The trend in the NFL over the past 10 years has definitely been moving towards fewer workhorse backs. That's been a major headache for Fantasy managers, but for the past couple of weeks at least, that trend appears to be reversing itself. 

An injury to Khalil Herbert looks to have David Montgomery lined up for 20 touches per game once again. The Cardinals surprisingly cut Eno Benjamin, putting James Conner in a similar situation. And Jaylen Warren's hamstring injury has the potential to do the same thing for Najee Harris. But the one workhorse back no one anticipated was Latavius Murray.

The Broncos released Melvin Gordon after yet another fumble and Chase Edmonds is going to miss multiple weeks with an ankle injury. That leaves Murray with Marlon Mack and Devine Ozigbo as his competition for touches. And it probably makes him a top-20 running back for the foreseeable future.

  • Week 12 Previews: QB | WR | TE

Murray isn't going to be an efficient rusher, but neither is Conner nor Montgomery. Like them he also appears to have the high-value touches locked down. He has seven catches in the past two weeks combined and no one is taking him off the field inside the five yard line.

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At running back, more than any other position, role matters more than talent. And Murray's role looks like a near must-start running back.

Now let's get to the rest of the Week 12 RB Preview:

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Week 12 RB Preview

RB Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play in Week 12 at this time. Here's what it means:

Joe Mixon RB
HOU Houston • #28
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Samaje Perine could be a week-winner based on volume alone.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
KC Kansas City • #25
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon are both solid PPR flexes.
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT Pittsburgh • #30
Age: 26 • Experience: 3 yrs.
If Warren remains out Najee Harris is a must-start.
RB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 84.1% -- Route involvement rate for Najee Harris. The 37 routes in Week 11 were the most by far Harris has run this season and it showed up in his Fantasy output. 
  • 154.7 -- Tony Pollard leads the NFL in scrimmage yards per game since Week 8 and also is tied with Jamaal Williams for the most touchdowns (6) during that time. 
  • 17 -- Carries for David Montgomery in the first game without Khalil Herbert. Trestan Ebner had six carries for eight yards. 
  • 3 -- Alvin Kamara has just three touchdowns this season and they all came in Week 8 versus the Raiders
  • 7 -- Touches for Kareem Hunt last week. At this point, he's just a handcuff. 
  • 54 -- The Commanders haven't allowed more than 54 rushing yards from a running back in five consecutive games.
  • 4 -- Weeks in a row Isiah Pacheco has led the Chiefs backfield in carries. He's established as the lead ball carrier but does nothing in the passing game.
RB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Cordarrelle Patterson RB
PIT Pittsburgh • #84
Age: 33 • Experience: 12 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ WAS WAS -4 O/U 42

OPP VS RB

7th

PROJ PTS

8.3

RB RNK

33rd

YTD Stats

RUYDS

454

REC

8

REYDS

46

TD

5

FPTS/G

12.3
Jamaal Williams RB
NO New Orleans • #21
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs BUF BUF -9.5 O/U 54

OPP VS RB

12th

PROJ PTS

10.9

RB RNK

23rd

YTD Stats

RUYDS

668

REC

9

REYDS

57

TD

12

FPTS/G

15.4
Tony Pollard RB
TEN Tennessee • #20
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs NYG DAL -9 O/U 44.5

OPP VS RB

13th

PROJ PTS

16.6

RB RNK

11th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

701

REC

21

REYDS

243

TD

8

FPTS/G

16.3
D'Onta Foreman RB
CLE Cleveland • #27
Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs DEN DEN -2.5 O/U 36

OPP VS RB

11th

PROJ PTS

8.2

RB RNK

26th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

450

REC

4

REYDS

25

TD

4

FPTS/G

7.1
Jeff Wilson RB
MIA Miami • #23
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs HOU MIA -12 O/U 45.5

OPP VS RB

32nd

PROJ PTS

10.8

RB RNK

16th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

638

REC

15

REYDS

136

TD

4

FPTS/G

11.2
David Montgomery RB
DET Detroit • #5
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NYJ NYJ -4.5 O/U 41

OPP VS RB

10th

PROJ PTS

10.3

RB RNK

19th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

501

REC

18

REYDS

204

TD

3

FPTS/G

10.5
RB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 12 Adds (RB Preview)
Latavius Murray RB
BUF Buffalo • #28
Age: 34 • Experience: 11 year

Weekly Breakdown

@ CAR DEN -2.5 O/U 36

OPP VS RB

28th

RB RNK

24th

ROSTERED

59%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

266

REC

12

REYDS

64

TD

4

FPTS/G

11.6
We would rather start Samaje Perine than Latavius Murray this week, but only if Joe Mixon is ruled out and we won't likely know that before waivers run. Murray has more staying power than Perine; he could be an RB2 rest of season.
Samaje Perine RB
KC Kansas City • #34
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ TEN CIN -1.5 O/U 42.5

OPP VS RB

5th

RB RNK

18th

ROSTERED

15%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

163

REC

22

REYDS

178

TD

4

FPTS/G

8
Joe Burrow is throwing more than eight passes per game to his running backs. Perine should be in line for 15-plus carries and five or more catches if Mixon is out. The Titans present a difficult matchup, but Perine has top-five upside because of his volume.
Jerick McKinnon RB
KC Kansas City • #1
Age: 32 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LAR KC -14.5 O/U 44

OPP VS RB

8th

RB RNK

36th

ROSTERED

48%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

149

REC

26

REYDS

212

TD

1

FPTS/G

6.6
McKinnon continues to play the most snaps among Chiefs running backs and he's their clear passing-downs back. He has about a 50-50 chance at red zone work as well. If Edwards-Helaire misses significant time, McKinnon could be a league-winner in the playoffs due to touchdown potential.
Stashes (RB Preview)
James Cook RB
BUF Buffalo • #4
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ DET BUF -9.5 O/U 54

OPP VS RB

18th

RB RNK

38th

ROSTERED

29%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

255

REC

7

REYDS

96

TD

1

FPTS/G

4.6
Cook has performed like a startable flex lately, but you probably don't need to start him this week since there aren't any byes. Still, he's one injury away from league-winning upside. Cook has shown big-play ability in a limited role and could have a Tony Pollardesque breakout if he gets the opportunity.
RB Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Samaje Perine RB
KC Kansas City • #34
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ TEN CIN -1.5 O/U 42.5

OPP VS RB

5th

PROJ PTS

9.3

RB RNK

18th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

163

REC

22

REYDS

178

TD

4

FPTS/G

8
If Mixon is out then Perine will be the chalk at running back and I will be happy to try to be contrarian somewhere else.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Leonard Fournette RB
BUF Buffalo • #5
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CLE TB -3 O/U 42.5

OPP VS RB

31st

PROJ PTS

13.2

RB RNK

29th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

462

REC

43

REYDS

315

TD

6

FPTS/G

15.5
I know Rachaad White started the last Buccaneers' game, but Leonard Fournette had more touches, more yards, and a touchdown before he got hurt. Assuming he's back to full strength, there's at least a 40% chance he's the best Tampa running back against one of the worst run defenses in the league.
RB Preview
Heath's Projections