Tyrod Taylor's favorite red zone target.
3
Benjamin Watson Baltimore Ravens TE
Tight end is a dumpster fire. No offense to Benjamin Watson, of course. He's caught 11 of his 12 targets this year, is a quality red zone option and should have a good game script chasing the score against the Steelers. His quarterback has neither the time nor the inclination to throw the ball down field, so Watson should continue to see targets.
DST
1
Jaguars
I'm not ready to proclaim the Jaguars the best defense in the NFL ... yet. But it has looked like it in two of their three games. It should feast on Josh McCown and the New York Jets in Week 4. The Jaguars are a rare defense worth dropping a few FAAB bucks on because they should be 100 percent owned by Sunday.
2
Bengals
The Bengals get Vontaze Burfict back just in time for a matchup with a rookie quarterback who has already thrown seven interceptions? Count me in. The Bengals should dominate the Browns in Week 4.
3
Jets
Wait, the Jets are supposed to be the butt of this article. What's going on here? Well, part of it is just the upside that comes from a matchup with Blake Bortles. Sure Jacksonville and Bortles looked amazing in Week 3. But also, the Jets looked respectable last week against Miami and it's possible their defense isn't quite as bad as we thought.
Kicker
1
Blair Walsh Seattle Seahawks K
Home kicker as a big favorite on a team that doesn't have a great running game. Walsh should have multiple field goal opportunities and he hasn't missed one yet this season. This is a plus matchup against the Colts.
2
Jason Myers Jacksonville Jaguars K
Myers isn't at home and his team isn't as big a favorite, but this feels like a game where Jacksonville is up big in the second half against the Jets and settling for field goals. Myers already has seven of them on the season.
3
Phil Dawson Arizona Cardinals K
Phil Dawson has been shaky at best, but I love this matchup. The Cardinals should spend a ton of time in San Francisco territory and I expect Dawson will deliver.