We expect George Pickens to return in Week 17 against the Kansas City Chiefs. If you were able to advance to Championship Weekend without Pickens, congratulations. You now have a difficult decision to make. 

It's never easy to decide what to do with a player returning from injury, but Pickens' profile makes it even more difficult. The 23-year-old scored 16.4 PPR Fantasy points and has scored that many or more in three of his last four games and four of his past six. But the way he scores those points doesn't exactly feel reliable. He only has one game with more than five catches since September and one 100-yard game as well.

Pickens is a boom-bust WR2, coming off an injury. His Steelers have an implied total of 20.25 points against a Kansas City defense that has been boom-or-bust this season. Pickens' profile likely makes his projection less predictive because he rarely has an average game. That being said, his PPR projection has him at 12.45 PPR Fantasy points in Week 17, which ranks him at WR24. 

Adam Thielen, A.J. Brown (with Kenny Pickett), Jayden Reed, Jameson Williams, Khalil Shakir, and Garrett Wilson are all within a half a point of Pickens in the projections. This the "borderline WR2 portion of the rankings, which is one of the more difficult areas of the rankings each week. The best thing I can tell you is that if you start three wide receivers, you should probably be starting Pickens. If you start two wide receivers, you'd better have two you really like if you're benching Pickens or one of the other names in this paragraph. 

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Here is the rest of the Fantasy Football Week 17 WR Preview:

Fantasy Football Week 17 WR Preview

WR Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play in Week 17 at this time. Here's what it means:

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Sterling Shepard WR
TB Tampa Bay • #17
Age: 31 • Experience: 9 yrs.
Jalen McMillan is a good WR3 in Week 17.
Tank Dell WR
HOU Houston • #3
Age: 25 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Dalton Schultz could be a good streamer without Dell.
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
  • 91 -- Mike Evans must average at least 91 yards per game in his final two games to reach 1,000 yards for the 11th straight season.
  • 30.8% -- Drake London maintained a 30% target share in Michael Penix's first start. As long as London is healthy, he's a must-start.
  • 56 -- Garrett Wilson has produced 56 yards or fewer in five of his last six games. He's a Fantasy WR3 at this point.
  • 37.4% -- Puka Nacua's 37.4% target per route run is four points higher than any other wide receiver in the NFL.
  • 3.00 -- Marquise Brown earned three yards per route run in his Chiefs debut. 
  • 12 -- Deebo Samuel had 12 touches in Week 16, his highest total since Week 1.
  • 2.55 -- Nick Westbrook-Ikhin has scored 2.55 Fantasy points per target this season. That's No. 1 amongst receivers who have run at least 300 routes this season.
  • 57.1 -- Jalen McMillan is WR11 over the past three weeks with 57.1 PPR Fantasy points.
WR Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Josh Downs WR
IND Indianapolis • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NYG IND -7.5 O/U 40.5

OPP VS WR

10th

PROJ PTS

13.3

WR RNK

34th

YTD Stats

REC

59

TAR

90

REYDS

687

TD

5

FPTS/G

13.3
Calvin Ridley WR
TEN Tennessee
Age: 30 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ JAC JAC -1 O/U 41

OPP VS WR

28th

PROJ PTS

13.1

WR RNK

36th

YTD Stats

REC

56

TAR

109

REYDS

857

TD

5

FPTS/G

11.7
Jakobi Meyers WR
LV Las Vegas • #16
Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NO NO -1.5 O/U 39.5

OPP VS WR

27th

PROJ PTS

12.4

WR RNK

19th

YTD Stats

REC

73

TAR

110

REYDS

843

TD

2

FPTS/G

13.4
Adam Thielen WR
CAR Carolina • #19
Age: 34 • Experience: 11 year

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -8 O/U 49.5

OPP VS WR

26th

PROJ PTS

12.9

WR RNK

25th

YTD Stats

REC

38

TAR

50

REYDS

461

TD

3

FPTS/G

12.8
WR Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 17 Adds (WR Preview)
Jalen McMillan WR
TB Tampa Bay • #15
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie

Weekly Breakdown

vs CAR TB -8 O/U 49.5

OPP VS WR

11th

WR RNK

41st

ROSTERED

54%

YTD Stats

REC

27

TAR

47

REYDS

336

TD

5

FPTS/G

8.5
Over the last three weeks Jalen McMillan has 14 catches for 191 yards and four touchdowns on 20 targets. With Sterling Shepard possibly out, we could see McMillan's target share go even higher in Week 17. He's a number three wide receiver this week who has top-12 upside in a given week. In fact, he's actually been a top-12 wide receiver over the last three weeks combined.
Jalen Coker WR
CAR Carolina • #18
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -8 O/U 49.5

OPP VS WR

26th

WR RNK

45th

ROSTERED

11%

YTD Stats

REC

23

TAR

37

REYDS

381

TD

2

FPTS/G

8.1
Last week was disappointing for Coker, but he still had a 19% target share from Bryce Young. This should be a high volume passing game from Young against a Tampa Bay defense that is much better against the run. Six different wide receivers have scored double-digit PPR Fantasy points against Tampa Bay in their last four games. View Coker as an upside flex.
Marquise Brown WR
KC Kansas City • #5
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ PIT KC -3 O/U 44

OPP VS WR

8th

WR RNK

44th

ROSTERED

26%

YTD Stats

REC

5

TAR

8

REYDS

45

TD

0

FPTS/G

9.5
Brown just scored 9.5 PPR Fantasy points on eight targets in a game where he only played 20 offensive snaps. If his involvement increases in Week 17 he could be a must-start wide receiver. I am viewing him as a boom/bust flex because of the bad matchup and the fact that we have only seen Brown play 20 snaps all season, but last week was very encouraging if you need to throw a dart at a flex this week.
WR Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAC Jacksonville • #7
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie

Weekly Breakdown

vs TEN JAC -1 O/U 41

OPP VS WR

2nd

PROJ PTS

20.6

WR RNK

3rd

YTD Stats

REC

73

TAR

112

REYDS

1088

TD

9

FPTS/G

16.2
At wide receiver this week we don't have Ja'Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, or Nico Collins available in DFS. Thankfully, we have the guy who has outscored all of them the past two weeks in Brian Thomas. Thomas has 19 catches for 237 yards and three touchdowns in his last two games as he makes his push for OROY. He has four straight games with double-digit targets including 12 the last time he faced Tennessee.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Calvin Ridley WR
TEN Tennessee
Age: 30 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ JAC JAC -1 O/U 41

OPP VS WR

28th

PROJ PTS

13.1

WR RNK

33rd

YTD Stats

REC

56

TAR

109

REYDS

857

TD

5

FPTS/G

11.7
Thankfully Marvin Harrison isn't on the main slate this week so I can't burn money that way. Calvin Ridley may be the next best thing. Ridley is a boom/bust WR3 with a great matchup, and it just happens to be a revenge game, though that didn't go well for him last time. The Jaguars have given up the third-most FPPG to opposing wide receivers.
WR Preview
Heath's Projections

My full set of Week 17 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 17. Projected stats for all starting wide receivers are available, so be sure to find my projections for every position over at SportsLine.