This article may just turn into a Baker Mayfield apology section. Last week, I wrote here that Mayfield's poor Week 12 was just bad luck. I told you all to start Mayfield with confidence. He was even worse in Week 13. 

In the two weeks since Tampa Bay's bye, and Mike Evans' return, Mayfield has averaged just 15.4 Fantasy points per game. He has one passing touchdown and two interceptions in those two games. And I am starting him again.

Part of my confidence in Mayfield is certainly the fact that Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels, Bo Nix, and Anthony Richardson are all on bye. It also doesn't hurt that he's facing a Raiders defense that has allowed four of the last five QBs they've faced to top 20 Fantasy points. Mostly, I just believe in the large sample size that says Mayfield is a must-start QB who has averaged 24 Fantasy points per game. Yes, seven of those games were with Chris Godwin, but we've seen plenty of good from Mayfield without Godwin as well. 

Maybe next week, when the Fantasy playoffs start, I'll consider sitting Mayfield against the Chargers. But with a great matchup and limited options, I'm sticking with him for at least one more week.

Let's get to the rest of the preview:

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Week 14 QB Preview

Numbers to Know
Matchups That Matter
Waiver Wire Targets
DFS Plays
Projections
QB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 25.8 -- Since Thomas Brown took over as offensive coordinator, Caleb Williams is averaging 25.8 FPPG.
  • 1,680 -- Jameis Winston leads the NFL with 1,680 passing yards since he became the starter in Week 8.
  • 257 -- C.J. Stroud hasn't thrown for more than 257 yards in a game since October 6th. He's not a must-roster player on his bye week.
  • 22 -- Justin Herbert is QB22 over the last month. He is QB19 for the season. 
  • 0 -- Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals scored zero touchdowns in their game against the Seahawks two weeks ago. They face them again in Week 14.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Baker Mayfield QB
TB Tampa Bay • #6
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LV TB -7 O/U 46

OPP VS QB

26th

PROJ PTS

23.6

QB RNK

4th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3034

RUYDS

229

TD

28

INT

11

FPTS/G

24.2
Will Levis QB
TEN Tennessee • #8
Age: 25 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs JAC TEN -3.5 O/U 39.5

OPP VS QB

32nd

PROJ PTS

18.1

QB RNK

16th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1659

RUYDS

172

TD

12

INT

9

FPTS/G

14.4
Jameis Winston QB
CLE Cleveland • #5
Age: 30 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ PIT PIT -6.5 O/U 44

OPP VS QB

1st

PROJ PTS

15.2

QB RNK

9th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1266

RUYDS

46

TD

8

INT

4

FPTS/G

15.4
Brock Purdy QB
SF San Francisco • #13
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs CHI SF -3.5 O/U 44

OPP VS QB

2nd

PROJ PTS

20.5

QB RNK

12th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2707

RUYDS

271

TD

17

INT

8

FPTS/G

19.5
Matthew Stafford QB
LAR L.A. Rams • #9
Age: 36 • Experience: 16 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs BUF BUF -4.5 O/U 49

OPP VS QB

5th

PROJ PTS

15.4

QB RNK

15th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2983

RUYDS

11

TD

17

INT

7

FPTS/G

17.1
QB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Adds/Streamers (QB Preview)
Jameis Winston QB
CLE Cleveland • #5
Age: 30 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ PIT PIT -6.5 O/U 44

OPP VS QB

1st

QB RNK

9th

ROSTERED

27%

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1266

RUYDS

46

TD

8

INT

4

FPTS/G

15.4
If it wasn't for the awful matchup, Winston may be ranked as a top-five QB in Week 14. Just remember, the last time he faced this defense, he only threw for 219 yards and didn't throw a touchdown pass. Still, there are six teams on a bye, and he just threw for 497 yards and four touchdowns against the Broncos, the team that used to be the number one defense versus quarterbacks. The weather should be good in Pittsburgh this week, and I'm trusting the guy who is averaging 24 FPPG as a starter.
Will Levis QB
TEN Tennessee • #8
Age: 25 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs JAC TEN -3.5 O/U 39.5

OPP VS QB

32nd

QB RNK

16th

ROSTERED

25%

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1659

RUYDS

172

TD

12

INT

9

FPTS/G

14.4
If you're too scared of Winston's matchup, Will Levis faces the defense that allows the most Fantasy points per game to opposing QBs. Levis has thrown multiple passing touchdowns and topped 20 Fantasy points in three of his last four starts since returning from injury.
QB Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Sam Darnold QB
MIN Minnesota • #14
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs ATL MIN -5.5 O/U 45.5

OPP VS QB

25th

PROJ PTS

20.6

QB RNK

6th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2952

RUYDS

187

TD

24

INT

10

FPTS/G

21.1
Darnold has six passing touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last three games against the Cardinals, Bears, and Titans. This week, he's at home against a Falcons defense that allows more Fantasy points to opposing defenses than each of Darnold's past three matchups. This is my favorite game on the slate to stack.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Caleb Williams QB
CHI Chicago • #18
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
A rookie quarterback on the road against the 49ers is almost always going to be low-rostered. Throw in an implied point total of 20, and there's really no reason the spreadsheet, and there's really no reason to trust Williams unless you favor the hot hand. Williams' passing has been much improved since the coordinator change, and he's run for 142 yards in those three games as well.
QB Preview
Heath's projections

My full set of Week 14 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 14. Projected stats for all starting running backs are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.