Heading into last week there was quite a bit of talk about how much deeper tight end is this year. This is nothing new; we do it every year. I think I even did it earlier this year. And it almost always ends up the same way. 

In Week 10 it ended with T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Dalton Schultz, and Dallas Goedert combining for 9.9 PPR Fantasy points. And "poof!" there goes our supposed depth. 

The truth is, tight end has been a little bit deeper this year. Through Week 10 we have 12 tight ends averaging at least 10 Fantasy points per game. That's more than we've had each of the past two seasons. But not by much, we had 11 in both 2019 and 2020. And that includes Rob Gronkowski, who has only played four games and George Kittle, who has only played five. It also includes Dawson Knox and Hunter Henry, who have built their house of cards entirely on an unsustainable touchdown rate. 

In other words, tight end is still a debacle.

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That's what makes it so surprising that Dan Arnold is still only 51% rostered. I think that's at least partially because his time in Carolina pulls down his scoring average. But Arnold has now scored at least 10 PPR Fantasy points in four of his past five games, and that's without a touchdown. He's like Bizarro Hunter Henry, and I'd much rather bet on Arnold's catches and yards holding up than Henry's touchdowns. 

Here's everything else you need to know about tight end in Week 11: 

Week 11 TE Preview

TE Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 11 at this time. Here's what it means:

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Ricky Seals-Jones TE
IND Indianapolis • #83
Age: 29 • Experience: 6 yrs.
John Bates will be the starter if Logan Thomas isn't ready.
Dallas Goedert TE
PHI Philadelphia • #88
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.
DeVonta Smith could see a target share boost if Goedert is out.
TE Preview
Numbers to Know
  • 60 -- Darren Waller has only topped 60 yards once since Week 2.
  • 4 -- Dawson Knox has one game with more than four catches this season.
  • 29 -- Pat Freiermuth has 29 targets in his past four games.
  • 22% -- Cole Kmet has a 22% target share since Week 5, the fourth-best mark in the league.
  • 1 -- T.J. Hockenson saw one target in the first week of Dan Campbell calling plays for the Lions.
TE Preview
Matchups that matter
Kyle Pitts TE
ATL Atlanta • #8
Age: 23 • Experience: 4 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs NE NE -7 O/U 47.5

OPP VS TE

4th

PROJ PTS

13.8

TE RNK

8th

YTD Stats

REC

40

TAR

64

REYDS

606

TD

1

FPTS/G

11.8
Dalton Schultz TE
HOU Houston • #86
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ KC KC -2.5 O/U 56

OPP VS TE

28th

PROJ PTS

10.3

TE RNK

14th

YTD Stats

REC

38

TAR

51

REYDS

438

TD

3

FPTS/G

11.1
Mike Gesicki TE
CIN Cincinnati • #88
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NYJ MIA -3 O/U 45

OPP VS TE

20th

PROJ PTS

11.7

TE RNK

5th

YTD Stats

REC

44

TAR

70

REYDS

529

TD

2

FPTS/G

11.1
TE Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 11 Streamers
Dan Arnold TE
PHI Philadelphia • #46
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs SF SF -6.5 O/U 45.5

OPP VS TE

8th

TE RNK

9th

ROSTERED

51%

YTD Stats

REC

34

TAR

50

REYDS

399

TD

0

FPTS/G

8.2
Arnold is the only tight end widely available who I think is actually more than a streamer. In fact, I think what we've seen the last month is closer to his Fantasy floor than ceiling, because he hasn't yet reached the end zone.
Evan Engram TE
JAC Jacksonville • #17
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -11.5 O/U 49.5

OPP VS TE

22nd

TE RNK

16th

ROSTERED

36%

YTD Stats

REC

26

TAR

36

REYDS

224

TD

2

FPTS/G

8.3
Engram and Arnold are the only tight ends who have scored double-digit Fantasy points in each of their past three outings. Yes, the bar is that low at tight end.
Logan Thomas TE
SF San Francisco • #82
Age: 33 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CAR CAR -3.5 O/U 43

OPP VS TE

14th

TE RNK

NR

ROSTERED

52%

YTD Stats

REC

12

TAR

14

REYDS

117

TD

2

FPTS/G

8.4
Thomas would be No. 2 on the list if we knew he was actually playing. For now he's more of a stash than a streamer, but he could be a top-12 guy rest of way once he gets back.
TE Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
George Kittle TE
SF San Francisco • #85
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ JAC SF -6.5 O/U 45.5

OPP VS TE

21st

PROJ PTS

15.5

TE RNK

2nd

YTD Stats

REC

30

TAR

43

REYDS

378

TD

2

FPTS/G

13.1
It's much easier to pass on Jacksonville than to run against them, so I'd expect a little uptick in volume for Kittle this week against a bad secondary. Kelce is right there with Kittle, but I would expect his roster rate to be higher, which is a nice tiebreaker.
Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
T.J. Hockenson TE
MIN Minnesota • #87
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CLE CLE -10 O/U 44.5

OPP VS TE

18th

PROJ PTS

11

TE RNK

6th

YTD Stats

REC

48

TAR

65

REYDS

448

TD

2

FPTS/G

11.9
He just saw one target in a game! Does it get any more contrarian than that? In all seriousness, Hockenson's targets have bounced all over the place this season and I expect them to bounce back in Week 11.
TE Preview
Heath's Projections

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