What is each NFL team's biggest deficiency heading into the draft?
There are a whole lot of "team needs" lists floating around this time of year, but we wanted to figure out how serious those needs are compared to the rest of the league. To do that, we recently asked the Eye on Football staffers (myself, Will Brinson, Ryan Wilson, John Breech, and Sean Wagner-McGough) to rank each of the league's 32 teams in the following position groups: quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends, offensive line, defensive line, linebackers, and defensive backs. By averaging out the rankings from all five voters, we arrived at consensus position rankings for every team to help us zero in on which areas teams should address in next week's NFL Draft.
A few things to note before we get started:
- Backups were taken into heavy consideration for the quarterback and running back rankings. It is not a ranking of merely starting quarterbacks and running backs.
- Who teams are expected to pick in the draft was not taken into consideration. The Rams and Eagles don't get credit for having Jared Goff or Carson Wentz.
- Yes, the reason your favorite team is ranked so low in [insert position group here] is because we are all personally biased against them. (Just kidding.)
Quarterback
Some notes:
- The Rams and Eagles, two of the bottom seven here, are expected to take Goff and Wentz at 1-2, in some order.
- The Browns, who are the second-neediest team on our list, traded out of the second pick in the draft. Symmetry!
- The Texans made a big splash by signing Brock Osweiler away from the Broncos in free agency, but still wound up 28th in these rankings.
- The Cowboys had four top-10 votes but were pushed down to No. 13 overall because their fifth vote was a No. 30 ranking.
- Four voters had the Patriots and Packers 1-2 in their rankings. The fifth voter had Cardinals-Patriots 1-2, with the Packers down at No. 9.
Running backs
Some notes:
- The Steelers received four of five No. 1 votes; the other went to the Vikings.
- The Steelers, Rams, Vikings, Bengals, Chiefs and Bills got top-10 rankings from everyone.
- San Diego had the lowest average despite not being voted No. 32 by any voter.
- The Bears were ranked as high as No. 7 and as low as No. 28, while the Patriots were ranked as high as No. 8 and as low as No. 25.
- Despite trading DeMarco Murray to the Titans, the Eagles finished up with a ranking 2.6 spots better, on average.
Wide receivers and tight ends
WR/TE Rankings | |||
RANK | TEAM | EOF AVERAGE | |
1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 2.0 | |
2 | Arizona Cardinals | 2.2 | |
3 | New England Patriots | 2.8 | |
4 | New York Jets | 5.4 | |
5 | San Diego Chargers | 6.0 | |
6 | Seattle Seahawks | 6.5 | |
7 | Green Bay Packers | 10.8 | |
8 | Cincinnati Bengals | 10.8 | |
9 | New York Giants | 12.0 | |
10 | Washington | 12.3 | |
11 | Carolina Panthers | 12.4 | |
12 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 13.5 | |
13 | Oakland Raiders | 14.3 | |
14 | Chicago Bears | 14.8 | |
15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 15.3 | |
16 | Denver Broncos | 15.3 | |
17 | New Orleans Saints | 15.8 | |
18 | Dallas Cowboys | 15.8 | |
19 | Buffalo Bills | 18.3 | |
20 | Houston Texans | 19.0 | |
21 | Indianapolis Colts | 20.0 | |
22 | Kansas City Chiefs | 20.3 | |
23 | Atlanta Falcons | 20.8 | |
24 | Detroit Lions | 22.8 | |
25 | Minnesota Vikings | 23.5 | |
26 | Philadelphia Eagles | 24.3 | |
27 | Miami Dolphins | 26.3 | |
28 | Baltimore Ravens | 26.8 | |
29 | Tennessee Titans | 28.0 | |
30 | San Francisco 49ers | 30.0 | |
31 | Cleveland Browns | 30.0 | |
32 | Los Angeles Rams | 31.0 |
Some notes:
- The Rams were ranked No. 31 by every voter.
- The Steelers, Cardinals, and Patriots were voted in the top four by every voter.
- The Seahawks finished with a No. 6 ranking in quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers/tight ends.
