Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds, prediction, time: 2026 NBA picks for Thursday, Jan. 29 from advanced model

The two teams who met in last season's Western Conference Finals will get reacquainted on Thursday's NBA schedule as the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Minnesota Timberwolves. OKC (38-10) won that West Finals series in five games and is coming off a 104-95 victory over New Orleans on Tuesday. Minnesota (29-19) has won back-to-back outings, most recently defeating Dallas, 118-105, on Wednesday. Guard Jalen Williams (hamstring) is out for Oklahoma City. Mike Conley (back) is out for Minnesota, while Rudy Gobert (ankle) is questionable.

Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis. These teams have alternated wins and losses over their last eight regular-season matchups, with the Wolves prevailing in the last meeting. The latest Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds have OKC as 6.5-point favorites per DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 228.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $300 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 37-16 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.   

Now, the model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Timberwolves:

New users can check out the latest bet365 bonus code to get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:

How to make Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks

After 10,000 simulations of Wolves vs. Thunder, SportsLine's model is going Over on the total (228.5). Three of their last four matchups in Minnesota have gone Over, and these are two of the most potent offenses in the NBA. The Thunder lead the league in scoring and rank among the top three in field goal percentage, 2-point percentage and free throw percentage. As for the Wolves, they own the No. 5 scoring offense and also boast top-5 rankings in field goal percentage and 3-point percentage.

OKC will be without defensive ace Alex Caruso (adductor) and All-Defensive member in Jalen Williams, while Cason Wallace (hip), who ranks second in the NBA with 2.1 steals per game, is questionable. That's lots of firepower on the defensive end for the Thunder, which is why the model projects them to allow nearly 5 more points than their regular season average. With that, the Over hits 51.8% of the time.

It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's NBA picks. 

So who wins Thunder vs. Wolves, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.