You don't want to make too much out of three weeks of football. That small of a sample size can be altered by one huge play or one great matchup. But it's still worth saying: Jayden Daniels looks exactly like the type of quarterback who could break Fantasy Football leagues.
Through his first three NFL games Daniels is tied for QB2 in total Fantasy points, leads the NFL in completion percentage, and run 38 times, more than any other quarterback in Fantasy Football. He's also averaging 8.7 yards per pass attempt which ranks fifth in the entire NFL. Did I mention this is all happening in his first three NFL starts?
Daniels is averaging 24.6 FPPG and he only has two passing touchdowns on 76 pass attempts. In other words, his upside is higher than what we have seen through three weeks. While I still have concerns about Daniels injury risk at his size, I am not looking to sell high after three weeks unless I can deal him for one of the top four quarterbacks from the preseason. And full disclosure, there's a chance you deal him for Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes right now and regret it at the end of the season.
Let's get to the rest of the preview:
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12.5% -- 12.5% of Jalen Hurts throws have been turnover-worthy, the highest mark in the league.
33.3% -- Deshaun Watson has been pressured on a third of his dropbacks. Only Daniel Jones and Hurts have been pressured at a higher rate.
3.3% -- Amongst QBs with more than 1,800 career pass attempts, only Rodney Peete, Joey Harrington, Chad Henne, David Carr, and Rick Mirer have a lower passing TD rate than Trevor Lawrence.
Whether you want to give the credit to Darnold, Kevin O'Connell, or Justin Jefferson it doesn't really matter. What matters is that the Vikings pass game hasn't missed a beat. Darnold leads the NFL with eight touchdown passes and avergaes an elite 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Low volume is the only thing that has held him back and against the Packers that may not be a concern because the Vikings are underdogs in Week 4. Hopefully, Darnold treats us better than Derek Carr did.
The Colts have had one of the worst run defenses in the league and Fields is averaging nearly 10 rush attempts per game. He also looks improved as a passer and the Colts defense hasn't been great in that regard either. Any thought of Russell Wilson taking this job back seems to be gone for now and Fields should be a borderline starter or better rest of season.
If I'm carrying a second QB I want it to be one with upside. Watson still has plenty of that despite how awful he and the Browns offensive line as been this season. It's possible the team that was just carved up by Andy Dalton paves the way for Watson to get back on track. I'd like to hold him just in case.
The Cardinals and the Commanders game has the highest over/under on the Sunday slate. Daniels has been significantly better on a per game basis, but he is cheaper than Murray in DFS. That should make Daniels the chalk play on the slate and he's certainly my top value on a per dollar basis. I don't mind eating this chalk in DFS, stack the entire game and find something contrarian somewhere else on the slate.
IND
Indianapolis
• #5
Age: 22
• Experience: 2 yrs.
I am going right back to this well against an exceptional Steelers defense. If a quarterback is going to get over on them, it will be a guy like Richardson. With his upside and a low projected roster rate, that makes him a great tournament play. His play has been wildly inconsistent, but the running ability and cannon for an arm make him a high-upside play against any defense. I also like what his recent play has done to his price tag.
QB Preview
Heath's projections
My full set of Week 4 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 4. Projected stats for all starting running backs are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.
