The strangest thing happened as I was building out my Week 11 projections. Running back looked deeper than wide receiver. Now this doesn't make any sense for anyone who has ever played Fantasy Football, but it sure felt that way.

A dig deeper reveals an uncertain reality. 

In Week 11, I have 22 running backs and 21 wide receivers projected to score at least 15 PR Fantasy points. Drop the bar down to 12, and 32 receivers qualify compared to 28. I do think in full PPR the disparity is a little bigger than this generally, but it's not actually about projections. 

That top 21 at receiver includes Tyler Lockett, Terry McLaurin, Mike Williams, DK Metcalf, Adam Thielen, and Brandin Cooks. I have very little certainty about any of those guys in Week 11, and about two-thirds of them I'd really like to rank outside the top 20. Just outside that rank you see names like Christian Kirk, D.J. Moore, Michael Pittman, and Cole Beasley. They've all been extremely hit or miss.

So I'm not totally sure that running back is deeper than wide receiver. I just feel a lot better about the guys I have projected as top 24 running backs than I do the pass catchers. Unfortunately, there aren't too many guys widely available who I think are going to change that.

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The moral of the story? You should probably just start your studs. Or at least the guys we thought were going to be studs. 

Here is the rest of the Week 11 WR Preview:

Week 11 WR Preview

WR Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 11 at this time. Here's what it means:

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Julio Jones WR
PHI Philadelphia • #80
Age: 35 • Experience: 14 yrs.
Marcus Johnson is an interesting waiver wire add
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
  • 14 -- Christian Kirk has 14 targets over the past three weeks without DeAndre Hopkins. He'll be a good No. 3 if Hopkins is out.
  • 20% -- Marcus Johnson has a 20% target share in his past three games without Julio Jones.
  • 12.1% -- In Michael Gallup's first game back Amari Cooper saw just a 12% target share.
  • 33.7% -- Over the past month, Keenan Allen leads all receivers with a 33.7% target share.
  • 44.9% -- Brandin Cooks leads all receivers with a 44.9% share of the Texans' air yards.
  • 29 -- The Titans have surrendered a league-worst 29 Fantasy points per game to receivers.
  • 13.1 -- The Bills have only allowed 13.1 Fantasy points per game to receivers.
  • 8 -- Mike Williams has seen eight targets inside the 10-yard line, tied for the third-most in the NFL.
  • 39.1% -- DK Metcalf is responsible for 39.1% of his team's red-zone targets, the highest mark in the league.
  • 4 -- Mike Evans has four targets or fewer in three of his past four games.
WR Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Michael Pittman WR
IND Indianapolis • #11
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ BUF BUF -7 O/U 49

OPP VS WR

1st

PROJ PTS

13.1

WR RNK

23rd

YTD Stats

REC

55

TAR

76

REYDS

729

TD

5

FPTS/G

15.9
Brandin Cooks WR
DAL Dallas • #3
Age: 31 • Experience: 11 year

Weekly Breakdown

@ TEN TEN -10.5 O/U 44.5

OPP VS WR

32nd

PROJ PTS

12.3

WR RNK

15th

YTD Stats

REC

57

TAR

84

REYDS

641

TD

2

FPTS/G

14.8
Marcus Johnson WR
NYG N.Y. Giants • #87
Age: 30 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs HOU TEN -10.5 O/U 44.5

OPP VS WR

16th

PROJ PTS

9.9

WR RNK

41st

YTD Stats

REC

9

TAR

18

REYDS

160

TD

0

FPTS/G

4.3
Brandon Aiyuk WR
SF San Francisco • #11
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ JAC SF -6.5 O/U 46.5

OPP VS WR

21st

PROJ PTS

11.9

WR RNK

31st

YTD Stats

REC

22

TAR

35

REYDS

256

TD

2

FPTS/G

6.7
DK Metcalf WR
SEA Seattle • #14
Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs ARI ARI -2.5 O/U 50

OPP VS WR

23rd

PROJ PTS

14.1

WR RNK

14th

YTD Stats

REC

42

TAR

64

REYDS

606

TD

8

FPTS/G

16.7
WR Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 11 Waivers
Jakobi Meyers WR
LV Las Vegas • #16
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ ATL NE -6.5 O/U 47

OPP VS WR

19th

WR RNK

38th

ROSTERED

58%

YTD Stats

REC

50

TAR

76

REYDS

483

TD

1

FPTS/G

11
He finally scored a touchdown and he has a great matchup against the Falcons. Meyers is a solid No. 3 this week.
Darnell Mooney WR
ATL Atlanta • #1
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs BAL BAL -6 O/U 45.5

OPP VS WR

7th

WR RNK

29th

ROSTERED

54%

YTD Stats

REC

36

TAR

59

REYDS

450

TD

3

FPTS/G

11.3
Mooney has been Justin Fields' favorite target and the Ravens pass defense has not been all that scary. Mooney has more upside than Meyers, but his floor is lower.
Jamal Agnew WR
JAC Jacksonville • #39
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs SF SF -6.5 O/U 46.5

OPP VS WR

8th

WR RNK

44th

ROSTERED

13%

YTD Stats

REC

21

TAR

36

REYDS

211

TD

2

FPTS/G

7.2
Agnew didn't catch any of his five targets last week, but a huge running play made his Fantasy day anyway. Jacksonville keeps finding ways to get him involved.
Marcus Johnson WR
NYG N.Y. Giants • #87
Age: 30 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs HOU TEN -10.5 O/U 44.5

OPP VS WR

16th

WR RNK

41st

ROSTERED

YTD Stats

REC

9

TAR

18

REYDS

160

TD

0

FPTS/G

4.3
This is a deep league play only, but Johnson has boom potential against a bad Texans defense.
Stashes
Kenny Golladay WR
NYG N.Y. Giants • #19
Age: 31 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -11 O/U 50

OPP VS WR

17th

WR RNK

33rd

ROSTERED

54%

YTD Stats

REC

19

TAR

32

REYDS

310

TD

0

FPTS/G

8.3
All of the Giants receivers are stashable, but I need to see this offense after their bye before I start any of them.
WR Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Hunter Renfrow WR
LV Las Vegas • #13
Age: 28 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs CIN CIN -1 O/U 49

OPP VS WR

18th

PROJ PTS

14.2

WR RNK

16th

YTD Stats

REC

52

TAR

69

REYDS

494

TD

4

FPTS/G

13.9
They're basically daring you to play Renfrow now, but I don't see any reason he'll slow down. He's Derek Carr's favorite option right now and he's getting good usage around the goal line as well. I think he's just a solid No. 2 receiver, and I'll play him until he's priced like it.
Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Tyler Lockett WR
SEA Seattle • #16
Age: 32 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs ARI ARI -2.5 O/U 50

OPP VS WR

23rd

PROJ PTS

12.5

WR RNK

20th

YTD Stats

REC

43

TAR

66

REYDS

602

TD

3

FPTS/G

13.5
When I was in sales, my manager once told me, "Every no is just that much closer to your next yes". Playing Tyler Lockett works the same way. The fact that he was bad last week only makes him a better contrarian play this week.
WR Preview
Heath's Projections

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