Editor's note: Dave Richard breaks down every game from
a Fantasy perspective each week with the help of CBSSports.com NFL
Insider Pat Kirwan, who will provide his unique take to assist owners in
their lineup management.
Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, M&T Bank
Stadium
|
Denver Broncos
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Peyton Manning
|
|
If Terrell Suggs is out, Manning
will have all day to throw. Redskins totaled 272 yards, 2 TDs vs.
Ravens last week without Suggs (three sacks).
|
RB
|
Knowshon Moreno
|
|
Ravens have allowed 136.3 total yards per game to RBs over last
three with two rush TDs. Knowshon has 20+ carries, 80+ total yards
in each of last three.
|
WR
|
Demaryius Thomas
|
|
Has at least 8+ Fantasy points in each of last five and 9 of last
10. Ravens have allowed 184.7 yards per game and three TDs to WRs in
last three games.
|
WR
|
Eric Decker
|
|
Had eight-catch, nine-target game at OAK last week but for 88 yards.
Don't expect more than 10 Fantasy points, which he hasn't had in
each of last five. Ravens have allowed multiple 10+ point Fantasy
WRs to two of 13 opponents.
|
TE
|
Jacob Tamme
|
|
Only four tight ends have posted 6+ Fantasy points on Ravens. Tamme
(or Dreessen) could do it based on coverage but trusting them a
major factor.
|
DST
|
Broncos
|
|
Only four DSTs have posted double digits against the Ravens all
season but Broncos have delivered 11+ Fantasy points in 7 of last 8.
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Joe Flacco
|
|
Don't look now but Broncos have allowed 2 TDs to 4 of last 5 QBs
they've faced, though they have yet to allow a 300-yard passer.
Could take some guts to go with Flacco.
|
RB
|
Ray Rice
|
|
Broncos have allowed just two total TDs & 104.6 total yards per game
to RBs in last five but Rice should land big workload. Start him.
|
WR
|
Torrey Smith
|
|
The good: 6 of 7 TDs this season have come at home. The better:
Broncos have allowed a TD to a WR in two straight. No-huddle offense
would help Smith out as well.
|
WR
|
Anquan Boldin
|
|
Boldin has exploded over last two games: 15 targets, eight catches
for 159 yards and three TDs. Boldin last scored in three straight
games in 2008 and has come up empty in two career games vs. DEN.
|
TE
|
Dennis Pitta
|
|
Denver has given up six TDs to TEs over its last eight games and
Pitta has been effective in favorable matchups lately.
|
DST
|
Ravens
|
|
Six of the last seven DSTs vs. DEN have been held to single-digit
Fantasy points. No way should the Ravens start if Suggs is out.
|
With Cam Cameron out of the picture, the expectations are for Joe Flacco to have more flexibility at the line of scrimmage to
manipulate the offense. Jim Caldwell wasn't a play caller but he did
observe how much Peyton Manning did at
the line of scrimmage in Indianapolis. The Ravens worked hard on their
no-huddle offense this summer and have over 200 snaps of it this year
but in recent weeks it seemed to be on the back burner. I expect it to
be back for 20-to-30 snaps a game, especially at home. Against a lesser
opponent I'd expect a great game from Flacco but the Broncos will make
it tough. -- Pat Kirwan
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Soldier
Field
|
Green Bay Packers
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
|
Had very passive game vs. CHI in Week 2, much like his last three
overall. Has 30 pass attempts or fewer in 4 of last 5 games. Tough
to sit but Bears have been good vs. pass for much of season.
|
RB
|
Alex Green
|
|
Bears have allowed a 100-yard rusher in four of last six games --
two by Adrian Peterson. Green is no
Peterson.
|
RB
|
DuJuan Harris
|
|
Don't mind stashing him on the bench but starting him just doesn't
seem safe.
|
WR
|
Randall Cobb
|
|
Has 100+ yards and/or a touchdown in 7 of last 9 games, should be a
bail-out receiver for Rodgers vs. Bears tough pass rush.
|
WR
|
Greg Jennings
|
|
Bears haven't allowed a 100-yard receiver in six games but have
allowed four TDs to WRs. Jennings not trustworthy after two quiet
games.
|
WR
|
James Jones
|
|
Has under 50 yards in each of last four games with one touchdown in
that span. Though he began the year hot, please consider another
option.
|
TE
|
Jermichael Finley
|
|
Has 70+ yards and/or 1+ TD in four of his last five against Bears.
Did disappoint last week but has been more active lately.
|
DST
|
Packers
|
|
Vikings crowned Bears thanks to defensive score last week but the
Packers held Chicago to under 200 total yards and just 10 points in
Week 2. They're a good choice.
|
Chicago Bears
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Jay Cutler
|
|
Seven of last eight QBs vs. GB have posted 1 passing TD or less.
Cutler has seven TDs & 16 INTs in seven games as Bear vs. GB.
|
RB
|
Matt Forte
|
|
Has just one TD in nine career games against the Packers (four w/
100 total yards). but Packers have allowed 170.7 total yards & 4
rush TDs in last four. Forte can top 100 total yards.
|
WR
|
Brandon Marshall
|
|
Had worst game of the year at GB in Week 2 thanks to dropped TD.
