Fantasy Football Week 11 Wide Receiver Preview: Waivers, matchups, DFS plays and more

The strangest thing happened as I was building out my Week 11 projections. Running back looked deeper than wide receiver. Now this doesn't make any sense for anyone who has ever played Fantasy Football, but it sure felt that way.

A dig deeper reveals an uncertain reality. 

In Week 11, I have 22 running backs and 21 wide receivers projected to score at least 15 PR Fantasy points. Drop the bar down to 12, and 32 receivers qualify compared to 28. I do think in full PPR the disparity is a little bigger than this generally, but it's not actually about projections. 

That top 21 at receiver includes Tyler Lockett, Terry McLaurin, Mike Williams, DK Metcalf, Adam Thielen, and Brandin Cooks. I have very little certainty about any of those guys in Week 11, and about two-thirds of them I'd really like to rank outside the top 20. Just outside that rank you see names like Christian Kirk, D.J. Moore, Michael Pittman, and Cole Beasley. They've all been extremely hit or miss.

So I'm not totally sure that running back is deeper than wide receiver. I just feel a lot better about the guys I have projected as top 24 running backs than I do the pass catchers. Unfortunately, there aren't too many guys widely available who I think are going to change that.

The moral of the story? You should probably just start your studs. Or at least the guys we thought were going to be studs. 

Here is the rest of the Week 11 WR Preview:

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Week 11 WR Preview

The following players are not being projected to play Week 11 at this time. Here's what it means:

Julio Jones WR PHI Philadelphia • #80 Age: 35 • Experience: 14 yrs. Marcus Johnson is an interesting waiver wire add

• 14 -- Christian Kirk has 14 targets over the past three weeks without DeAndre Hopkins. He'll be a good No. 3 if Hopkins is out.
• 20% -- Marcus Johnson has a 20% target share in his past three games without Julio Jones.
• 12.1% -- In Michael Gallup's first game back Amari Cooper saw just a 12% target share.
• 33.7% -- Over the past month, Keenan Allen leads all receivers with a 33.7% target share.
• 44.9% -- Brandin Cooks leads all receivers with a 44.9% share of the Texans' air yards.
• 29 -- The Titans have surrendered a league-worst 29 Fantasy points per game to receivers.
• 13.1 -- The Bills have only allowed 13.1 Fantasy points per game to receivers.
• 8 -- Mike Williams has seen eight targets inside the 10-yard line, tied for the third-most in the NFL.
• 39.1% -- DK Metcalf is responsible for 39.1% of his team's red-zone targets, the highest mark in the league.
• 4 -- Mike Evans has four targets or fewer in three of his past four games.

Matchups that matter

Projections powered by Sportsline

Michael Pittman WR IND Indianapolis • #11 Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP @ BUF BUF -7 O/U 49 OPP VS WR 1st PROJ PTS 13.1 WR RNK 23rd YTD Stats REC 55 TAR 76 REYDS 729 TD 5 FPTS/G 15.9

Brandin Cooks WR DAL Dallas • #3 Age: 31 • Experience: 11 year Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP @ TEN TEN -10.5 O/U 44.5 OPP VS WR 32nd PROJ PTS 12.3 WR RNK 15th YTD Stats REC 57 TAR 84 REYDS 641 TD 2 FPTS/G 14.8

Marcus Johnson WR NYG N.Y. Giants • #87 Age: 30 • Experience: 7 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs HOU TEN -10.5 O/U 44.5 OPP VS WR 16th PROJ PTS 9.9 WR RNK 41st YTD Stats REC 9 TAR 18 REYDS 160 TD 0 FPTS/G 4.3

Brandon Aiyuk WR SF San Francisco • #11 Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP @ JAC SF -6.5 O/U 46.5 OPP VS WR 21st PROJ PTS 11.9 WR RNK 31st YTD Stats REC 22 TAR 35 REYDS 256 TD 2 FPTS/G 6.7

DK Metcalf WR SEA Seattle • #14 Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs ARI ARI -2.5 O/U 50 OPP VS WR 23rd PROJ PTS 14.1 WR RNK 14th YTD Stats REC 42 TAR 64 REYDS 606 TD 8 FPTS/G 16.7

Week 11 Waivers

Jakobi Meyers WR LV Las Vegas • #16 Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP @ ATL NE -6.5 O/U 47 OPP VS WR 19th WR RNK 38th ROSTERED 58% YTD Stats REC 50 TAR 76 REYDS 483 TD 1 FPTS/G 11 He finally scored a touchdown and he has a great matchup against the Falcons. Meyers is a solid No. 3 this week.

Darnell Mooney WR ATL Atlanta • #1 Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs BAL BAL -6 O/U 45.5 OPP VS WR 7th WR RNK 29th ROSTERED 54% YTD Stats REC 36 TAR 59 REYDS 450 TD 3 FPTS/G 11.3 Mooney has been Justin Fields' favorite target and the Ravens pass defense has not been all that scary. Mooney has more upside than Meyers, but his floor is lower.

Jamal Agnew WR PIT Pittsburgh • #39 Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs SF SF -6.5 O/U 46.5 OPP VS WR 8th WR RNK 44th ROSTERED 13% YTD Stats REC 21 TAR 36 REYDS 211 TD 2 FPTS/G 7.2 Agnew didn't catch any of his five targets last week, but a huge running play made his Fantasy day anyway. Jacksonville keeps finding ways to get him involved.

Marcus Johnson WR NYG N.Y. Giants • #87 Age: 30 • Experience: 7 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs HOU TEN -10.5 O/U 44.5 OPP VS WR 16th WR RNK 41st ROSTERED YTD Stats REC 9 TAR 18 REYDS 160 TD 0 FPTS/G 4.3 This is a deep league play only, but Johnson has boom potential against a bad Texans defense.

Stashes

Kenny Golladay WR NYG N.Y. Giants • #19 Age: 31 • Experience: 7 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP @ TB TB -11 O/U 50 OPP VS WR 17th WR RNK 33rd ROSTERED 54% YTD Stats REC 19 TAR 32 REYDS 310 TD 0 FPTS/G 8.3 All of the Giants receivers are stashable, but I need to see this offense after their bye before I start any of them.

Top Play

Projections powered by Sportsline

Hunter Renfrow WR LV Las Vegas • #13 Age: 28 • Experience: 5 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs CIN CIN -1 O/U 49 OPP VS WR 18th PROJ PTS 14.2 WR RNK 16th YTD Stats REC 52 TAR 69 REYDS 494 TD 4 FPTS/G 13.9 They're basically daring you to play Renfrow now, but I don't see any reason he'll slow down. He's Derek Carr's favorite option right now and he's getting good usage around the goal line as well. I think he's just a solid No. 2 receiver, and I'll play him until he's priced like it.

Contrarian Play

Projections powered by Sportsline

Tyler Lockett WR SEA Seattle • #16 Age: 32 • Experience: 10 yrs. Weekly Breakdown MATCHUP vs ARI ARI -2.5 O/U 50 OPP VS WR 23rd PROJ PTS 12.5 WR RNK 20th YTD Stats REC 43 TAR 66 REYDS 602 TD 3 FPTS/G 13.5 When I was in sales, my manager once told me, "Every no is just that much closer to your next yes". Playing Tyler Lockett works the same way. The fact that he was bad last week only makes him a better contrarian play this week.

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