The Indianapolis Colts (3-3) will play a home game for the first time since the end of September when they host the Miami Dolphins (2-3) on Sunday afternoon. Indianapolis lost the first game of its two-game road trip to Jacksonville, but it bounced back with an upset win at Tennessee last week. Miami snapped a three-game losing streak with a 15-10 win at New England two weeks ago before having a bye last week. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2021, when the Colts notched a 27-17 road win.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts are favored by 3 points in the latest Colts vs. Dolphins odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 43.5 points. Before entering any Dolphins vs. Colts picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 11-3 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 192-132 roll on top-rated NFL sports betting picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 46-24 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it at their favorite betting sites or their best sports betting app is way up.
The model has set its sights on Miami vs. Indianapolis. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Colts vs. Dolphins spread: Colts -3
- Colts vs. Dolphins over/under: 43.5 points
- Colts vs. Dolphins money line: Colts -155, Dolphins +132
- Colts vs. Dolphins picks: See picks here
- Colts vs. Dolphins streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Colts can cover
Indianapolis is returning home with momentum following its upset win at Tennessee last week, and it is expected to get starting quarterback Anthony Richardson (oblique) back this week. Richardson has been a full practice participant and doesn't carry an injury designation, putting him in line to return for the first time since Week 4. He has 654 passing yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 141 yards and an additional score this season.
Running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) has been ruled out, but second-year running back Tyler Goodson stepped up last week, rushing eight times for 51 yards against the Titans. The Colts have covered the spread in five of their last six games, while the Dolphins have only covered once in their last eight games. See which team to pick here.
Why the Dolphins can cover
Miami continues to play without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (concussion), but the Dolphins were able to snap a three-game skid with a 15-10 win at New England in Week 5. Quarterback Tyler Huntley completed 18 of 31 passes for 194 yards, while rookie running back Jaylen Wright had a team-high 86 rushing yards on 13 carries. The Dolphins can lean heavily on a rushing attack that features Wright, Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane.
Achane (concussion) was a full practice participant on Wednesday and Thursday and has been cleared for Sunday. He has a team-high 183 rushing yards and a touchdown on 56 carries this season. The Dolphins have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 trips to Indianapolis. See which team to pick here.
How to make Colts vs. Dolphins picks
The model has simulated Dolphins vs. Colts 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Indianapolis vs. Miami on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Dolphins vs. Colts spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 192-132 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
