I generally try not to talk too much about the waiver wire at the top of this weekly article because there is a specific waiver wire section below. But Mike Gesicki is a special case that deserves special attention. He's rostered in just 24% of leagues, and he might be a top-five tight end this week. He also might be droppable by Thursday.
Gesicki has played four games without Tee Higgins this season. He's averaging 15.6 PPR Fantasy points per game in those outings. He's scored at least 14 PPR Fantasy points in three straight without Higgins.
Gesicki has played five games with Higgins. His best game total is 8.7 PPR Fantasy points. He's been below two Fantasy points in three of those games. It's rare to see a tight end so dependent on a wide receiver's participation, but the data is pretty clear here.
So yes, add Gesicki wherever you can. Just don't hold on to him too tightly. If Higgins makes it back for Thursday Night Football, Gesicki will be a dart throw at best.
Here's everything else you need to know about tight end in Week 10:
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Week 10 TE Preview
Who's Out
The following players are not being projected to play in Week 10 at this time. Here's what it means:
Gesicki may be a little better with Higgins because of this.
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Numbers to Know
- 50.8 -- Cade Otton has been TE1 over the past two weeks with 50.8 PPR Fantasy points.
- 5 -- Taysom Hill saw five targets and five rush attempts in Week 9. That type of volume makes him a must-start tight end.
- 27.2% -- Evan Engram's 27.2% TPRR leads all tight ends this season.
- 1.8 -- Jonnu Smith is averaging 1.8 yards per route run, which ranks sixth amongst tight ends who have run at least 100 routes.
- 5.6 -- Sam LaPorta has scored 5.6 PPR Fantasy points or fewer in half of his eight games.
- 5 -- Mark Andrews has scored some touchdowns, but he still doesn't have a game with more than five targets all season.
Matchups that matter
Waiver Wire Targets
If Tee Higgins is out, then George Kittle, Cade Otton, Travis Kelce, and Trey McBride are the only tight ends I would rather start than Gesicki. If Higgins is back, I would rather add and start Taysom Hill.
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Watch the Saints injury report. We're expecting Jamaal Williams, Kendre Miller, and Chris Olave to all miss Week 10. If that's the case, then Hill gets a boost in both the running game and the passing game and becomes a must-start tight end.
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DFS Plays
Kittle and Otton face off with the best tight of the season, facing the best tight end of the last two weeks. Kittle is averaging 18 PPR FPPG this season, and I'm not sure that drops much since Brandon Aiyuk is out for the season. He has a much better matchup than Otton this week, trust Kittle in cash games.
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Pitts is coming off a dud, which helps both his affordability and his roster rate. The Saints are bad across the board on defense and just allowed 12 PPR Fantasy points to rookie Ja'Tayvion Sanders. Pitts has big upside this week against this defense, and he's a great tournament play.
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Heath's Projections
My full set of Week 10 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You can find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 10. Projected stats for all starting tight ends are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.