Packers have allowed 159.0 yards per game and five TDs to receivers
over their last five games.
|
WR
|
Alshon Jeffery
|
|
If the Bears are going to throw, Jeffery could produce. Has 3 TDs in
seven games.
|
DST
|
Bears
|
|
Nine of the last 10 DSTs to play the Packers have scored 10 Fantasy
points or less. Bears had 11 Fantasy points in first meeting (five
sacks) and have produced under 10 points in three of last four weeks.
|
For the Bears to keep this one close they must first protect Jay Cutler, who is starting to take a weekly beating. Second, they
better be ready for the Packers' run game, which has been consistent.
Chicago has given up a 100-plus-yard rusher for seven weeks in a row and
the Packers are trying to establish a running game (which helps explain
why Aaron Rodgers hasn't been on fire
recently). -- Pat Kirwan
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET,
Reliant Stadium
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Andrew Luck
|
|
Texans pass defense still struggling: 1,046 yards and 7 pass TDs
allowed over their last three games. Luck should continue to throw
plenty.
|
RB
|
Vick Ballard
|
|
Houston has allowed three rushing touchdowns over its last three
games but just 87.6 rush yards per game over that span. Ballard
should be a decent flex.
|
WR
|
Reggie Wayne
|
|
Has 10+ Fantasy points in two of his last three but has yet to score
away from Indy. He also has scored in five straight vs. Texans with
100+ yards in each of last two against Houston.
|
WR
|
T.Y. Hilton
|
|
Texans have allowed 241.7 yards per game to receivers with five TDs
in their last three. Hilton should get a piece.
|
WR
|
Donnie Avery
|
|
Had another nine targets (good!) but couldn't put up much with them
(bad!). Dropped a touchdown (bad!) but played on 64 of 70 snaps
(good!). Use at your own risk.
|
TE
|
Dwayne Allen
|
|
Don't get excited about Hernandez scoring twice last week on Texans
& applying it to Allen. Rookie has five or fewer targets each of
last two weeks, a drop off from Weeks 11 and 12.
|
DST
|
Colts
|
|
Only one of the Texans' last seven opponents have put up 10+ Fantasy
points. Don't trust this DST.
|
Houston Texans
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Matt Schaub
|
|
Only two of last seven QBs vs. IND have posted 2+ TDs but many of
them were weak. Schaub has 2+ TDs in 4 of last 5 at home but has
only one career game with more than one passing TD vs. Colts!
|
RB
|
Arian Foster
|
|
While the Colts have allowed 120.3 yards per game and one score over
their last three, Foster has 20+ Fantasy points in each of three
career meetings with Colts.
|
WR
|
Andre Johnson
|
|
Colts have allowed a 100-yard receiver each of last three games
(173.0 yards per game to WRs over last three) with one TD. Andre has
90+ yards & a TD in each of last two vs. Indy.
|
TE
|
Owen Daniels
|
|
Colts have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in four straight after
keeping them scoreless since Week 2. Makes it easy to start Daniels,
though he doesn't have a TD in each of last five vs. Indy.
|
DST
|
Texans
|
|
Three of the last four DSTs to play the Colts have posted 12+
Fantasy points thanks in big part to touchdowns and sacks (4 TDs, 11
sacks, nine interceptions).
|
What kind of chance does Andrew Luck
have for some big stats after a let-down last week? Did you see what Tom Brady and his offense did to the Texans last week?! Houston
will rebound but Brady left a lot of clues for Luck to study and build a
game plan. Up-tempo offenses with exotic formations put stress on
Houston and Luck is capable of that style. Though I think Luck has a
better chance in the rematch game in Indianapolis to end the season to
put up winning numbers, he should put up plenty of passes this week. --
Pat Kirwan
Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Sun
Life Stadium
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Chad Henne
|
|
Four of last five QBs vs. MIA have scored under 20 Fantasy points
(five pass TDs allowed). Doesn't bode well for ex-Dolphin Henne.
|
RB
|
Montell Owens
|
|
Averaged 5.0 yards per carry on first 11 carries, scored from 32
yards on 12th carry last week. Fins have allowed 10+ Fantasy points
to RBs in three of last four and 9+ Fantasy points in seven of last
eight. Playing time the only issue.
|
WR
|
Cecil Shorts
|
|
Has TD in four straight, has 100 yards and/or a touchdown in 6 of
last 7. Expect more solid play vs. Miami, which has allowed 142.8
yards per game to wideouts over last six.
|
WR
|
Justin Blackmon
|
|
Dolphins have allowed one WR to land 10+ Fantasy points over last
five (another had nine points). With Shorts back it's hard to count
on him for big numbers in standard leagues.
|
DST
|
Jaguars
|
|
DSTs vs. MIA have posted 10+ Fantasy points in nine of last 11
weeks. Problem: Jags have 10+ Fantasy points just three times all
year.
|
Miami Dolphins
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Ryan Tannehill
|
|
Jags pass defense have held three straight mediocre QBs to 3 pass
TDs (four total) and 161.3 yards per game. Tannehill can't be
trusted.
|
RB
|
Reggie Bush
|
|
Expect a lot of running. Jags have allowed 155.7 total yards per
game to RBs over last five with three TDs. Wouldn't be a shock to
see Bush total 90+ yards.
|
RB
|
Daniel Thomas
|
|
Six of last seven rush TDs allowed by Jags have come from 10 yards
or out. Playing time is slipping away but he could be worth
desperation use.
|
WR
|
Brian Hartline
|
|
Wouldn't trust him outside of the deepest of PPR formats. Jags have
held opposing WRs to a low 99.7 yards per game over last three with
two TDs.
|
DST
|
Dolphins
|
|
DSTs have put up 11+ Fantasy points in 8 of last 9 vs. Jaguars.