- The Bears ranked as high as No. 6 and as low as No. 24, while the Jaguars also ranked as high as No. 6 and as low as No. 21. The Cowboys, meanwile had three top-12 votes but also were ranked No. 32 by one voter.
- The Bengals snuck in the top 10 despite losing both Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu in free agency, while the Chargers earned a top-five ranking partly on the strength of the Travis Benjamin signing.
Offensive line
Offensive Line Rankings | |||
RANK | TEAM | EOF AVERAGE | |
1 | Cincinnati Bengals | 2.0 | |
2 | Dallas Cowboys | 2.3 | |
3 | Arizona Cardinals | 4.3 | |
4 | New England Patriots | 5.0 | |
5 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5.3 | |
6 | Kansas City Chiefs | 8.0 | |
7 | Oakland Raiders | 8.0 | |
8 | Carolina Panthers | 8.3 | |
9 | Denver Broncos | 12.0 | |
10 | Chicago Bears | 12.7 | |
11 | Atlanta Falcons | 13.0 | |
12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13.3 | |
13 | New Orleans Saints | 14.3 | |
14 | Green Bay Packers | 14.7 | |
15 | New York Giants | 15.0 | |
16 | Minnesota Vikings | 15.7 | |
17 | Buffalo Bills | 16.7 | |
18 | Seattle Seahawks | 17.0 | |
19 | New York Jets | 17.0 | |
20 | Washington | 19.3 | |
21 | Baltimore Ravens | 19.3 | |
22 | Houston Texans | 19.7 | |
23 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 20.3 | |
24 | Detroit Lions | 25.0 | |
25 | Los Angeles Rams | 25.0 | |
26 | Philadelphia Eagles | 25.3 | |
27 | Miami Dolphins | 26.0 | |
28 | Tennessee Titans | 26.7 | |
29 | Indianapolis Colts | 28.3 | |
30 | Cleveland Browns | 29.7 | |
31 | San Diego Chargers | 30.0 | |
32 | San Francisco 49ers | 31.3 |
Some notes:
- Unsurprisingly, the bottom five teams on this list have been heavily connected to offensive linemen in the draft process, with four of the five (Titans, Colts, Chargers, 49ers) rumored to be targeting tackles as soon as the first round.
- Dallas finished second in the overall rankings despite receiving three No. 1 votes.
- Oakland would have been much higher were it not for a sole No. 19 vote.
- This is the only offensive category in which the Seahawks were not ranked No. 6.
- It appears the EOF crew bought into the improvement shown by the Panthers' offensive line last season, giving them a No. 8 overall ranking.
Defensive line
Defensive Line Rankings | |||
RANK | TEAM | EOF AVERAGE | |
1 | New York Jets | 1.0 | |
2 | Denver Broncos | 2.3 | |
3 | Carolina Panthers | 4.3 | |
4 | Los Angeles Rams | 4.3 | |
5 | Arizona Cardinals | 6.0 | |
6 | Seattle Seahawks | 7.0 | |
7 | Houston Texans | 7.0 | |
8 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 8.7 | |
9 | Cincinnati Bengals | 9.7 | |
10 | Kansas City Chiefs | 12.3 | |
11 | Oakland Raiders | 12.3 | |
12 | Miami Dolphins | 12.7 | |
13 | New York Giants | 15.0 | |
14 | Phiadelphia Eagles | 15.0 | |
15 | Green Bay Packers | 15.7 | |
16 | Detroit Lions | 16.0 | |
17 | Minnesota Vikings | 16.7 | |
18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 17.3 | |
19 | New England Patriots | 18.0 | |
20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 18.7 | |
21 | Baltimore Ravens | 19.3 | |
22 | Atlanta Falcons | 20.7 | |
23 | Buffalo Bills | 23.7 | |
24 | Tennessee Titans | 24.7 | |
25 | Chicago Bears | 25.0 | |
26 | Dallas Cowboys | 26.0 | |
27 | Washington | 26.0 | |
28 | Indianapolis Colts | 26.7 | |
29 | San Diego Chargers | 27.3 | |
30 | New Orleans Saints | 29.0 | |
31 | San Francisco 49ers | 29.0 | |
32 | Cleveland Browns | 30.7 |
Some notes:
- As you can see, the Jets were unanimously ranked No. 1.
