DakPrescottEzekielElliott.jpg
© Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Dak Prescott took a massive step forward in 2019 with the help of new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. Moore is still there, but he'll be helping out former Packers coach Mike McCarthy, who spent the offseason telling anyone who would listen he is all-in on forward-thinking, analytically-driven decision making. Fantasy players just want him to get the ball to Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and first-rounder CeeDee Lamb, thanks.

2019 Review

Record: 8-8 (14)
PPG: 
27.1 (6) 
YPG: 431.5 (1)
Pass YPG: 296.9 (2) 
Rush YPG: 134.6 (5) 
PAPG: 37.3 (10)
RAPG: 28.1 (8)

2019 Fantasy Finishes

QB: Dak Prescott QB3
RB: Ezekiel Elliott RB3, Tony Pollard RB53
WR: Amari Cooper WR10, Michael Gallup WR24, Randall Cobb* WR42
TE: Jason Witten* TE11, Blake Jarwin TE29
*No longer on team

Number to know: 596

The 596 pass attempts for Prescott were 70 more than he'd ever attempted before. If the Cowboys are close to 600 passes again in 2020, then it's not that hard to imagine Elliott, Cooper, Gallup, Lamb, and Jarwin all having Fantasy value. In that scenario, Prescott is likely repeating as a top-three quarterback in all formats and he could challenge for No. 1. But any pass volume regression at all means at least one of the guys above are getting squeezed out of the picture in terms of targets.

2020 Offseason

Draft Picks 

1. (17) CeeDee Lamb, WR
2. (51) Trevon Diggs, CB
3. (82) Neville Gallimore, DT
4. (123) Reggie Robinson II, CB
4. (146) Tyler Biadasz, C
5. (179) Bradlee Anae, DE
7. (231) Ben DiNucci, QB

Additions

K Greg Zuerlein, DT Gerald McCoy, DB Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, QB Andy Dalton

Key Departures

C Travis Frederick, WR Randall Cobb, TE Jason Witten, DE Robert Quinn

Available Opportunity 

98 wide receiver targets, 83 tight end targets

Rankings and Projections

Player
player headshot
Jamey Eisenberg
player headshot
Dave Richard
player headshot
Heath Cummings
Dak Prescott QB4 QB3 QB3
Ezekiel Elliott RB4 RB2 RB4
Tony Pollard RB57 RB48 RB56
Amari Cooper WR19 WR18 WR12
Michael Gallup WR35 WR41 WR26
CeeDee Lamb WR41 WR40 WR47
Blake Jarwin TE24 TE23 TE17
Greg Zuerlein K5 K5 K5
Cowboys DST DST21 DST19 DST17

Heath Cummings' projections
QB Dak Prescott 4,510 YD, 28 TD, 7 INT; 263 Rush YD, 4 TD
RB Ezekiel Elliott 1,236 YD, 10 TD; 54 REC, 438 YD, 2 TD
RB Tony Pollard 395 YD, 2 TD; 18 REC, 125 YD, 1 TD
WR Amari Cooper 129 TAR, 82 REC, 1,204 YD, 7 TD
WR Michael Gallup 129 TAR, 71 REC, 1,134 YD, 5 TD
WR CeeDee Lamb 100 TAR, 60 REC, 836 YD, 5 TD
TE Blake Jarwin 70 TAR, 53 REC, 553 YD, 5 TD

Biggest Question

How high is Dak Prescott's upside?

"Under first-year coordinator Kellen Moore, Prescott shattered previous career highs in passing attempts, yardage and touchdowns. Moore is back despite a head coaching change, and the hope is that the vertical passing offense will be, too. The Cowboys added to their arsenal, grabbing Oklahoma standout CeeDee Lamb in the first round of the draft, and Prescott has a ton of weapons at his disposal. Add in his rushing ability, and Prescott looks like the QB3." - Ben Gretch

One sleeper, one breakout and one bust

Sleeper
DAL Dallas • #89
Age: 30 • Experience: 6 yrs.
2019 Stats
REC
31
TAR
41
REYDS
365
TD
3
FPTS/G
5.3

If Witten can be a top 12 tight end in this offense at 37 years old, just imagine what a more athletic Jarwin could do. In Moore's first year as a play caller, the Cowboys dedicated 127 targets to their tight ends. With Witten off to Oakland, Jarwin will be the main beneficiary. 

In his first three years in the league, Jarwin has seen 77 targets and turned them into 58 catches for 672 yards and six scores. That would have made him TE8 in PPR last year. While it's possible his efficiency falls off as the feature tight end, it's not as if defenses will pay him any mind at all with Cooper, Gallup, Lamb, and Elliott on the field. Jarwin is available in the last round of most drafts and has a very good shot of finishing as a top-12 tight end if he plays 16 games.

Breakout
DAL Dallas • #88
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Prospect Profile
2020 NFL Draft
17th overall (Round 1)
Height
6-2
Weight
198
40 time
4.50

The one guy who could negatively impact Jarwin is Lamb. The Cowboys could legitimately have three star receivers and it's possible Moore adjusts by giving fewer targets to his tight ends. It's also possible by midseason Lamb has overtaken Gallup and/or Cooper. He's that special of a talent. 

We're talking about a receiver who dominated targets and production as a 19-year-old sophomore at Oklahoma. He has a great combination of size and speed and he's already shown an ability to move inside or outside, running a variety of routes. Opposing defenses won't be able to double-team Lamb and they may have to place their third-best corner on him, at least at the beginning of the year. That could lead to massive efficiency for the uber-talented rookie.

Bust
BUF Buffalo • #2
Age: 30 • Experience: 10 yrs.
2019 Stats
REC
79
TAR
119
REYDS
1189
TD
8
FPTS/G
15.3

We have Cooper ranked 36th in our consensus rankings, so we don't actually expect him to bust. But if someone is going to bust in Dallas, he's the most likely. In 2019, he essentially split work with Michael Gallup and disappeared against the Cowboys' most difficult opponents. With Lamb added to the equation, there's a risk of more busts and fewer booms for the up-and-down receiver.

Against the Patriots, Rams, Bills and Saints, Cooper combined for 12-152-0 on 23 targets. In 2020, he'll open with Jalen Ramsey and the Rams but also has the AFC North and the 49ers on the schedule. If teams take Cooper away, Prescott has shown that he's more than willing to take advantage of mismatches in other places. With both Gallup and Lamb, he'll have multiple mismatches to choose from.

If you're drafting Cooper you're hoping opposing defenses decide the Cowboys options are too great to treat anyone like a No.1. You're also accepting that Cooper will likely have four to five weeks where he disappears, because he always does.

Fantasy Previews 
AFC East: Bills | Jets | Patriots | Dolphins 
NFC East: Giants | Cowboys | Eagles | Redskins 
AFC South: Colts | Texans | Jaguars | Titans 
NFC South: Panthers | Bucs |  Falcons | Saints 
AFC North: Ravens | Steelers | Browns | Bengals 
NFC North: Packers | Vikings | Bears | Lions 
AFC West: Chiefs | Broncos | Raiders | Chargers 
NFC West: Seahawks | 49ers | Rams | Cardinals  

So what Fantasy football sleepers should you snatch in your draft? And which WR1 candidate can you wait on until late? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy Football cheat sheets from the model that was all over Derrick Henry's huge season, and find out.