Brock Purdy should be considered a borderline starting Fantasy quarterback in Week 7 against Kansas City. We'll see how he does in a tough matchup against the Chiefs.
Kansas City has only allowed two quarterbacks to score more than 18.4 Fantasy points this season, which were Lamar Jackson in Week 1 (27.1) and Joe Burrow in Week 2 (21.1). Since then, the Chiefs have limited Kirk Cousins (13.1) in Week 3, Justin Herbert (13.2) in Week 4, and Derek Carr (16.6) in Week 5.
Purdy has played great this season, but he's been inconsistent as a Fantasy quarterback. He has two games with at least 30.1 Fantasy points and four games with 16.6 points or less.
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So which Purdy will show up this week? If Jordan Mason (shoulder) is out or limited, we could see the 49ers lean on Purdy even more, which is encouraging. The two best outings against the Chiefs for Jackson and Burrow also featured the most pass attempts against their defense, as each guy attempted at least 36 throws.
Purdy didn't have a great statistical game against the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII with 255 passing yards and one touchdown, along with 12 rushing yards, but I expect him to do better in the rematch. While Kansas City's defense is solid once again, that version of the Chiefs defense was better in the Super Bowl.
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I like Purdy as a low-end No. 1 quarterback this week. He's a must-start in Superflex and two-quarterback leagues, and I hope he'll deliver for all managers who start him against Kansas City in Week 7.
QBs to Start
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You might be concerned about Mayfield facing the Ravens, but this isn't a Baltimore defense to fear when it comes to Fantasy production. The Ravens are No. 2 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, and three of their past four opponents (Dak Prescott in Week 3, Joe Burrow in Week 5, and Jayden Daniels in Week 6) have scored at least 24.9 Fantasy points. Mayfield has scored at least 29.4 Fantasy points in three games in a row, and he has top-five upside in this Monday night matchup at home.
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Darnold will hopefully come off his bye in Week 6, ready to go in his first NFC North game of the season. Prior to the bye, Darnold had a down game in Week 5 against the Jets in London with a season-low 4.3 Fantasy points. Prior to that, he had scored at least 23.9 Fantasy points in three games in a row, including two at home against the 49ers and Texans. The Lions defense is tough, but Detroit just lost standout pass rusher Aiden Hutchinson (leg) for the season. And this game has one of the highest projected totals of the week at 50 points, so Darnold has the chance for another top-10 finish in Week 7.
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Richardson (oblique) is expected to play after missing the past two games, and I'm excited to see him in this matchup. While the Dolphins are actually No. 1 in the fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, that mostly has to do with teams running on them. Richardson should have a hand in the ground attack for the Colts, especially if Jonathan Taylor (ankle) remains out. Richardson only has one game this season with more than 12 Fantasy points, which was Week 1 at Houston when he scored 30.1 points, but this week, he should remind Fantasy owners of his breakout potential. I would trust him as a No. 1 quarterback in all leagues.
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Smith is still looking for his first game this season with multiple passing touchdowns, and hopefully, that comes in Week 7 against Atlanta. The Falcons have actually allowed two quarterbacks in a row in, Baker Mayfield and Andy Dalton, to combine for five passing touchdowns, and three quarterbacks in the past five games have scored at least 20.4 Fantasy points. Despite not throwing for multiple touchdowns in a game this season, Smith has still scored at least 23.6 Fantasy points in two of his past three outings. This game has an expected point total of 51, so Smith should have the chance for a strong performance on the road.
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Goff is hot right now, having scored at least 31.1 Fantasy points in consecutive games against the Seahawks and Cowboys. This is a tougher opponent in the Vikings, who have only allowed Jordan Love in Week 4 to score more than 16 Fantasy points this season, but I'm still trusting Goff in this NFC North showdown. The expected point total in this game is 50 points, and Goff has 607 passing yards, five touchdowns, and no interceptions in his past two outings. Goff should excel in this shootout on the road.
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Sleepers (Start/Sit)
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Maye just had a solid Fantasy outing against Houston with 243 passing yards, three touchdowns, two interceptions, and 38 rushing yards with a lost fumble, and he scored 25.5 points. Now he gets to face the Jaguars, who are No. 1 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, and I would even consider starting Maye in one-quarterback leagues in Week 7.
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Lawrence has actually scored at least 21.1 Fantasy points in consecutive games against the Colts and Bears, and he will hopefully stay in that range against the Patriots as well. His receiving corps is finally healthy with Evan Engram coming back in Week 6 after missing four games with a hamstring injury, and the matchup against New England in London is favorable. Two quarterbacks in the past four games have scored at least 24.4 Fantasy points against the Patriots, and Lawrence is worth using in deep, one-quarterback leagues in Week 7.
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Dalton has scored at least 18.9 Fantasy points in three of four starts, and his lone bad performance was Week 5 at Chicago when he scored 3.7 points. This is a favorable matchup against the Commanders, who are No. 4 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, and four guys this season have scored at least 20.9 points against Washington this year. In deeper leagues, Dalton could be a good pivot play, given the matchup.
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QBs to Sit
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Mahomes had a big game against the 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII with 333 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, along with nine carries for 66 yards. I wish that guy would show up more often because Mahomes has been a bad Fantasy quarterback this season, with 20.4 points in Week 3 at Atlanta, his season-high, and he scored 17.1 points or less in his four other outings. Two quarterbacks have scored more than 20 Fantasy points against San Francisco this season, and it's hard to trust Mahomes in this matchup on the road.
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Jones scored 11.8 Fantasy points in Week 6 against Cincinnati, which is the best game at home this year. He has no passing touchdowns and four interceptions in three games against Minnesota, Dallas, and Cincinnati, and he also scored fewer than 10 Fantasy points in two home games in 2023. Jones should get Malik Nabers (concussion) back in Week 7, which is a positive, but the Giants just lost left tackle Andrew Thomas (foot), which is tough to overcome. The Eagles matchup isn't daunting, but Jones' struggles at home and being without Thomas make Jones only an option in Superflex and two-quarterback leagues in Week 7.
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Murray has scored 16.8 Fantasy points or less in four of six games this season, and he's becoming tough to trust in one-quarterback leagues. And heading into Week 7 against the Chargers, Murray could be without Marvin Harrison Jr. (concussion). The Chargers have allowed just two quarterbacks to score more than 15 Fantasy points this season, and Murray is only worth starting in Superflex and two-quarterback leagues in Week 7, especially if Harrison is out.
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Bust Alert (Start/Sit)
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It's exciting that Rodgers got Davante Adams this week via trade from Las Vegas. And having Adams, Garrett Wilson, Allen Lazard, Breece Hall, and Tyler Conklin will make stopping the Jets tough. But let's see how this works first, especially in a tough matchup against the Steelers. Pittsburgh allows just an average of 14.4 Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks for the season, and only two quarterbacks have topped 20 Fantasy points against the Steelers this year. I like Rodgers moving forward, and you can start him in deeper leagues in Week 7. But he could also struggle, even with Adams, and keep in mind that he has four touchdowns and four interceptions in his past two games against the Vikings and Bills. I would only start Rodgers in Superflex and two-quarterback leagues.
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