The 2012 Chiefs won two games, fired their coach and brought in Andy Reid to get the franchise back on track, and for the next 12 years they never posted a losing season and made 11 trips to the playoffs. Then 2025 was an unmitigated disaster as the Chiefs opened the year with back-to-back losses, rallied back to 5-3 by midseason and then lost eight of their last nine games as well as Patrick Mahomes to an ACL tear late in that skid. Now Mahomes is in a battle with the clock to be ready for Week 1 while the defense will have to overcome the departure of multiple cornerbacks in order to get back to the top of a competitive conference.
We're taking a look at everything you need to know before making Kansas City Chiefs futures bets below, including odds, trends, 2026 schedule, offseason changes and more before sharing our preseason betting strategy for the team. Odds are via DraftKings.
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Kansas City Chiefs 2026 odds
| Odds to … | June 1 | Feb |
|---|---|---|
| Go Over win total | 10.5 (+115) | 10.5 (-105) |
| Go Under win total | 10.5 (-140) | 10.5 (-115) |
| Miss playoffs | +170 | |
| Make playoffs | -210 | |
| Win AFC West | +160 | |
| Win AFC | +740 | |
| Win Super Bowl | +1500 | +1500 |
While reports about Mahomes' recovery were largely positive during the spring, the Under on the team's win total has gained steam since February, though the Chiefs' Super Bowl odds remain at +1500. They also are still favorites in the AFC West but sit third in the conference well behind the Ravens and Bills, two teams with new head coaches for 2026.
Kansas City Chiefs futures trends
| Year | Super Bowl odds | Win total | Result | Actual wins | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +800 | 11.5 | Under | 6 | 3rd, AFC West |
| 2024 | +500 | 11.5 | Over | 15 | L, Super Bowl |
| 2023 | +600 | 11.5 | Under | 11 | W, Super Bowl |
| 2022 | +1020 | 10.5 | Over | 14 | W, Super Bowl |
| 2021 | +450 | 12.5 | Under | 12 | L, AFC Championship |
The Chiefs sitting +160 to win the division during the Patrick Mahomes era isn't unprecedented -- they were around the same price at the beginning of the 2022 season before rattling off three straight trips to the Super Bowl -- but they'll have their longest odds to win the Super Bowl heading into a season since Mahomes' first taking over as starting quarterback.
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Kansas City Chiefs 2025 season review
| Record | Py Wins | Yds/play (Rk) | Opp y/p (Rk) | DVOA (Rk) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | 9.49 | 5.14 (23) | 5.17 (13) | 5.6 (15) |
Yes, Mahomes' season ended early due to injury, but he did manage to start 14 games and saw a clear reduction in his completion percentage while getting sacked more than he's ever been. That means the fix on offense isn't simply better health, especially when the unit was 29th in goal-to-go situations. The defense finished ninth in yards per rush but just 16th against the pass and now will have to overcome the loss of multiple key cornerbacks.
Kansas City Chiefs 2026 offseason review
| Lost | Added | Drafted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Gardner Minshew | Justin Fields | Garrett Nussmeier (7) |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt, Dameon Pierce, Keaontay Ingram | Kenneth Walker, Emari Demercado | Emmett Johnson (5) |
| WR | Marquise Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster | Andrew Armstrong | Cyrus Allen (5) |
| TE | Robert Tonyan | ||
| OL | Jawaan Taylor | ||
| DL | Derrick Nnadi, Jerry Tillery, Mike Pennel | Khyiris Tonga | Peter Woods (1) |
| EDGE | Charles Omenihu, Michael Danna, Malik Herring, Janarius Robinson | R Mason Thomas (2) | |
| LB | Leo Chenal | ||
| CB | Jaylen Watson, Trent McDuffie, Joshua Williams, Nazeeh Johnson, Eric Scott | Kader Kohou, Kaiir Elam | Mansoor Delane (1), Jadon Canady (4) |
| S | Bryan Cook, Deon Bush, Mike Edwards | Alohi Gilman, Tanner McCalister | |
| STAFF | Matt Nagy (OC) | Eric Bieniemy (OC) |
Andy Reid's offense finished top six in scoring for six straight seasons starting in 2017 prior to Mahomes taking over at quarterback, including No. 1 in the league three times. Then Matt Nagy became offensive coordinator in 2023 and the offense dropped to ninth in scoring, then 16th, then 20th last year. Eric Bieniemy, who served as offensive coordinator the five seasons prior to Nagy's tenure, returns to the fold, and he'll benefit from the addition of Kenneth Walker at running back, as the Chiefs haven't had a 1,000-yard rusher since 2017. On defense, the team's rebuilt cornerback room starts with Mansoor Delane, the top cornerback prospect in this year's draft.
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Kansas City Chiefs 2026 schedule
| Week | Opp | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | Mon |
| 2 | IND | |
| 3 | @MIA | |
| 4 | @LV | |
| 5 | Bye | |
| 6 | LAC | |
| 7 | @SEA | |
| 8 | @DEN | |
| 9 | NYJ | |
| 10 | @ATL | |
| 11 | ARI | |
| 12 | @BUF | Thu |
| 13 | @LAR | Thu |
| 14 | @CIN | |
| 15 | NE | Mon |
| 16 | SF | |
| 17 | @LAC | |
| 18 | LV |
On the plus side, a third-place schedule brings a matchup with the Colts, which the schedule-makers set for Week 2 when Indy could also be dealing with a recovering QB after Daniel Jones tore his Achilles last season. But their third-place opponents also include a Bengals team that gets slotted in as the third of three consecutive tough road opponents starting on Thanksgiving against the Bills. The Chiefs will hope to have Mahomes fully healthy coming out of the Week 5 bye when they host the Chargers then have trips to Seattle and Denver against elite defenses.
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Kansas City Chiefs futures picks
- Win AFC (+750)
- Win Super Bowl (+1600)
I remain skeptical that Mahomes will make it back for Week 1, nor do I think it's smart to rush him back when the team obviously has championship aspirations. But he'll be healthy at some point, and it's hard to see how the Chiefs get shut out of the playoffs again. Once they're in the postseason, no team is as dangerous as the Chiefs, as they've proven time and again. I'll jump at betting the best price we've had available for them to win the conference and Super Bowl in the Mahomes era.
