There are a lot of factors that go into a quarterback's Fantasy production. His actual skill, the system he plays in, even his defense ... but I'm not sure any of them are more important than the weapons around him. Just ask Patrick Mahomes. With that in mind, I've ranked all 32 NFL teams in terms of their pass-catching weapons, and you can see those rankings below.
Now I'd really love it if I didn't have my Twitter mentions filled with people debating one or two spots in the rankings. I know that's probably too much to ask, but I did put the teams in color-coded tiers to try to avoid it. It two teams are in the same tier I'm not going to argue too much with your belief that one should be above the other. The other, more important thing I added to the ranking is the quarterback's current CBS ADP.
By now we all know that we'd prefer to wait on QB and I know that's really hard in some of your leagues. It's difficult to see 12 quarterbacks go off the board in the first three or four rounds and keep waiting. But it's still the right thing to do. There are 19 quarterbacks I'm fine with starting in 2019. Which guys should you target? Might be a good idea to start with the guys with the best weapons. Here are five quarterbacks whose ADP disagrees with their weapons' ... including one I expect to bust.
Winston came in at No. 6 in my rankings and would have been higher if I was only considering his top three weapons. He's the only quarterback in the top tier who isn't being drafted as a top-eight quarterback.
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Rivers is perpetually underrated in Fantasy, but there is a question mark surrounding Melvin Gordon's status. Still, he's a fine starter who is almost free on Draft Day.
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I'm actually going to side with the drafters on this one. The Vikings have an elite defense and a coach who wants to run the ball far more than they did last year. I'm terrified of Cousins' pass volume.
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Dalton doesn't even have an ADP on CBS right now. It's hard to get excited about him as more than a No. 2 quarterback in a two-quarterback league, especially with A.J. Green's injury.
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Wilson's No. 1 is Tyler Lockett. His No. 2 is currently unknown. He doesn't have an inspiring tight end or a back with a history of production in the passing game. Oh yeah, and his coach would love it if the Seahawks led the NFL in rush attempts this season.
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Weapons Rankings
Rank | ADP | Team | Quarterback |
1 | 1 | KC | Patrick Mahomes |
2 | 8 | LAR | Jared Goff |
3 | 6 | ATL | Matt Ryan |
4 | 7 | NO | Drew Brees |
5 | 5 | CLE | Baker Mayfield |
6 | 15 | TB | Jameis Winston |
7 | 16 | LAC | Philip Rivers |
8 | 22 | MIN | Kirk Cousins |
9 | NA | CIN | Andy Dalton |
10 | 11 | PIT | Ben Roethlisberger |
11 | 9 | PHI | Carson Wentz |
12 | 3 | IND | Andrew Luck |
13 | 4 | HOU | Deshaun Watson |
14 | 19 | CHI | Mitchell Trubisky |
15 | NA | NYG | Eli Manning |
16 | 2 | GB | Aaron Rodgers |
17 | 13 | NE | Tom Brady |
18 | 24 | DAL | Dak Prescott |
19 | 10 | CAR | Cam Newton |
20 | 26 | OAK | Derek Carr |
21 | 14 | ARI | Kyler Murray |
22 | 17 | NYJ | Sam Darnold |
23 | 21 | SF | Jimmy Garoppolo |
24 | 27 | DET | Matthew Stafford |
25 | NA | DEN | Joe Flacco |
26 | 12 | SEA | Russell Wilson |
27 | 28 | TEN | Marcus Mariota |
28 | 23 | BUF | Josh Allen |
29 | 25 | BAL | Lamar Jackson |
30 | 18 | JAC | Nick Foles |
31 | NA | MIA | Ryan Fitzpatrick |
32 | 20 | WAS | Dwayne Haskins |
So which 2019 Fantasy Football breakouts should you target in your draft? And which rookie running back is a must-have RB2? Visit SportsLine now to get 2019 Fantasy Football cheat sheets from the model that called Tevin Coleman's breakout season, and find out.