Dolphins are a must vs. their former quarterback.
|
Montell Owens is a tough player who has been waiting his turn
patiently for seven years, and he didn't disappoint last week. But he
has a tough assignment against the Dolphin run defense this week and I
don't believe he will get enough carries to crack the 100-yard mark. I
would be more inclined to grab David Wilson
or Bilal Powell and count on them in
Fantasy. -- Pat Kirwan
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Edward
Jones Dome
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Christian Ponder
|
|
Rams' pass defense has allowed three passing scores over its last
five. Ponder has four passing TDs in his last five.
|
RB
|
Adrian Peterson
|
|
Rams have allowed 115.8 total yards per game to RBs over their last
five with six rushing scores. Peterson should inflate those numbers.
|
TE
|
Kyle Rudolph
|
|
Rudolph really let us down last week (two targets, no catches),
though he's scored following 2 of 3 zero-point Fantasy performances. Rob Gronkowski is the only TE to post 10+ Fantasy points on the
Rams this year.
|
DST
|
Vikings
|
|
Four of the last five DSTs to play the Rams have scored single-digit
Fantasy points including the Niners twice. Vikings a low-end option.
|
St. Louis Rams
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Sam Bradford
|
|
Vikings have allowed multiple passing scores in 4 of last 6 with
266.0 pass yards per game over last three. Bradford might sling it a
little.
|
RB
|
Steven Jackson
|
|
Pretty good matchup for Jackson: Vikings have allowed 10+ Fantasy
points to each of last three RBs. Jackson has 10+ Fantasy points in
4 of last 5.
|
WR
|
Chris Givens
|
|
Vikes have allowed eight TDs to WRs in their last five games. Rams
could take more shots with Givens if Amendola is back.
|
WR
|
Danny Amendola
|
|
Minnesota has allowed 179.2 yards per game to WRs over its last
five. Amendola should be back and busy for Rams (5+ catches in 6 of
8 games).
|
DST
|
Rams
|
|
Three of the last four DSTs vs. MIN have posted single-digit Fantasy
points but Vikings have scored 21 points or less in eight of 13
games.
|
Many expect the run games to dominate this matchup but there is some
room for passing. I don't like the Vikings receivers because Christian Ponder struggles to put up passing yards. In the last seven
games Ponder has averaged 137 yards passing a game and only six
touchdowns. On the other hand Chris Givens
of the Rams is starting to look like a big-play receiver. He has been
targeted 30 times in the last three games. Teammate Brandon Gibson caught six passes for 100 last week, so look for the
Rams receivers to play moderately well and potentially be the difference
in the game's outcome. -- Pat Kirwan
New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Georgia
Dome
|
New York Giants
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Eli Manning
|
|
Falcons have allowed 2+ pass TDs in just three games all year and
secondary is getting healthy. Manning had 277 yards & 3 TDs vs. ATL
in playoffs last year but has had mixed results vs. Mike Nolan,
current Falcons defensive coordinator.
|
RB
|
David Wilson
|
|
His speed is off the charts. Falcons have stunk vs. RBs: 138.8 total
yards per game over last five with six total TDs to RBs. Has a
chance for some numbers even if he loses some passing downs work.
|
WR
|
Victor Cruz
|
|
Falcons have allowed just 6 TDs to WRs all year (none in last four)
but have allowed 100-yard receivers in consecutive games. That
sounds like Cruz.
|
WR
|
Hakeem Nicks
|
|
Had two TDs vs. ATL in playoffs last year, has 2 TDs in last three.
Knee issues will keep him at less than 100 percent healthy and tough
matchups have not been kind to Nicks this year.
|
TE
|
Martellus Bennett
|
|
Atlanta has given up 84.0 yards and 3 TDs to TEs over last four
games. Bennett has 5 catches, 30+ yards & a TD in each of last two.
|
DST
|
Giants
|
|
Six of the last seven DSTs posted 8 Fantasy points or fewer vs.
Falcons. Giants just beat up the Saints last week, so it's a tough
call on whether or not to start them.
|
Atlanta Falcons
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Matt Ryan
|
|
Giants have held Rodgers, RG3 & Brees to one TD each over last three
weeks (but four TDs to Andy Dalton
four weeks ago). Ryan was chewed up by NYG in '11 playoffs. He also
hasn't thrown 2+ TDs at home since September (four home games).
|
RB
|
Michael Turner
|
|
Has a TD in four straight & 5 of last 6 but has posted limited
yardage pretty much every week. Giants have allowed 120.0 rush yards
per week over last three (two total TDs).
|
RB
|
Jacquizz Rodgers
|
|
Quizz has scored 6 Fantasy points or less in five of last six games.
