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The Detroit Lions (12-2) will try to sweep their season series with the Chicago Bears (4-10) when the NFC North rivals meet on Sunday afternoon. Detroit had its 11-game winning streak snapped in a 48-42 loss to Buffalo last week, falling into a tie with Minnesota atop the division standings. Chicago has lost eight consecutive games, wrapping up a two-game road trip with a 30-12 loss to Minnesota last week. The Bears came up just short when they faced the Lions on Thanksgiving, as Detroit escaped with a 23-20 win. David Montgomery (knee) is out for Detroit.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Soldier Field. The Lions are favored by 6.5 points in the latest Bears vs. Lions odds, while the over/under is 48 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Lions vs. Bears picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 27-11 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 207-139 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 61-32 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Detroit vs. Chicago. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:

  • Bears vs. Lions spread: Lions -6.5
  • Bears vs. Lions over/under: 48 points
  • Bears vs. Lions money line: Lions -312, Bears +249
  • Bears vs. Lions picks: See picks here
  • Bears vs. Lions streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Bears can cover

Chicago has lost eight games in a row, but it put together a strong showing when it traveled to Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Bears were 10-point road underdogs in that game and trailed 16-0 at halftime before staging a rally in the fourth quarter. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams completed 20 passes for 256 yards and three touchdowns in that contest. 

Williams has not thrown an interception since the middle of October, putting together eight straight clean performances. Running back D'Andre Swift leads the rushing attack with 821 yards and five touchdowns, while wide receiver DJ Moore has 76 receptions for 758 yards and five scores. The Bears have covered the spread at an 8-1-1 clip in their last 10 home games. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Lions can cover

Detroit had rattled off 11 straight wins prior to last week's narrow loss to Buffalo, with six of its victories during the hot streak coming by double digits. The Lions won three games by 38-plus points, so they are fully capable of blowing Chicago out on Sunday. They are still trying to secure the top seed in the NFC, while Chicago has nothing to play for except pride at this point of the campaign. 

Quarterback Jared Goff has 3,759 passing yards and 30 touchdowns this season after throwing five touchdown passes last week. Running back Jahmyr Gibbs has 1,047 rushing yards and 11 scores, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. The Lions are riding a six-game road winning streak and have covered the spread in 14 of their last 20 games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Bears vs. Lions picks

The model has simulated Lions vs. Bears 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Chicago vs. Detroit on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Lions vs. Bears spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 207-139 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.