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Player Outlook
Expectations for Kodai Senga were high coming into 2024, especially with how he closed the 2023 season once he was fully acclimated to the major league environment. However, Senga pitched fewer major league innings than Spencer Strider in 2024, as a shoulder capsule injury late in camp shelved him until late July. Senga then came back to pitch on July 26 only to injure his calf muscle and then miss the remainder of the regular season. All we have to move forward with a valuation of the pitcher is the recency bias of his health around just how awesome his ghost fork pitch is for results. That fork ball had a 60 percent whiff rate in 2023, which is beyond absurd, but his cutter and four-seamer also did very well. There is no doubt Senga has the stuff to be a staff ace for the Mets and fantasy teams, but the recent health issues are a vivid reminder of what his downside can be. We almost suggest treating Senga as you did Chris Sale in 2024 drafts; focus on the upside while determining just how comfortable you are with the downside.

Fantasy Stats

Year fpts
Fantasy Points
fpts/g
Fantasy Points per Game
ip
Innings Pitched
w
Wins
l
Losses
sv
Saves
so
Strikeouts
bb
Base on Balls (Walk)
era
Earned Run Average
whip
Walks and Hits Allowed Per Inning
2025 0.00 0.00
2024 21.521.5 5.3 1 9 1 3.38 0.56
2023 43415 166.3 12 7 202 77 2.98 1.22
3y Avg. 22314.9 86.0 6 4 106 39 2.93 1.20
Projections Powered by
Fantasy Performance by Week
95%
Roster
46%
Start
#43
SP Rank

Fantasy News

  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Dominates Nats in Thursday's start

    Senga gave up an unearned run on zero hits and two walks over 3.2 innings during Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Nationals. He struck out six. Facing most of Washington's Opening Day lineup, Senga saw CJ Abrams cross the plate in the first inning after a walk, a stolen base and a throwing error by Luis Torrens on a strikeout of James Wood, but the right-hander shook it off and breezed through the rest of his outing. Senga has a 2.00 ERA and 9:2 K:BB through nine Grapefruit League innings, and while the Mets will keep a careful eye on his workload -- he won't make his 2025 debut until the fifth game of the season, April 1 in Miami -- he seems fully recovered from last year's injury woes.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Won't pitch in first series

    Senga is expected to make his first start of the season April 1 in Miami, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports. That would be the Mets' fifth game of the year, after the team opens the season with a three-game set in Houston. The decision to hold Senga back is a strong sign New York will continue to monitor his workload in 2025, but the 32-year-old says he's felt good this spring and hasn't had trouble bouncing back from any of his outings. "I have a growing understanding of where my body is and what I can do and can't do at this point," Senga said after Friday's start. The Mets need him to regain his 2023 form, when he produced a 2.98 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 202:77 K:BB over 166.1 innings in his North America debut.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Unveils sinker in spring debut

    Senga worked a sinker into his repertoire during Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Marlins, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports. If he's comfortable enough with the pitch to use it during the regular season, it would give Senga something that can work inside to right-handed batters, while the rest of his offerings tend to move away from righties. The 32-year-old right-hander is mainly looking to stay healthy in 2025 after he was limited to just 5.1 innings during the regular season last year and another 5.0 frames in the playoffs due to shoulder and calf injuries. He got his spring off to a strong start Monday, tossing 20 of 31 pitches for strikes over two scoreless innings against Miami while giving up two hits and striking out two.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Spring debut coming Monday

    Senga will make his first start of spring training Monday against the Marlins, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports. The right-hander has been building up in spring games and is now ready to make his first Grapefruit League appearance Monday. Senga is scheduled to pitch one inning before moving to the back fields to round out his throwing program.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Not ready for official games

    Senga is not ready to pitch in Grapefruit League games since he is due to make a couple more simulated outings in a controlled environment, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Given Senga logged just 10.1 innings last year, including the postseason, due to shoulder and calf issues, it's wise to be skeptical of his ability to be ready for a full starter's workload on Opening Day, at least until we see him in official Grapefruit League games. Healey reports feedback about Senga's health and buildup continues to be positive, and Senga certainly has a rotation spot if he's able to get ready in time.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Fully healthy since early January

    Senga said Tuesday that he's felt fully healthy since the beginning of January, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Senga made just four appearances in 2024 between the regular season and playoffs due to shoulder and calf problems. He spent the first half of the offseason rehabbing but has gone through his normal throwing progression since then and won't have any restrictions at the start of camp. The 32-year-old had a 2.98 ERA and 202 strikeouts in the 2023 regular season and could be in line for a big bounce-back season in 2025 if he can stay off the injured list.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Unlikely to pitch Friday

    Mets manager Carlos Mendoza indicated that Senga is unlikely to pitch Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Mendoza had previously said Senga would be used in some capacity. However, David Peterson will start the game and it now appears Mendoza doesn't intend to use Senga in relief, barring an emergency. Senga started Game 1 of the NLCS and yielded three runs with a 0:4 K:BB over 1.1 innings.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Could pitch in relief in Game 5

    Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Wednesday that Senga will pitch Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS versus the Dodgers, although not necessarily as the starter, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Senga started Game 1 of the NLCS and struggled mightily, allowing three runs with a 0:4 K:BB over 1.1 innings. While Mendoza is committed to giving the right-hander another shot in Game 5, it appears it could come as a reliever.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Named NLCS Game 1 starter