Tough to trust him even with serious playing time.
|
WR
|
Roddy White
|
|
Has 10+ targets in 4 of last 6 games. Giants have allowed 100 yards
and/or a TD to 8 of 11 WRs with at least 8+ targets this year. Plays
better at home but injury could hold him back.
|
WR
|
Julio Jones
|
|
Giants have allowed a 100-yard receiver in two straight, 7 TDs to
WRs over their last five. Julio still looking for first home score
of the season.
|
TE
|
Tony Gonzalez
|
|
You'll start him but Giants have allowed 2 TDs to TEs all year and
have allowed just one TE to get 10+ Fantasy points.
|
DST
|
Falcons
|
|
Eight of last 11 DSTs to play the Giants have posted single-digit
Fantasy points. Pass on the Falcons.
|
Ahmad Bradshaw has foot and knee issues, so David Wilson is in a perfect spot to get more work based off of last
week's performance. Atlanta gives up 127 yards on the ground per game
and in the last five games it has allowed six rushing touchdowns. Wilson
could have big day with well over 100 yards and a touchdown. -- Pat
Kirwan
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET,
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Josh Freeman
|
|
Freeman has 250+ yards in each of last four vs. NO including 420
yards & 3 TDs in Week 7 meeting in Tampa. Saints pass D is a mess.
|
RB
|
Doug Martin
|
|
Totaled 122 yards with a touchdown in first meeting with Saints, who
have allowed 158.7 total yards per game to RBs over last three with
four total TDs.
|
WR
|
Vincent Jackson
|
|
No receiver has decimated Saints like Jackson did in Week 7 (216
yards and a TD), but the Giants' three WRs each scored on the Saints
last week.
|
WR
|
Mike Williams
|
|
Had a quiet game last time against New Orleans but is still a good
bet to be effective here with the Saints likely focused on Jackson.
Has a TD in two straight.
|
TE
|
Dallas Clark
|
|
Saints have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in four of last five
with 70.6 yards per game in that span. Clark looks good.
|
DST
|
Buccaneers
|
|
Thanks to nine interceptions, seven sacks, two forced fumbles, three
defensive touchdowns and some low scores by the Saints, DSTs vs. NO
have posted 17+ Fantasy points. It would be a shock to see the Bucs
get at least half that.
|
New Orleans Saints
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Drew Brees
|
|
Bucs have allowed 250+ yards to 11 of 13 opposing QBs with 2+ TDs to
4 of last 6. Brees had 377 yards and 4 TDs at TB back in Week 7.
Expect him to get back on track.
|
RB
|
Darren Sproles
|
|
Has posted 50+ yards and a TD in each of last two vs. TB. Expect a
bunch of receptions with a good chance to score.
|
RB
|
Mark Ingram
|
|
Bucs have given up 54.7 rush yards per game over last three, just
smacked Bryce Brown around last
week. Can't trust Ingram.
|
WR
|
Marques Colston
|
|
Has 5+ catches in each of last six against NO including seven grabs
for 73 yards & a TD in Week 7. WRs have at least 1 TD in each of
last six vs. TB.
|
WR
|
Lance Moore
|
|
Major risk but you have to like his chances playing at home vs. pass
defense that's allowed 215.7 yards to WRs over last three.
|
TE
|
Jimmy Graham
|
|
Might be playing hurt after going three straight with weak stats
(Graham missed first game vs. TB). Bucs allowing 68.0 yards per game
to TEs over last three with a score.
|
DST
|
Saints
|
|
Six of the last eight DSTs vs. TB have posted four Fantasy points or
less! No one's using the Saints DST.
|
Every week I talk about the Saints' inside vertical passing attack and
the last few teams seem to be sitting on those routes. Compounding
things is the lack of protection Brees is getting and as a result
there's an increase in sacks and hits to go along with the
interceptions. Brees loves to throw from the pocket but it may be time
for more perimeter passing and working the sideline routes. The timing
could be right to experiment against a soft Buccaneers pass defense. --
Pat Kirwan
Washington Redskins at Cleveland Browns -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET,
Cleveland Browns Stadium
|
Washington Redskins
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Robert Griffin III
|
|
Mobility could be an issue for RG3 given his knee sprain, if he
plays. Making things worse, the Browns have allowed one 2+ pass TD
game in their last seven.
|
RB
|
Alfred Morris
|
|
Jamaal Charles blew the doors off the Browns last week, and
of the nine RBs with at least 18 carries vs. CLE, all but one have
9+ Fantasy points. ALF has 20 carries in four straight, 110+ yards
in three straight.
|
WR
|
Pierre Garcon
|
|
Garcon has stepped up big over his last three with TD in each. Joe Haden assignment is tough but Browns have allowed 158.5
yards to wideouts over their last four. If RG3 is out, Garcon's
value dips.
|
DST
|
Redskins
|
|
Three of the last four DSTs to face the Browns have posted under 10
Fantasy points. Redskins have 8 or fewer Fantasy points in 6 of last
7.
|
Cleveland Browns
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Brandon Weeden
|
|
The good: Redskins pass defense has allowed 21+ Fantasy points to 9
of 13 QBs. The bad: Weeden has two games all season with 21+ Fantasy
points. Can't trust him.
|
RB
|
Trent Richardson
|
|
Redskins have allowed 100-yard rushers in consecutive games along
with two total TDs to RBs over last three. Even with a low rush
average, Richardson's fine.
|
WR
|
Josh Gordon
|
|
WRs have scored at least one TD in 10 of 13 games vs. WAS this
season. They've also had 185.3 yards per game vs. Redskins over
their last three. Gordon is solid again.
|
DST
|
Browns
|
|
Only three DSTs have topped 10 Fantasy points vs. WAS all year.
