If you started Baker Mayfield last week, I'm sorry. You should definitely start Mayfield again this week. 

His Week 12 performance was one of the unluckiest I can remember. He completed 24 of 30 passes for 294 yards, took zero sacks and threw zero interceptions, led his team to a 30-7 victory, even ran for a score, and scored just 17 Fantasy points. The Buccaneers ran for four touchdowns, and he threw for zero. Mayfield lost a fumble on an aborted snap. And I'm going right back to him. 

The Buccaneers QB still ranks third in Fantasy points and passing touchdowns and seventh in passing yards this season. He's facing a Carolina defense that has allowed the sixth-most Fantasy points to QBs and just allowed Patrick Mahomes to score 34 Fantasy points.

Even with no teams on a bye, even after a game when he didn't throw a TD pass, Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow are the only QBs I would start over Mayfield in Week 13.

Let's get to the rest of the preview:

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Week 13 QB Preview

Numbers to Know
Matchups That Matter
Waiver Wire Targets
DFS Plays
Projections
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Numbers to know
  • 27 -- As of Tuesday morning, the forecast calls for 27 degrees and dropping in Green Bay on Thursday night. That may not sound that bad to you, but as someone who lives in South Florida, I can promise you the Dolphins are going to feel it.
  • 3 -- Jordan Love has thrown three touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last four games combined.
  • 25.6 -- Since Patrick Mahomes joined the Chiefs, he's averaging 25.6 FPPG, which makes him QB5 over that stretch.
  • 33.7% -- More than a third of Will Levis' pressures have turned into sacks, the worst mark in the league.
  • 103 -- Caleb Williams has rushed for 103 yards in two games, with Thomas Brown calling plays. He was averaging 26 rushing yards per game before Brown took over.
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Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Patrick Mahomes QB
KC Kansas City • #15
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LV KC -12.5 O/U 42.5

OPP VS QB

25th

PROJ PTS

25.5

QB RNK

8th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2673

RUYDS

227

TD

19

INT

11

FPTS/G

20.2
Baker Mayfield QB
TB Tampa Bay • #6
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ CAR TB -6 O/U 46.5

OPP VS QB

27th

PROJ PTS

24.1

QB RNK

6th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2799

RUYDS

221

TD

27

INT

9

FPTS/G

25.3
Jared Goff QB
DET Detroit • #16
Age: 30 • Experience: 9 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs CHI DET -10.5 O/U 48.5

OPP VS QB

2nd

PROJ PTS

21.7

QB RNK

10th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2761

RUYDS

39

TD

21

INT

9

FPTS/G

20.4
C.J. Stroud QB
HOU Houston • #7
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ JAC HOU -5 O/U 43

OPP VS QB

32nd

PROJ PTS

19.4

QB RNK

19th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2875

RUYDS

192

TD

14

INT

9

FPTS/G

16.2
Kyler Murray QB
ARI Arizona • #1
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ MIN MIN -3.5 O/U 45

OPP VS QB

13th

PROJ PTS

18.6

QB RNK

15th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

2343

RUYDS

380

TD

16

INT

4

FPTS/G

19.4
Anthony Richardson QB
IND Indianapolis • #5
Age: 22 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NE IND -2.5 O/U 42.5

OPP VS QB

23rd

PROJ PTS

16.4

QB RNK

13th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1402

RUYDS

335

TD

8

INT

7

FPTS/G

14.6
Geno Smith QB
SEA Seattle • #7
Age: 34 • Experience: 12 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NYJ SEA -2 O/U 41.5

OPP VS QB

11th

PROJ PTS

15.9

QB RNK

17th

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3035

RUYDS

224

TD

14

INT

12

FPTS/G

18.5
Jameis Winston QB
CLE Cleveland • #5
Age: 30 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ DEN DEN -5.5 O/U 42

OPP VS QB

5th

PROJ PTS

14

QB RNK

23rd

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1266

RUYDS

46

TD

8

INT

4

FPTS/G

10.8
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Adds/Streamers (QB Preview)
Derek Carr QB
NO New Orleans • #4
Age: 33 • Experience: 11 year

Weekly Breakdown

vs LAR LAR -3 O/U 49

OPP VS QB

16th

QB RNK

21st

ROSTERED

46%

YTD Stats

PAYDS

1742

RUYDS

47

TD

14

INT

4

FPTS/G

18.8
With no one on a bye, I hope you don't need a streaming option this week. If you do, Carr is a pretty good option. The Saints are coming off their bye playing a Rams defense that was just physically handled by the Eagles. Carr has multiple touchdown passes in three of his last four games, and the Rams have allowed three of the last QBs they've faced to score at least 21 Fantasy points.
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DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Joe Burrow QB
CIN Cincinnati • #9
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs PIT CIN -2.5 O/U 47

OPP VS QB

1st

PROJ PTS

25.2

QB RNK

3rd

YTD Stats

PAYDS

3028

RUYDS

151

TD

28

INT

4

FPTS/G

26.7
Burrow is my number two QB this week, and he's not priced as a top-five option. He has 15 touchdown passes in the six games that both Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have played, and he's topped 300 yards in half of those games.
Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
Anthony Richardson QB
IND Indianapolis • #5
Age: 22 • Experience: 2 yrs.
There is no more boom or bust QB than Anthony Richardson. He seemingly scores 29 or more or single digits almost every time out. I'm betting on a boom against a New England defense that just allowed Tua Tagovailoa to have his best game of the season.
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Heath's projections

My full set of Week 13 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 13. Projected stats for all starting running backs are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.