    Senga will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Sunday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Senga managed to last only two innings during his start in Game 1 of the NLDS -- his first time pitching since suffering a left calf strain in late July. There's a good chance he makes another abbreviated start Sunday, opening up an opportunity for David Peterson to possibly work as a bulk reliever.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Likely to start potential Game 5

    Mets manager Carlos Mendoza indicated Monday that Senga is likely to start a potential Game 5 of the NLDS against the Phillies, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports. Mendoza is holding off on naming a starter until he knows whether the game will be necessary, but Senga is tentatively lined up after recovering from his Game 1 start with no issues. Senga allowed one run over two innings in Game 1 and is expected to be stretched out for three frames in a potential Game 5 start.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Out through regular season

    Manager Carlos Mendoza said Sunday that Senga (calf) will not return from the 60-day injured list during the regular season after the right-hander felt tightness in his right tricep during a rehab outing with Triple-A Syracuse on Saturday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports. Senga will continue to throw, which suggests a return during the postseason may still be on the table, but he will end the regular season having made a lone appearance with the big club. The 31-year-old began the season on the IL with a shoulder strain and then strained his calf in his 2024 debut in July. His innings will be tough to project in 2025 after the injury-plagued season.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Throws 15 pitches in rehab outing

    Senga (calf) threw one scoreless inning while striking out two batters in his rehab outing with Triple-A Syracuse on Saturday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Senga was slated to throw 35 pitches over one or two innings Saturday, but he had a long break following his one frame of work due to Syracuse scoring eight runs in the next half-inning. Barring any setbacks, the 31-year-old right-hander could come off the injured list and join the Mets' bullpen for the final games of the regular season.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Throws off mound, does PFP drills

    Senga (calf) threw a bullpen session and did some pitchers' fielding practice drills Tuesday, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports. Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said afterward that it remains possible Senga will return sometime during the final week of the regular season. If that happens, it will almost certainly have to be in a relief role, as Senga does not have time to get stretched back out to start.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Throws off mound

    Senga (calf) threw a 25-pitch bullpen session Wednesday with increased intensity, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports. Senga implied recently that he's past his left calf strain at this point and is now focused on getting his arm back in shape. It could be too late in the season to build him back up as a starter, but Senga has expressed a willingness to pitch in relief, if that's where the Mets would like to use him. It's unclear when he might be ready for a rehab assignment.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Playing catch

    Manager Carlos Mendoza said Friday that Senga (calf) is playing catch out to 90 feet, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. Senga won't return during the regular season, but he continues to rehab in hopes of returning in time for postseason play, should the Mets qualify. The 31-year-old still has plenty of hurdles to jump over before being activated, but it's encouraging that he's been able to play catch. Senga has made only one big-league start this season.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Shifts to 60-day IL

    The Mets transferred Senga (calf) to the 60-day injured list Sunday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. The 31-year-old was ruled out for the regular season after being diagnosed with a high-grade calf strain Saturday, so the move to the 60-day IL isn't a surprise. A postseason return for Senga has yet to be ruled out, but he'll likely need to avoid any setbacks during his rehab program for that to remain a possibility.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Back on injured list

    The Mets placed Senga on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a left calf strain. Senga missed the first four months of the year due to injuries to his right shoulder and triceps, and his season debut was cut short Friday after he strained his calf in the sixth inning. He's slated to undergo an MRI on Saturday that will help determine how long he will have to spend on the injured list, though the Mets don't believe the right-hander suffered anything more serious than a strain. Tylor Megill, who is filling in for Christian Scott (elbow), will claim the open roster spot, and the Mets have yet to name a replacement for Senga's place in the rotation.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Exits start with injury

    Senga was removed from his start Friday against Atlanta due to a left calf strain. Senga went to the ground grabbing at his left calf while running to cover first base on a pop-up in the sixth inning. The Mets have yet to provide any information regarding the severity of his injury, though the right-hander was able to walk off the field under his own power. Senga was activated off the injured list earlier Friday after missing the first several months of the year due to issues with his right shoulder and triceps, and he allowed two earned runs on two hits and a walk while striking out nine batters through 5.1 frames in his season debut.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Looks sharp in latest rehab outing

    Senga (shoulder) struck out three while allowing one earned run on two hits and two walks over 4.2 innings in his rehab start Sunday with Triple-A Syracuse. Senga tossed 67 pitches (41 strikes) in his third rehab outing, and he's now compiled an 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 12:4 K:BB in 10 innings between Syracuse and High-A Brooklyn. According to Anthony DiComo of MLB.com, Mets manager Carlos Mendoza has said that club officials will determine the next steps for Senga over the All-Star break. Based on how he's fared during his rehab assignment, Senga looks ready to return from the 60-day injured list, but the Mets may still want him to build up to the 75-to-80 pitch range in another rehab start before he rejoins the big-league rotation.
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  • Mets' Kodai Senga: Moving rehab to Triple-A

    Senga (shoulder) is expected to make his next rehab start with Triple-A Syracuse on Tuesday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports. The 31-year-old threw 35 pitches over 2.2 frames in his previous outing with High-A Brooklyn on Wednesday, and he's expected to build up to about 50 pitches in his next start. The Mets want Senga to be built up to around 75-to-80 pitches before he returns from the injured list, and he's trending toward making his season debut in late July.
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