Browns do have 11+ Fantasy points in 3 of last 4, might be sleeper
material.
|
The Cleveland defense got better when its defensive linemen and
cornerback Joe Haden returned to the
lineup a few weeks ago. While going 5-3 in their last eight games, the
Browns are giving up just 17 points a game. Robert Griffin III will not be at 100 percent and that should give the
Browns the edge as the better defensive unit in the game. -- Pat
Kirwan
Carolina Panthers at San Diego Chargers -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET,
Qualcomm Stadium
|
Carolina Panthers
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Cam Newton
|
|
Chargers have allowed QBs to get 20+ Fantasy points in 4 of last 5
and Cam continues to dominate weak pass defenses. Expect big stats.
|
RB
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
|
Two things I don't trust: Chargers run defense (140.2 total yards
per game to RBs over last five) and DeAngelo (16 Fantasy points last
week, 6 the week before). I'd lean toward DeAngelo as a flex.
|
WR
|
Steve Smith
|
|
San Diego has allowed 173.8 yards to receivers over its last five
with seven touchdowns (three last week). Smith is a must and should
lock in at least 10 Fantasy points.
|
TE
|
Greg Olsen
|
|
Chargers have fallen apart vs. tight ends, allowing two scores over
last three games & 6+ Fantasy points to each of last three. Olsen
has 40+ yards & TD in two straight.
|
DST
|
Panthers
|
|
Can't trust them with secondary losing steam but four of the last
five DSTs vs. SD posted 14+ Fantasy points. It helps that the
Panthers coaching staff knows this offense.
|
San Diego Chargers
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Philip Rivers
|
|
Panthers have allowed 2+ TDs to QBs in 3 of last 4 and floodgates
could open with a rookie free safety. Rivers isn't safe but with
Alexander he's got potential.
|
RB
|
Ryan Mathews
|
|
Not that Mathews can take advantage but the Panthers have allowed
152.2 total yards per game to RBs with five rushing scores.
Remaining schedule very favorable but he's hard to trust.
|
WR
|
Danario Alexander
|
|
Both Falcons' receivers pounded the Panthers into submission last
week, most of it coming in the second half. Alexander too hot and
too good to sit.
|
WR
|
Malcom Floyd
|
|
Panthers allowing 153.2 yards per game and five TDs to WRs over
their last five. Floyd has a TD in four of his last six but has had
under 70 yards in each of those six.
|
TE
|
Antonio Gates
|
|
Hasn't scored in four straight & hasn't topped 60 yards in seven
straight but Panthers aren't perfect vs. TEs (60 yards and/or a TD
to three of last four they've faced).
|
DST
|
Chargers
|
|
Panthers have held five of the last six DSTs they've faced to 6
Fantasy points or less. Tough to like the Chargers.
|
I talked with Chargers safety Eric Weddle
this week and it was clear to me the team respects Norv Turner and wants
to win for him even if things are going bad for the coach. The more the
Chargers go to Danario Alexander, the
better. He is the first legitimate replacement for Vincent Jackson's production and he's not going anywhere. Defensively,
Weddle & Co. have to contain Cam Newton,
which can be challenging especially since Ben Roethlisberger ran for 31 yards against them last week and he's
no Cam. It could mean more passing for the Chargers and more numbers for
Alexander. -- Pat Kirwan
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET,
University of Phoenix Stadium
|
Detroit Lions
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Matthew Stafford
|
|
The last three QBs to play Arizona haven't had to throw much (22.7
attempts, 182.3 yards per game with four TDs). Still like Stafford
but numbers might not be huge.
|
RB
|
Mikel Leshoure
|
|
Cards have allowed four 100-yard rushers over last three weeks with
four rushing touchdowns scored last week. Leshoure's rushing average
over his last five: 3.35, hence his split with Bell.
|
RB
|
Joique Bell
|
|
Seems to be involved late in many of the Lions' games but could pick
up more early-game work. Has 10+ touches each of his last two games
and has 7.11 rush average over last five.
|
WR
|
Calvin Johnson
|
|
Cards have allowed just one TD to a WR over their last four, a
by-product of their horrible run defense. Still, no reason to
believe Calvin won't get some scoring chances.
|
WR
|
Kris Durham
|
|
Not expected to be huge this week but with the Falcons and Bears
next for the Lions he could be useful in PPR leagues.
|
TE
|
Tony Scheffler
|
|
Arizona has given up a touchdown to tight ends in three straight
with another tight end getting over 100 yards last week. If
Pettigrew is out, Scheffler is a great sleeper.
|
DST
|
Lions
|
|
All but one DST all year vs. ARI has posted 10 or more Fantasy
points. Seahawks wrecked them last week; it'll be tough for Lions to
do the same in Arizona.
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Ryan Lindley
|
|
Lions have allowed 2+ pass TDs in 5 of last 7 but Cardinals' offense
anemic with Lindley or anyone else under center.
|
RB
|
Beanie Wells
|
|
Detroit has allowed 106.7 rush yards per game to RBs over its last
three with four rush TDs. It wouldn't be a shock if Wells was decent
but trusting him behind that O-line is a problem.
|
WR
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
|
Huge opportunity: Lions pass defense has allowed 221.7 yards per
game to WRs over their last three with three TDs. This is the first
defense he's seen in a month that doesn't have a shutdown
cornerback. Think about it.
|
WR
|
Andre Roberts
|
|
Sneaky PPR flex option given the Lions' weak secondary. Has at least
7 targets in seven games.
|
DST
|
Cardinals
|
|
Five of last seven DSTs vs. Lions have posted single-digit Fantasy
points; only the Packers have had 10 or more points. Pass on the
Cards.
|
After the Cardinals' 58-0 loss last week I'm not so sure there's much
left for the Lions to attack. The Cardinals have bad quarterback issues
and the Lions will get after whoever plays under center. As for
attacking the Cardinals defense, make sure Calvin Johnson gets at least 12 targets and feed Mikel Leshoure the ball 20 times. He only has two games all year with
20 or more carries -- this could be number three. -- Pat Kirwan
Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Rogers
Centre
|
Seattle Seahawks
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Russell Wilson
|
|
Six of last eight QBs vs. Bills have posted one touchdown and under
250 yards (16 Fantasy points or less). Could be another week where
Wilson hands off more than throws.
