In Week 12 the Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Jets, and Saints are on bye. That means we won't have Alvin Kamara, Bijan Robinson, James Cook, Breece Hall, Chase Brown or Travis Etienne. And somehow, running back still doesn't look all that bad this week. 

I have 27 running backs projected to score double-digit PPR Fantasy points in Week 12, meaning in a 12-team league there is still enough to go around, assuming the backs are evenly distributed. What's more, 15 of those backs are projected to score at least 13.8 PPR Fantasy points. I can only say that about 10 wide receivers this week. 

Within those 27 backs projected for at least 10 points are three sets of teammates. Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are both top 14 backs this week, must-starts in any format, but the Commanders and Buccaneers are a little bit more difficult. I have Brian Robinson Jr., Rachaad White, Bucky Irving, and Austin Ekeler all projected for between 10.25 and 11.99 PPR Fantasy points. 

That projection means they're all ranked as low-end RB2s or high-end flexes, but I'm not sure that fully captures their upside. All four have outstanding matchups. Robinson and Irving should take advantage of bad run defenses to pile up yards on the ground while Ekeler and White could be the number two pass catchers on their respective teams. What we don't know for sure is who will score the touchdowns. Robinson and Irving are more likely to score from close.

Last week we saw both Ekeler and Robinson finish as top 15 backs. The week before Irving and White were both top 10 options. With six teams on a bye, you should feel just fine starting any of these backs, including two on the same team.

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You'll find my projections for every player on the slate here.

Now, let's get to the rest of the Week 12 RB Preview:

Week 12 RB Preview

RB Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play in Week 12 at this time. Here's what it means:

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Alexander Mattison RB
LV Las Vegas • #22
Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs.
At the beginning of the week we aren't projecting Mattison or Zamir White to suit up. That makes Ameer Abdullah and Dylan Laube interesting waiver adds.
Tyjae Spears RB
TEN Tennessee • #2
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Tony Pollard should be a workhorse again.
RB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 24.2% -- Javonte Wiliams' 24.2% target per route run rate keeps him in the starter discussion even with his weekly uncertainty in the running game.
  • 6 -- Roschon Johnson has six rush attempts inside the five-yard line, which is tied with D'Andre Swift. Johnson is a touchdown-dependent flex this week if you need him.
  • 10 -- Austin Ekeler leads all running backs with 10 receptions of more than 15 yards.
  • 37% -- James Cook played a season-low 37% of the offensive snaps in Week 11. Hopefully, that's not a warning of what is to come.
  • 77.3% -- Chuba Hubbard has a 77% rush share over the past month. It will be interesting to see if Jonathon Brooks cuts into that. 
  • 67 -- James Conner leads all running backs with 67 tackles avoided this season. No one else has more than 56.
  • 10.2 -- Nick Chubb has not scored more than 10.2 PPR Fantasy points in a game yet this season. Even with three teams on a bye, we would prefer to sit him.
RB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
WAS Washington • #8
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs DAL WAS -10 O/U 45

OPP VS RB

30th

PROJ PTS

11.4

RB RNK

24th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

524

REC

10

REYDS

88

TD

7

FPTS/G

14.2
Bucky Irving RB
TB Tampa Bay • #7
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie

Weekly Breakdown

@ NYG TB -5 O/U 41.5

OPP VS RB

18th

PROJ PTS

10.3

RB RNK

25th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

492

REC

26

REYDS

188

TD

4

FPTS/G

11.6
Chuba Hubbard RB
CAR Carolina • #30
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs KC KC -11 O/U 41.5

OPP VS RB

1st

PROJ PTS

12.3

RB RNK

14th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

818

REC

30

REYDS

124

TD

7

FPTS/G

16.2
J.K. Dobbins RB
LAC L.A. Chargers • #27
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs BAL BAL -3 O/U 51

OPP VS RB

10th

PROJ PTS

12.7

RB RNK

18th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

726

REC

25

REYDS

115

TD

8

FPTS/G

15.7
Nick Chubb RB
CLE Cleveland • #24
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs PIT PIT -3.5 O/U 36.5

OPP VS RB

11th

PROJ PTS

9.7

RB RNK

29th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

163

REC

2

REYDS

6

TD

1

FPTS/G

6.3
RB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 12 Adds (RB Preview)
Justice Hill RB
BAL Baltimore • #43
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ LAC BAL -3 O/U 51

OPP VS RB

3rd

RB RNK

31st

ROSTERED

44%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

130

REC

31

REYDS

300

TD

2

FPTS/G

7.8
Hill has three games with at least 11.5 PPR Fantasy points and he scored 8.2 last week. That's not great by any stretch, but it's not bad on a week that six teams are on bye. Hill is only an option in full PPR leagues.
Ameer Abdullah RB
LV Las Vegas • #8
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs DEN DEN -5.5 O/U 41

OPP VS RB

15th

RB RNK

30th

ROSTERED

3%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

82

REC

17

REYDS

76

TD

2

FPTS/G

4.3
If both Alexander Mattison and Zamir White are out then I am way too low on Abdullah and he should be a top waiver wire priority. Unfortunately, we won't know that when claims go through. If you're desperate for a running back, must win this week, and still have a lot of FAB left I wouldn't blame you for blowing a chunk on Abdullah just in case.
Zach Charbonnet RB
SEA Seattle • #26
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs ARI SEA -1 O/U 47.5

OPP VS RB

25th

RB RNK

32nd

ROSTERED

60%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

216

REC

27

REYDS

191

TD

5

FPTS/G

9.8
It was just three weeks ago that Charbonnet scored a touchdown and 11.4 PPR Fantasy points. He catches a couple of passes every week as well. Charbonnet is a better add as a bench stash.
Stashes (RB Preview)
Trey Benson RB
ARI Arizona • #33
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie

Weekly Breakdown

@ SEA SEA -1 O/U 47.5

OPP VS RB

22nd

RB RNK

37th

ROSTERED

39%

YTD Stats

RUYDS

216

REC

5

REYDS

55

TD

1

FPTS/G

4.2
After a slow start to the season, Benson has caught fire as a rusher. He's averaging 5.6 yards per carry over his last five games and could be a league winner if James Conner misses time in the Fantasy playoffs.
RB Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Saquon Barkley RB
PHI Philadelphia • #26
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ LAR PHI -3 O/U 50

OPP VS RB

12th

PROJ PTS

19.2

RB RNK

2nd

YTD Stats

RUYDS

1137

REC

23

REYDS

210

TD

10

FPTS/G

22
I have Barkley projected for two more points in half PPR than any other back. He's gone over 25 Fantasy points in three of his last six games and is averaging a league-high 22 touches per game. In cash games he should be the chalk at running back and he's worth it.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Josh Jacobs RB
GB Green Bay • #8
Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs SF GB -2.5 O/U 48

OPP VS RB

17th

PROJ PTS

14.4

RB RNK

7th

YTD Stats

RUYDS

838

REC

23

REYDS

186

TD

5

FPTS/G

15.4
Jacobs' lack of touchdowns and tough matchup should limit his rostership, but he projects as one of my best values on the main slate. He's averaging 19.9 touches per game and 5.1 yards per touch. He's also scored four times in his last four games, so don't worry about the fact that he didn't score early in the season.
RB Preview
Heath's Projections

My full set of Week 12 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 11. Projected stats for all starting running backs are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.