If running backs are top-heavy and tight ends are in short supply, wide receivers are the all-you-can-eat buffet of the century. The position is insanely deep and not particularly top-heavy, meaning you can find starters you'll feel good about with plenty of your picks.
All the more reason to focus on other positions early on. Hint hint.
College football has spawned so many exciting new receivers, and they're adapting to the pro game faster than their predecessors. Not that their more recent predecessors are getting pushed out the door -- plenty of really good veterans are still big-time factors.
But if we're looking for 15 PPR points per week from a starting Fantasy receiver, we should be able to find someone who has the outlook to deliver it pretty easily. On average, 25.9 wide receivers averaged 15 PPR points per week in 2020. On a per-person basis, 17 receivers averaged 15 PPR points per game and another 15 averaged between 13 and 14.9.
Make no mistake, receivers are safe. That's why it's understandable to go after these guys with, say, two of your first four picks. These pass catchers tend to stay healthier than their running back counterparts and can provide some good consistency. Plus the game is changing in their favor -- teams are passing more and the league is loaded with exciting quarterbacks.
But as has been the case for a few years, offenses are employing more spread formations, meaning that wide receiver target shares are getting watered down a little. Maybe that changes as the league moves to a 17-game slate, but it's unlikely to alter anything greatly.
The rush to draft running backs early will push some great values into your face at receiver. Take advantage. You should feel comfortable drafting anyone into the sixth tier, or Round 7, as a startable part of your lineup. You might even feel OK with a couple of other receivers you'll find one round later. And even if you don't, there are always players out there, both later on Draft Day and on the waiver wire, who should at least provide a floor of 10 PPR points.
But even if that makes you nervous, you could always choose just enough wide receivers from the first five tiers to cover your league's lineup requirements. Chase a couple of other receivers later, namely, those who you believe can pick up at least six targets per game and/or have early-season breakout potential (good role, good quarterback, friendly schedule).
DAVE'S FAVORITE STRATEGY: Bake your receiver picks into your strategies at other positions. Don't force yourself to take one when there's a better value at running back or tight end early on. Assume you'll be able to find a receiver you'll like until you get to Round 8.
Wide receiver PPR tiers (updated 9/1)
D. Adams
NYJ
Davante Adams
NYJ
|
T. Hill
MIA
Tyreek Hill
MIA
|
S. Diggs
HOU
Stefon Diggs
HOU
|
C. Ridley
TEN
Calvin Ridley
TEN
|
D. Hopkins
KC
DeAndre Hopkins
KC
|
A. Brown
PHI
A.J. Brown
PHI
|
D. Metcalf
SEA
DK Metcalf
SEA
|
K. Allen
CHI
Keenan Allen
CHI
|
J. Jefferson
MIN
Justin Jefferson
MIN
|
A. Robinson
DET
Allen Robinson
DET
|
R. Woods
HOU
Robert Woods
HOU
|
T. McLaurin
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WAS
|
C. Lamb
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
DAL
|
C. Godwin
TB
Chris Godwin
TB
|
T. Lockett
SEA
Tyler Lockett
SEA
|
A. Cooper
BUF
Amari Cooper
BUF
|
D. Johnson
BAL
Diontae Johnson
BAL
|
C. Kupp
LAR
Cooper Kupp
LAR
|
J. Jones
PHI
Julio Jones
PHI
|
M. Evans
TB
Mike Evans
TB
|
J. Jeudy
CLE
Jerry Jeudy
CLE
|
B. Aiyuk
SF
Brandon Aiyuk
SF
|
J. Chase
CIN
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN
|
T. Boyd
TEN
Tyler Boyd
TEN
|
T. Higgins
CIN
Tee Higgins
CIN
|
A. Thielen
CAR
Adam Thielen
CAR
|
C. Claypool
BUF
Chase Claypool
BUF
|
R. Chosen
MIA
Robbie Chosen
MIA
|
C. Sutton
DEN
Courtland Sutton
DEN
|
K. Golladay
NYG
Kenny Golladay
NYG
|
A. Brown
TB
Antonio Brown
TB
|
D. Smith
PHI
DeVonta Smith
PHI
|
O. Beckham Jr.
MIA
Odell Beckham Jr.
MIA
|
J. Waddle
MIA
Jaylen Waddle
MIA
|
J. Meyers
LV
Jakobi Meyers
LV
|
L. Shenault Jr.
SEA
Laviska Shenault Jr.
