If disaster struck you at the quarterback position in Week 15, you're not alone. Patrick Mahomes and Geno Smith left with injuries. Jameis Winston and Will Levis were benched. Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa, amongst others, failed to live up to expectations. If you survived and moved on, congratulations. You may just have to lower your expectations for Week 16.

In my early Week 16 projections, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, and Baker Mayfield are the only quarterbacks projected for more than 20 Fantasy points. Only eight quarterbacks are projected to score 19 Fantasy points, and only 12 are projected to score 18. One of those guys is available in more than half of leagues; he's the star of the waiver wire section below.

For those of you in Superflex leagues, you may have questions about the replacement QBs. I don't expect any of them to matter in one-QB leagues, but Carson Wentz and Mason Rudolph are my favorite options in deep Superflex leagues if you need them. That's only because I assume Cooper Rush is already rostered in those leagues. Rush is coming off a three-touchdown game and faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers; he's a top-20 option for me in Week 16 and a good QB2 in Superflex.

Let's get to the rest of the preview:

No ad available

Fantasy Football Playoffs QB Preview

QB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 103.2 -- Josh Allen has scored 103 Fantasy points in his last two games combined.
  • 4 -- Four times this season, Lamar Jackson has thrown at least four touchdown passes and zero interceptions.
  • 11.6 -- This will be Jared Goff's second true outdoor game of the season. He scored 11.6 Fantasy points at Green Bay earlier this year.
  • 289 -- Aaron Rodgers has thrown for at least 289 yards in back-to-back starts. He didn't do that once the first 13 weeks of the season.
  • 24 -- The Panthers have allowed three of the past four QBs they've faced to score at least 24 Fantasy points.
  • 3.75% -- Mason Rudolph's sack rate is just 3.75% this season, compared to 12.35% for Will Levis.
  • 17 -- Carson Wentz had 17 rush attempts in his only start last year for the Rams. He scored 28.1 Fantasy points in that game.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Kyler Murray QB
ARI Arizona • #1
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CAR ARI -4 O/U 47

OPP VS QB

29th

PROJ PTS

22.8

QB RNK

9th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3086

RUYDS

455

TD

19

INT

8

FPTS/G

18.7
Jayden Daniels QB
WAS Washington • #5
Age: 24 • Experience: Rookie

Weekly Breakdown

vs PHI PHI -3.5 O/U 45.5

OPP VS QB

4th

PROJ PTS

21

QB RNK

8th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3045

RUYDS

656

TD

23

INT

6

FPTS/G

22.8
Cooper Rush QB
DAL Dallas • #10
Age: 31 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs TB TB -4 O/U 49.5

OPP VS QB

31st

PROJ PTS

15.2

QB RNK

16th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1405

RUYDS

20

TD

10

INT

3

FPTS/G

10.8
Baker Mayfield QB
TB Tampa Bay • #6
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ DAL TB -4 O/U 49.5

OPP VS QB

26th

PROJ PTS

24.1

QB RNK

5th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3617

RUYDS

266

TD

35

INT

14

FPTS/G

25.1
Jordan Love QB
GB Green Bay • #10
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs NO GB -13.5 O/U 42

OPP VS QB

9th

PROJ PTS

22.6

QB RNK

11th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2953

RUYDS

75

TD

24

INT

11

FPTS/G

20.9
QB Preview
Streamers
Week 16 Streamers (QB Preview)
Aaron Rodgers QB
NYJ N.Y. Jets • #8
Age: 41 • Experience: 20 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LAR LAR -3.5 O/U 46.5

OPP VS QB

24th

QB RNK

10th

ROSTERED

45%

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3255

RUYDS

101

TD

23

INT

8

FPTS/G

18.9
Rodgers tops this list for the second week in a row, and we can only hope it goes as well as last week. He's a top-12 option in Week 16 partially because of recent play and partially because of the landscape of the position this week. Rodgers is QB14 with an average of 20.5 FPPG since Davante Adams joined the team, and he's averaged 26.8 in his last two.
Cooper Rush QB
DAL Dallas • #10
Age: 31 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs TB TB -4 O/U 49.5

OPP VS QB

31st

QB RNK

16th

ROSTERED

34%

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1405

RUYDS

20

TD

10

INT

3

FPTS/G

10.8
Whereas I actually want to start Rodgers, Rush is more of a "break glass in case of emergency." I would start him over Kirk Cousins, Bo Nix, CJ Stroud, and Russell Wilson this week. Tampa Bay has been one of the very best matchups for QBs, and Rush has thrown multiple touchdown passes in three of his last four games.
QB Preview
Week 16 Stashes
Week 16 Stashes
Mason Rudolph QB
TEN Tennessee • #11
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ IND IND -4 O/U 42.5

OPP VS QB

19th

QB RNK

22nd

ROSTERED

3%

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1015

RUYDS

75

TD

7

INT

5

FPTS/G

15.6
Looking for a Week 17 streamer? I hope you can get Aaron Rodgers this week. If the situation is more bleak than that, you should consider Mason Rudolph. Rudolph has produced multiple touchdowns in three straight outings, and he'll face Jacksonville, who has given up the most Fantasy points to opposing QBs this year. Rudolph could be a good start in the Fantasy Championship of a Superflex league.
QB Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Baker Mayfield QB
TB Tampa Bay • #6
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ DAL TB -4 O/U 49.5

OPP VS QB

26th

PROJ PTS

24.1

QB RNK

5th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3617

RUYDS

266

TD

35

INT

14

FPTS/G

25.1
Baker Mayfield has re-emerged as a top-five QB this week, and he's my favorite value on the slate at QB. Stack him with Mike Evans and CeeDee Lamb and find somewhere else to go contrarian (more on that below).
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Kyler Murray QB
ARI Arizona • #1
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Yes, Kyler Murray has been awful lately. Thankfully, it's become quite clear that Murray's recent production is not predictive of his future production. He's facing the best QB matchup on the slate, he always has 30-point upside, and his team is an easy one to stack. I wouldn't touch him in cash games, but he's my favorite contrarian QB.
QB Preview
Heath's projections

My full set of Week 16 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 16. Projected stats for all starting running backs are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.