- The Broncos retained a high ranking despite losing Malik Jackson, while the Jaguars jumped into the top 10 with his signing and the return of Dante Fowler Jr.
- The Mario Williams signing seemed to offset the loss of Olivier Vernon for the Dolphins, while not everyone bought into the free agency splash of the Giants, who ranked in the No. 13 spot.
- Personal opinion: The Eagles are at least a few spots too low here. Same with the Vikings.
- San Francisco and Cleveland sure do rank at or near the bottom of a lot of these lists, huh?
Linebackers
Linebacker Rankings | |||
RANK | TEAM | EOF AVERAGE | |
1 | Carolina Panthers | 1.0 | |
2 | Seattle Seahawks | 3.3 | |
3 | Denver Broncos | 3.3 | |
4 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4.7 | |
5 | Arizona Cardinals | 6.3 | |
6 | New England Patriots | 6.3 | |
7 | Cincinnati Bengals | 8.0 | |
8 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9.3 | |
9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10.0 | |
10 | Baltimore Ravens | 10.3 | |
11 | Minnesota Vikings | 10.7 | |
12 | Detroit Lions | 12.0 | |
13 | Los Angeles Rams | 12.3 | |
14 | Green Bay Packers | 15.3 | |
15 | Houston Texans | 15.3 | |
16 | New York Jets | 16.7 | |
17 | Oakland Raiders | 16.7 | |
18 | Chicago Bears | 17.3 | |
19 | Buffalo Bills | 17.7 | |
20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 18.7 | |
21 | Phildelphia Eagles | 22.7 | |
22 | Washington | 23.0 | |
23 | New York Giants | 23.7 | |
24 | San Francisco 49ers | 24.0 | |
25 | Atlanta Falcons | 24.0 | |
26 | Miami Dolphins | 25.0 | |
27 | Dallas Cowboys | 25.0 | |
28 | Tennessee Titans | 26.3 | |
29 | San Diego Chargers | 27.7 | |
30 | Cleveland Browns | 29.0 | |
31 | New Orleans Saints | 29.3 | |
32 | Indianapolis Colts | 31.0 |
Some notes:
- The Panthers, on the strength of Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis, were a unanimous No. 1 selection.
- You have to think the Packers would be higher on this list if we knew Clay Matthews was going to be rushing the passer from his outside linebacker spot rather than playing inside.
- The Bears were ranked as high as No. 5 and as low as No. 31. They were a very volatile team at pretty much every position.
- The Colts received only votes as No. 30, 31, or 32.
- Cleveland, which finished 30th, is in pretty decent position to take someone like Myles Jack after trading down to No. 8.
Defensive backs
Defensive Back Rankings | |||
RANK | TEAM | EOF AVERAGE | |
1 | Seattle Seahawks | 1.7 | |
2 | Denver Broncos | 1.7 | |
3 | Arizona Cardinals | 3.7 | |
4 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4.0 | |
5 | Green Bay Packers | 6.0 | |
6 | New York Jets | 6.7 | |
7 | Cincinnati Bengals | 7.7 | |
8 | Houston Texans | 7.7 | |
9 | Carolina Panthers | 11.7 | |
10 | New England Patriots | 12.3 | |
11 | Oakland Raiders | 12.7 | |
12 | Minnesota Vikings | 13.0 | |
13 | Philadelphia Eagles | 13.3 | |
14 | Atlanta Falcons | 13.7 | |
15 | Los Angeles Rams | 14.0 | |
16 | Buffalo Bills | 15.3 | |
17 | Washington | 16.3 | |
18 | Indianapolis Colts | 17.0 | |
19 | Detroit Lions | 18.3 | |
20 | Dallas Cowboys | 20.0 | |
21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20.7 | |
22 | New York Giants | 21.3 | |
23 | Tennessee Titans | 23.0 | |
24 | Chicago Bears | 24.0 | |
25 | Miami Dolphins | 25.3 | |
26 | San Francisco 49ers | 26.3 | |
27 | Baltimore Ravens | 26.7 | |
28 | San Diego Chargers | 27.0 | |
29 | Cleveland Browns | 28.0 | |
30 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 28.3 | |
31 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 29.0 | |
32 | New Orleans Saints | 32.0 |
Some notes:
- Despite jettisoning Brandon Browner, the Saints unanimously finished last in the DB rankings.