SEA
|
M. Thomas
NO
Michael Thomas
NO
|
M. Jones
DET
Marvin Jones
DET
|
M. Callaway
TB
Marquez Callaway
TB
|
B. Cooks
DAL
Brandin Cooks
DAL
|
D. Mooney
ATL
Darnell Mooney
ATL
|
C. Davis
NYJ
Corey Davis
NYJ
|
M. Brown
KC
Marquise Brown
KC
|
W. Fuller
MIA
Will Fuller
MIA
|
M. Hardman
KC
Mecole Hardman
KC
|
E. Moore
CLE
Elijah Moore
CLE
|
M. Pittman
IND
Michael Pittman
IND
|
D. Samuel
SF
Deebo Samuel
SF
|
H. Ruggs III
LV
Henry Ruggs III
LV
|
J. Landry
NO
Jarvis Landry
NO
|
C. Samuel
BUF
Curtis Samuel
BUF
|
P. Campbell
PHI
Parris Campbell
PHI
|
M. Gallup
LV
Michael Gallup
LV
|
M. Williams
PIT
Mike Williams
PIT
|
B. Edwards
NO
Bryan Edwards
NO
|
R. Moore
ATL
Rondale Moore
ATL
|
S. Shepard
TB
Sterling Shepard
TB
|
E. Sanders
BUF
Emmanuel Sanders
BUF
|
R. Gage
SF
Russell Gage
SF
|
J. Reagor
LAC
Jalen Reagor
LAC
|
A. St. Brown
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET
|
C. Beasley
NYG
Cole Beasley
NYG
|
R. Bateman
BAL
Rashod Bateman
BAL
|
D. Parker
PHI
DeVante Parker
PHI
|
T. Williams
DET
Tyrell Williams
DET
|
G. Davis
JAC
Gabe Davis
JAC
|
J. Crowder
WAS
Jamison Crowder
WAS
|
Wide receiver Non-PPR tiers (updated 9/1)
T. Hill
MIA
Tyreek Hill
MIA
|
D. Adams
NYJ
Davante Adams
NYJ
|
S. Diggs
HOU
Stefon Diggs
HOU
|
C. Ridley
TEN
Calvin Ridley
TEN
|
D. Hopkins
KC
DeAndre Hopkins
KC
|
A. Brown
PHI
A.J. Brown
PHI
|
D. Metcalf
SEA
DK Metcalf
SEA
|
J. Jefferson
MIN
Justin Jefferson
MIN
|
A. Robinson
DET
Allen Robinson
DET
|
R. Woods
HOU
Robert Woods
HOU
|
T. McLaurin
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WAS
|
K. Allen
CHI
Keenan Allen
CHI
|
T. Lockett
SEA
Tyler Lockett
SEA
|
C. Lamb
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
DAL
|
A. Cooper
BUF
Amari Cooper
BUF
|
C. Godwin
TB
Chris Godwin
TB
|
M. Evans
TB
Mike Evans
TB
|
D. Johnson
BAL
Diontae Johnson
BAL
|
J. Jones
PHI
Julio Jones
PHI
|
J. Jeudy
CLE
Jerry Jeudy
CLE
|
C. Kupp
LAR
Cooper Kupp
LAR
|
B. Aiyuk
SF
Brandon Aiyuk
SF
|
J. Chase
CIN
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN
|
T. Higgins
CIN
Tee Higgins
CIN
|
C. Claypool
BUF
Chase Claypool
BUF
|
R. Chosen
MIA
Robbie Chosen
MIA
|
T. Boyd
TEN
Tyler Boyd
TEN
|
A. Thielen
CAR
Adam Thielen
CAR
|
C. Sutton
DEN
Courtland Sutton
DEN
|
D. Smith
PHI
DeVonta Smith
PHI
|
K. Golladay
NYG
Kenny Golladay
NYG
|
J. Waddle
MIA
Jaylen Waddle
MIA
|
A. Brown
TB
Antonio Brown
TB
|
O. Beckham Jr.
MIA
Odell Beckham Jr.
MIA
|
M. Thomas
NO
Michael Thomas
NO
|
D. Mooney
ATL
Darnell Mooney
ATL
|
M. Callaway
TB
Marquez Callaway
TB
|
M. Jones
DET
Marvin Jones
DET
|
L. Shenault Jr.
SEA
Laviska Shenault Jr.
SEA
|
M. Brown
KC
Marquise Brown
KC
|
J. Meyers
LV
Jakobi Meyers
LV
|
C. Davis
NYJ
Corey Davis
NYJ
|
W. Fuller
MIA
Will Fuller
MIA
|
M. Hardman
KC
Mecole Hardman
KC
|
B. Cooks
DAL
Brandin Cooks
DAL
|
H. Ruggs III
LV
Henry Ruggs III
LV
|
M. Pittman
IND
Michael Pittman
IND
|
E. Moore
CLE
Elijah Moore
CLE
|
C. Samuel
BUF
Curtis Samuel
BUF
|
M. Gallup
LV
Michael Gallup
LV
|
R. Moore
ATL
Rondale Moore
ATL
|
J. Landry
NO
Jarvis Landry
NO
|
D. Samuel
SF
Deebo Samuel
SF
|
M. Williams
PIT
Mike Williams
PIT
|
B. Edwards
NO
Bryan Edwards
NO
|
E. Sanders
BUF
Emmanuel Sanders
BUF
|
R. Bateman
BAL
Rashod Bateman
BAL
|
P. Campbell
PHI
Parris Campbell
PHI
|
J. Reagor
LAC
Jalen Reagor
LAC
|
So which sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen's huge season, and find out.