|
RB
|
Marshawn Lynch
|
|
Every RB to face Bills & get at least 14 carries has scored and
posted at least 12 Fantasy points. After scoring on three of 11
carries last week, Marshawn's obvious.
|
WR
|
Sidney Rice
|
|
Bills pass defense improving but they've still allowed a 100-yard
receiver in two of last three and a TD in each of last four. That's
tough for Rice, who might not be close to 100 percent with a foot
injury.
|
WR
|
Golden Tate
|
|
Boom or bust: 15+ Fantasy points in three of last five, five points
or less in other two. Bills have allowed 9+ Fantasy points to
multiple WRs in same game just four times all year and just once in
last eight games.
|
DST
|
Seahawks
|
|
Three of last four DSTs vs. BUF have posted 15+ Fantasy points. The
Seahawks are coming off a great game and should be fine against the
Bills in Toronto.
|
Buffalo Bills
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Ryan Fitzpatrick
|
|
Only three QBs have thrown multiple TDs vs. Seahawks, only four have
topped 250 yards. Fitzpatrick won't help you.
|
RB
|
C.J. Spiller
|
|
Three '12 games without F-Jax: 41 carries, 230 yards, 2 TDs, eight
catches, 128 yards, TD. Seahawks are tough but have allowed two rush
TDs & pass TDs to RBs over last three games.
|
WR
|
Steve Johnson
|
|
Can't expect a big game here with Richard Sherman on his hip. Seahawks have allowed one TD to a WR
over their last six games.
|
TE
|
Scott Chandler
|
|
No TE has posted more than 7 Fantasy points on the Seahawks since
Week 7. Chandler's not an ideal start.
|
DST
|
Bills
|
|
Five of the last six DSTs vs. Seattle have posted 6 Fantasy points
or less. Can't go with the Bills unless totally desperate.
|
The Seahawks are a run-first team and they want to get close to 60
percent run on first down. That goal was easily accomplished last week.
The Bills run defense over the past four games has been very good,
giving up just 275 yards at 2.8 a rush and only two rushing touchdowns.
The Seahawks are going to have to pass more than 13 times in this game.
The good news is Wilson has thrown two touchdown passes in each of his
last three road games and the Rogers Centre atmosphere in Toronto could
be an equalizer he would normally not have in a road game. -- Pat
Kirwan
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, O.co
Coliseum
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Brady Quinn
|
|
Raiders pass defense has allowed just one TD to opposing QBs over
last two games (including Peyton). They're obviously in rough shape
but Quinn can't be trusted.
|
RB
|
Jamaal Charles
|
|
A must. Oakland has given up 174.7 total yards per game and 3 TDs to
RBs in their last three. Seven straight starting RBs have posted 12+
Fantasy points on OAK.
|
WR
|
Jon Baldwin
|
|
Seems like he's the Chiefs' top receiving threat. Raiders have
allowed 194.7 yards per game and three TDs to WRs over their last
three to receivers.
|
TE
|
Tony Moeaki
|
|
Tight ends have produced at least eight Fantasy points in five
straight vs. Raiders. Moeaki has at least 40 yards in four of his
last five.
|
DST
|
Chiefs
|
|
Four of last five DSTs vs. OAK have totaled 11+ Fantasy points on
the Raiders. But Chiefs have just four games with 11+ Fantasy points
and only scored four vs. OAK in Week 4.
|
Oakland Raiders
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Carson Palmer
|
|
Chiefs have allowed 2+ passing scores in 10 of 13 games including
one to Carson Palmer in Week 8 (209
yards, two TDs, one interception). Expect the Raiders to throw
plenty.
|
RB
|
Darren McFadden
|
|
Chiefs allowing 110.0 total yards per game to RBs over its last
three with two touchdowns. McFadden had 137 total yards vs. KC in
Week 8 meeting. If he's active, he's worth starting.
|
WR
|
Darrius Heyward-Bey
|
|
No. 1 WRs have scored in seven of last eight vs. KC. DHB has 4+
catches in five of his last six with 60+ yards in four of those five
and two TDs. Had a TD at KC in Week 8.
|
WR
|
Denarius Moore
|
|
Chiefs allowing 174.3 yards per game to WRs over last three. Moore
had 96 yards & a TD at KC in Week 8 but in six games since then has
just two TDs with 2.7 catches and 43.2 yards per game.
|
WR
|
Rod Streater
|
|
Evolving as a big-play threat for Raiders with 50+ yard catches in
consecutive weeks -- along with 90+ yards in each of last two.
Played on 78 pct. of snaps last week.
|
TE
|
Brandon Myers
|
|
Chiefs have given up a TD to a TE in two of last three and 40+ yards
to a TE in seven straight. Just a matter of getting targets.
|
DST
|
Raiders
|
|
Save for the Panthers, every single defense that's played the Chiefs
has posted at least 11 Fantasy points. Raiders had 17 in Week 8.
|
Brandon Myers has been hot and cold. He usually follows a
double-digit target game with a very low number of targets the next
game. Last week he had one catch, the week before he had 14 receptions.
