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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6) and the Dallas Cowboys (6-8) meet in an important NFC contest on Sunday Night Football in Week 16. Tampa Bay is red-hot, as the Bucs have won four games in a row. In Week 16, the Bucs went on the road and blew out the Los Angeles Chargers 40-17. The Cowboys have won three of their last four games. Last Sunday, Dallas defeated the Carolina Panthers 30-14. Baker Mayfield (knee) missed practice on Wednesday, but returned on Thursday and carries no injury designation.

Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Dallas is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a 4-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Cowboys odds from SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 48.5. Before locking in any Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 27-11 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 207-139 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 61-32 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has simulated Bucs vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and NFL betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Cowboys vs. Bucs:

  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys spread: Tampa Bay -4
  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys over/under: 48.5 points
  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys money line: Tampa Bay -204, Dallas +169
  • TB: Buccaneers are 9-5 against the spread this season
  • DAL: Dallas is 5-9 against the spread this season
  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Mayfield is a strong-armed signal caller who can push the ball downfield. The Oklahoma product ranks fourth in the NFL in passing yards (3,617) and third in passing touchdowns (32). He's thrown for 230-plus yards in four straight games. In his last game, Mayfield went 22-of-27 for 288 yards and four passing scores. 

Receiver Mike Evans leads the team in receiving yards (749) with 52 catches. Evans is also fourth in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (9). He's surpassed 100 yards and a touchdown in two of the last three games. Last week, Evans had nine catches for 159 yards and two touchdowns. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Cowboys can cover

Receiver CeeDee Lamb continues to be the main weapon for this offense. The 25-year-old is third in the NFL in receptions (94) and receiving yards (1,089) with six touchdowns. He's scored a touchdown in consecutive weeks. In the win over the Panthers, Lamb had nine catches for 116 yards and a score.

Running back Rico Dowdle has played his best football over the past couple of weeks. Dowdle has finished with 100-plus rushing yards in three straight games. In his last outing, the South Carolina product had a season-high 149 rushing yards. In 2024, Dowdle has 880 rushing yards and 205 receiving yards. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Buccaneers vs. Cowboys picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Cowboys spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.