- How the Cowboys are up at No. 20 is beyond my personal comprehension.
- The Seahawks, Broncos, Cardinals, and Chiefs were all in the top five of every ranking.
- San Diego, at No. 28, can address the secondary early by taking Florida State's Jalen Ramsey.
- These rankings were compiled before Carolina rescinded its franchise tag offer to Josh Norman and before Norman signed with Washington. I'd slot Washington near the top 10 with Norman aboard and place Carolina in the 18-22 range.
After all that, we can identify which position group is the biggest area of need for each team by taking their lowest ranking, as well as the "strength" of that need by showing you their average ranking in that specific category. Here's the full list:
Team Needs (Alphabetical Order) | |||
RANK | TEAM | Biggest Need | |
1 | Arizona Cardinals | RB (7.8) | |
2 | Atlanta Falcons | LB (25.0) | |
3 | Baltimore Ravens | WR/TE (26.8) | |
4 | Buffalo Bills | DL (23.7) | |
5 | Carolina Panthers | WR/TE (12.3) | |
6 | Chicago Bears | DL (25.0) | |
7 | Cincinnati Bengals | WR/TE (10.8) | |
8 | Cleveland Browns | DL (30.7) | |
9 | Dallas Cowboys | DL/LB (26.0) | |
10 | Denver Broncos | QB (30.8) | |
11 | Detroit Lions | OL (25.0) | |
12 | Green Bay Packers | DL (15.7) | |
13 | Houston Texans | QB (27.8) | |
14 | Indianapolis Colts | LB (31.0) | |
15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | DB (29.0) | |
16 | Kansas City Chiefs | WR/TE (20.3) | |
17 | Los Angeles Rams | WR/TE (31.0) | |
18 | Miami Dolphins | RB (28.0) | |
19 | Minnesota Vikings | WR/TE (23.5) | |
20 | New England Patriots | DL (18.0) | |
21 | New Orleans Saints | DB (32.0) | |
22 | New York Giants | LB (23.7) | |
23 | New York Jets | QB (27.6) | |
24 | Oakland Raiders | RB (18.8) | |
25 | Philadelphia Eagles | OL (25.3) | |
26 | Pittsburgh Steelers | DB (28.3) | |
27 | San Diego Chargers | RB/OL (30.0) | |
28 | Seattle Seahawks | OL (17.0) | |
29 | San Francisco 49ers | WR/TE (31.3) | |
30 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | DB (20.7) | |
31 | Tennessee Titans | WR/TE (28.0) | |
32 | Washington | RB (29.4) |
Some notes:
- Some of these "needs" are things that aren't really needs at all, just the position group that teams happened to rank lowest in. Nobody thinkts the Cardinals are in need of a running back, for example.
- The Cardinals, Panthers, Bengals, Packers, Patriots, Raiders, and Seahawks did not rank in the 20s or 30s in any of the position groups. The Cardinals ranked in the top 10 in every single position group.
- The Cowboys (DL/LB) and Chargers (RB/OL) each had two position groups qualify as their biggest need, but the Chargers just drafted a running back (Melvin Gordon) in the first round last year, so they seem more likely to address the offensive line early in the draft. Dallas could be in position to address either of its biggest needs early on, especially if the Chargers opt for Laremy Tunsil at No. 3.
- Comparing these needs to the mock drafts on CBSSports.com can be useful as well. The Bucs are unanimously taking a defensive back (Vernon Hargeaves III) in all five mocks, which matches up with their biggest need here. The Vikings are unanimously expected to take a wide receiver, as are the Bengals. The Packers select a defensive lineman in all five. The Chargers grab an offensive lineman (Tunsil) in four of five mocks, and so do the Seahawks. The Falcons take a linebacker in three of five, while the same is true of the Bills with a defensive lineman and the Broncos with a quarterback.