He's due for a heavy workload this week. And because there are
protection issues with the Raiders and the running backs are always
injured, Marcel Reese should get back into the flow of this game. --
Pat Kirwan
Pittsburgh Steelers at Dallas Cowboys -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET,
Cowboys Stadium
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Ben Roethlisberger
|
|
Cowboys have allowed 10 pass TDs over their last five along with
four 250+ yard passers in their last six. After last week it should
be bombs away for Big Ben.
|
RB
|
Jonathan Dwyer
|
|
Dallas has given up five rushing TDs and 100+ total yards to primary
RBs in six straight games. Should be a no-brainer but Dwyer
disappointed in limited reps last week. Think flex.
|
WR
|
Mike Wallace
|
|
Seems clear he's back (two TDs and seven catches on 11 targets
played on all but four snaps last week). Dallas has allowed 7 TDs
and 176.2 total yards per game over its last five to WRs.
|
WR
|
Antonio Brown
|
|
Expect him to rack up a lot of catches on underneath stuff. Before
getting hurt he had 7 catches in 4 of 7 games. Has never scored in
consecutive games, though the matchup here could give him a chance.
|
TE
|
Heath Miller
|
|
The Cowboys have gone weak vs. tight ends, allowing 7+ Fantasy
points to three of the last four they've faced. Miller a candidate
to score as always.
|
DST
|
Steelers
|
|
Each of the last four DSTs to play the Cowboys have posted either 8
or 11 Fantasy points. No DST has hung more than 11 points on DAL in
the last six games.
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Tony Romo
|
|
If Dez plays, expect Romo to play well. Steelers pass rush was
sloppy last week, cornerbacks were decimated by Chargers. Way more
risky if Dez is out.
|
RB
|
DeMarco Murray
|
|
Steelers have allowed a rush TD to a RB in 4 of last 6 but have
otherwise allowed 120.0 total yards per game to RBs over that span.
Murray a candidate for 100 total yards.
|
WR
|
Dez Bryant
|
|
After Danario Alexander crushed the
Steelers in Pittsburgh it's easy to like Dez, even with nine
fingers. Guy's got 7 TDs in his last five.
|
WR
|
Miles Austin
|
|
Real good opportunity if Dez sits out but still solid if Dez plays.
Steelers have allowed 124.7 yards per game to WRs over last three
including 162 yards last week.
|
TE
|
Jason Witten
|
|
Steelers have allowed one TD to a TE over their last eight and no
more than 68 yards to a tight end all season. Witten will be
involved but can't be counted on for a ton of points.
|
DST
|
Cowboys
|
|
With Big Ben back it's tough to expect the Cowboys to post good
stats. Dallas has 11 Fantasy points or less in 9 of its last 10.
|
Dez Bryant is the Cowboys' big-play receiver with nine
touchdown passes -- the same number Jason Witten,
Miles Austin and Kevin Ogletree have combined. The Cowboys can't replace that
production at this point in the season, so they'll do whatever it takes
to get him on the field. Catching with a broken finger isn't easy but
Bryant has shown enough lately to prove he's a gamer so I wouldn't put
it past him to play and play well. If he doesn't play it means more
opportunities to blitz or double-team Witten and the Cowboys offense
could become undone. -- Pat Kirwan
San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots -- Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET,
Gillette Stadium
|
San Francisco 49ers
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Colin Kaepernick
|
|
Tough spot for Kap, especially considering he hasn't thrown a
touchdown in two straight. Pats have allowed just seven passing TDs
in its last seven games -- but two rushing TDs by QBs in its last
two.
|
RB
|
Frank Gore
|
|
Pats have allowed a touchdown to RB in four of last five games but
haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher since Week 3. You'll still start
Gore.
|
RB
|
LaMichael James
|
|
Love this speedster. Has fresh legs and incredible burst. Just can't
use him in Fantasy -- but he is the handcuff to Gore.
|
WR
|
Michael Crabtree
|
|
Since Aqib Talib arrived in NE,
receivers have scored two TDs (none in last three weeks) and
averaged 167.0 yards per game. If he plays, Crabtree is in trouble.
|
DST
|
49ers
|
|
No DST has posted more than 10 Fantasy points vs. NE this year. Try
the Lions, Jets, Titans or (gulp) Raiders DSTs as alternates.
|
New England Patriots
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Tom Brady
|
|
Of the four QBs who have thrown 2+ TDs vs. SF, three have done so
with Niners visiting them. Don't sweat Brady.
|
RB
|
Stevan Ridley
|
|
Tough call. Has scored in six straight but Niners haven't allowed a
rush TD since Week 10 (and have allowed just two all year). Ridley
has 71 yards or less in each of the four games where he hasn't
rushed for a score.
|
WR
|
Wes Welker
|
|
Despite drops last week, expect Welker to stay involved if only as a
quick target to help slow down Niners' pass rush. Niners allowing
just 138.0 pass yards per games to WRs over last four, but Pats have
a way of blowing that number up.
|
WR
|
Brandon Lloyd
|
|
After averaging 4.75 targets in four games since bye, Lloyd had nine
last week good for one of his best games w/ New England.
|
TE
|
Aaron Hernandez
|
|
Hernandez's last two games: 24 targets, 16 catches (eight in each),
155 yards, two TDs. Of course you're starting him.
|
DST
|
Patriots
|
|
Five of last six DSTs Niners have faced have scored 7 Fantasy points
or less. Not the greatest week ahead for the Patriots DST but they
could come close to 10.
|
The 49ers have to establish a running game if they want to keep Tom Brady off the field and have a chance to win. Colin Kaepernick has three touchdown passes in 127 throws (one every
43 passes) which isn't near enough against Brady's scoring production.
