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Kalshi MLB picks today: Best trades for Rays-Dodgers, Padres-Cardinals, Marlins-Phillies on Monday

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The 2026 World Cup is in full swing, but MLB fans can take in 10 games on the diamond on Monday, headlined by an evening clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and two-time defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers. We'll go through that game and more on Monday's schedule and highlight the best trades users can make on Kalshi, with recommendations from the SportsLine Projection Model. Use the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS for Monday's MLB games to get a sign-up bonus:

Best MLB trades for Monday, June 15

  • Marlins to win, or lose by fewer than 1.5 runs vs. Phillies
  • Padres-Cardinals fewer than 8.5 runs
  • Dodgers to win vs. Rays

Marlins to win, or lose by fewer than 1.5 runs vs. Phillies

Miami has quietly been one of the best teams in baseball of late, winning eight of its last 10 games to move to .500 on the season. The Marlins are still a ways off the pace in the NL East but they can create problems for the Phillies, who are expected to be real contenders by the end of the regular season. Ryan Gusto (0-1, 6.00 ERA) gets the nod for the Marlins while Philadelphia gives the ball to Zack Wheeler (5-1, 2.22 ERA). Despite the pitching discrepancy, the SportsLine model has Miami winning, or losing by fewer than 1.5 runs, in 64% of simulations. You can make the same trade on Kalshi at 53 cents per share.

Padres-Cardinals fewer than 8.5 runs

San Diego is sending Wandy Peralta (0-1, 2.18 ERA) to the mound on Monday in what looks to be a bullpen game for the Padres. St. Louis counters with Dustin May (4-6, 4.21 ERA), who is coming off a strong outing against the Mets where he threw six scoreless innings. The Padres have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league and with May coming in off a good performance, the SportsLine model sees these teams scoring fewer than 8.5 combined runs in 51.5% of simulations. You can make this trade at 50 cents per share on Kalshi.

Trade on Marlins-Phillies, Padres-Cardinals and more MLB at Kalshi with the promo code CBSSPORTS:

Dodgers to win vs. Rays

Both teams have played .500 baseball over their last 10 games but the Dodgers have superior underlying metrics compared to the Rays, who have fallen a game behind the Yankees in the AL East. Los Angeles send Eric Lauer (2-5, 5.47 ERA) to the bump while Tampa Bay gives the ball to Nick Martinez (6-2, 2.43 ERA). Even though the Rays have the better pitcher, the SportsLine model sees L.A. winning in 64% of simulations. You can back the Dodgers on Kalshi at 62 cents per share.