Brady throws a touchdown one every 17 throws and he is at home where
he's 40-2 in his last 42 regular season games and runs the no-huddle
offense to perfection. Keep in mind the Patriots score quickly and a
team like San Francisco could be playing catch up, which would put a lot
of pressure on Kaepernick. -- Pat Kirwan
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans -- Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, LP Field
|
New York Jets
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Mark Sanchez
|
|
Titans have allowed 19+ Fantasy points to 10 of 13 QBs but somehow Andrew Luck didn't get there last week. No one should trust
Sanchez.
|
RB
|
Shonn Greene
|
|
This is where the power lies: Jets will go run heavy vs. Titans
defense allowing 101.1 rush yards per game over their last three
with three TDs. Just a matter of opportunity for Greene.
|
RB
|
Bilal Powell
|
|
Reasons to like Powell: Has 11+ carries each of last four,
consistenly playing about 45% of snaps over that span with 4.0 rush
average and 1+ TD in 3 of last 4. Reasons to not like Powell: A toe
injury and Shonn Greene.
|
WR
|
Braylon Edwards
|
|
Return to New York is nice but the offense has changed since his
last time in town. Matchup isn't bad: Titans have given up 162.3
total yards per game and four TDs to wideouts over their last three.
|
DST
|
Jets
|
|
Since Jake Locker returned opposing
DSTs have posted 9+ Fantasy points in three of the last four
including 13+ Fantasy points to each of the Titans' last two
opponents. The Jets are worth it.
|
Tennessee Titans
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Jake Locker
|
|
Jets haven't faced many quality QBs lately but they haven't allowed
a passing TD in two straight. Locker has just two games all year
with multiple passing TDs.
|
RB
|
Chris Johnson
|
|
Seven games with Locker: Two 100-total-yard games, one TD. Six games
without Locker: Five 100-total-yard games, three TDs. Jets allowing
137.0 total yards per game over last three to RBs with three TDs.
|
WR
|
Kenny Britt
|
|
Jets have allowed 7 TDs to WRs in their last five but have done a
nice job vs. No. 1 receivers. That stands to mean a tough week for
Britt.
|
DST
|
Titans
|
|
Five of the last six DSTs vs. NYJ have scored an unreal 11+ Fantasy
points. Titans have quietly posted 11+ Fantasy points in three of
last four.
|
Defenses play the run first when they play the Titans. Jake Locker isn't at the point where he's the No. 1 threat on the
offense. Chris Johnson can become a
stop-and-start back and doesn't always just hit the hole. When he gets
into the stop and peak style there are lots of negative runs. Johnson
might as well become a receiver in games where he hesitates in the run
game. The last time Johnson played a Rex Ryan Jet team he had five
negative runs and didn't crack the 100-yard mark in 22 carries. The Jets
will be prepared for him. -- Pat Kirwan
Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles -- Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET,
Lincoln Financial Field
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Andy Dalton
|
|
Each of the last seven QBs to play Philly have 2+ TDs against them.
Eagles haven't intercepted a pass in six straight. Dalton should
rebound.
|
RB
|
BenJarvus Green-Ellis
|
|
Riding a four-game streak with 100+ total yards. Philly has allowed
100+ total yards to each of last two starting RBs along with a score
to each. Count on him.
|
WR
|
A.J. Green
|
|
Would have had another big game if not for two costly drops last
week. Philly has allowed at least one 10+ Fantasy point WR in each
of last eight games. The Eagles have been torched on deep passes, a
specialty of his.
|
WR
|
Andrew Hawkins
|
|
Deep-league gamble. Bengals seem enamored with his speed, should
continue to see targets. Very much a boom-or-bust type.
|
TE
|
Jermaine Gresham
|
|
Here's a weird stat: Only one TE with more than three targets vs.
PHI has scored all year. Might mean a long week for Gresham.
|
DST
|
Bengals
|
|
Eagles have allowed 9+ Fantasy points to each of last nine DSTs. The
Bengals a safe haven in a sea of tough DST choices in Week 15.
|
Philadelphia Eagles
|
Pos.
|
Name
|
Rating
|
Comment
|
QB
|
Nick Foles
|
|
Finally broke through last week for Philly but it came vs. Bucs'
awful pass defense. Only two of the last 11 QBs to face Bengals have
thrown multiple touchdowns.
|
RB
|
Bryce Brown
|
|
Tough call for a big rebound game. Has potential but Bengals run
defense has allowed just four 100-total-yard running backs all
season amd two rush TDs in their last six.
|
WR
|
Jeremy Maclin
|
|
Cincy allowing 116.2 yards per game to WRs over its last five with
just two passing scores. This isn't Tampa Bay. Maclin's an iffy flex.
|
TE
|
Clay Harbor
|
|
Has a chance to be useful with Celek out. Caught all six of his
targets last week. Bengals have improved vs. tight ends, holding
opponents to 52.2 total yards per game with no TDs over last five.
|
DST
|
Eagles
|
|
The last two DSTs vs. Cincy have posted 11+ Fantasy points but
Eagles haven't exceeded eight points since Week 1.
|
I talked with Nick Foles last week and
he is one relaxed, confident player. He has great size and a strong arm
like Joe Flacco. He will be confronted
with a very good Bengals pass rush which will make things difficult for
him. The short week doesn't help his cause but I still think he can find
a way to throw for over 200 yards and a touchdown after building even
more confidence last week. -- Pat Kirwan
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