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This feels like a good week for Justin Jefferson to break out of his slump. He has a great matchup against Washington in Week 14, and Jefferson is due for a big game. But can we trust him?

The problem, as we're well aware, is the quarterback play for the Vikings, and J.J. McCarthy is back after missing Week 12 at Seattle with a concussion. Max Brosmer started against the Seahawks, and it was a disaster, including Jefferson being limited to two catches for a career-low 4 yards on six targets.

Jefferson has now scored 11.1 PPR points or less in four games in a row, and he only has two touchdowns on the season. He's still getting plenty of chances with at least six targets in every game this season, but they haven't been quality targets from McCarthy.

The best thing to do is treat Jefferson as a low-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver, but hopefully, he can perform well against the Commanders, who are No. 5 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers. There have been 13 receivers with at least 12.1 PPR points against Washington, and I hope Jefferson reaches at least that level of production.

We're clearly used to more from Jefferson, but this has been a down season because of poor quarterback play. He can still turn things around, starting this week, but just keep expectations in check for Jefferson until McCarthy starts to play better for the Vikings -- if that's possible.

WRs to Start
Projections powered by Sportsline
DET Detroit • #1
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DAL DET -3 O/U 54.5
OPP VS WR
32nd
PROJ PTS
15.6
WR RNK
7th
YTD Stats
REC
38
TAR
63
REYDS
706
TD
6
FPTS/G
12.2
Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) isn't expected to play in Week 14 against Dallas, which makes Williams a must-start Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues. St. Brown left Week 13 against Green Bay, and Williams took off with seven catches for 144 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. He's now scored at least 16.6 PPR points in four of his past five games, and I would start him against the Cowboys even if St. Brown was healthy. Dallas is No. 1 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, and 15 guys have scored at least 12 PPR points against the Cowboys this season. Isaac TeSlaa should be considered a sleeper with St. Brown injured, and TeSlaa scored a touchdown against the Packers after St. Brown left the game.
ARI Arizona • #14
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LAR LAR -8.5 O/U 47.5
OPP VS WR
18th
PROJ PTS
12
WR RNK
9th
YTD Stats
REC
50
TAR
78
REYDS
570
TD
1
FPTS/G
9.4
We're not expecting Marvin Harrison Jr. (heel) to play in Week 14 against the Rams, which should allow Wilson the chance to play at a high level again, like we saw in the two games Harrison missed with an illness. In those two outings against San Francisco in Week 11 and Jacksonville in Week 12, Wilson combined for 33 targets for 25 catches and 303 yards, and he scored at least 21.8 PPR points in each contest. I'd lower expectations for him against the Rams, but they have allowed 11 receivers this season to score at least 12.3 PPR points, including at least one in four games in a row. Wilson should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy receiver in all formats if Harrison is out, and Greg Dortch should be considered a sleeper. In two games without Harrison, Dortch had 12 catches for 119 yards and two touchdowns on 15 targets, and he scored at least 16.8 PPR points in each outing
DEN Denver • #14
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ LV DEN -7.5 O/U 40.5
OPP VS WR
26th
PROJ PTS
13.5
WR RNK
18th
YTD Stats
REC
50
TAR
80
REYDS
711
TD
5
FPTS/G
12.8
Sutton got back on track in Week 13 at Washington with five catches for 62 yards and a touchdown on six targets, and hopefully he can stay hot at Las Vegas in Week 14. He only had three catches for 24 yards on four targets in Week 10 against the Raiders, but Las Vegas is No. 7 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers. For the season, 12 receivers have scored at least 13.9 PPR points against the Raiders, and Sutton had eight catches for 97 yards and two touchdowns on 10 targets at Las Vegas in Week 12 last year. He's worth using as a No. 2 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues.
GB Green Bay • #9
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs CHI GB -6.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS WR
24th
PROJ PTS
10.7
WR RNK
19th
YTD Stats
REC
21
TAR
34
REYDS
363
TD
3
FPTS/G
12.6
Watson has 17 targets in his past two games against Minnesota and Detroit, and he took off against the Lions with four catches for 80 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. He's now scored at least 18.3 PPR points in two of his past three games, and he's worth using as a No. 2 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues in Week 14 against Chicago. The Bears are No. 9 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, and 14 guys have scored at least 12.2 PPR points against Chicago this season, including one in each of the past two games against Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. This game might have extra meaning for Watson since he tore his ACL against the Bears in Week 18 last year, and hopefully, he can have a memorable performance in this matchup.
JAC Jacksonville • #3
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs IND IND -1.5 O/U 47.5
OPP VS WR
25th
PROJ PTS
12
WR RNK
22nd
YTD Stats
REC
51
TAR
70
REYDS
597
TD
2
FPTS/G
11.2
It seems like Meyers is starting to get comfortable in Jacksonville, with at least 11.4 PPR points in three games in a row, including his past two outings against the Cardinals and Titans with at least 15 PPR points. Parker Washington (hip) could miss this game against the Colts, who are No. 8 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, and won't have Sauce Gardner (calf) in this matchup. For the season, 12 receivers have scored at least 12.9 PPR points against Indianapolis, which could hopefully help Brian Thomas Jr. this week. Thomas returned from a three-game absence with an ankle injury in Week 13 at Tennessee and had two catches for 28 yards on three targets, and he only has two games this season with more than 10.6 PPR points. Despite the good matchup, Thomas is only worth starting in three-receiver leagues in Week 14.
Sleepers (Start/Sit)
Projections powered by Sportsline
IND Indianapolis • #14
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Pierce had another solid game in Week 13 against Houston with four catches for 78 yards and a touchdown on five targets, and he has now scored at least 17.5 PPR points in three of his past four games. The Texans matchup was tough, but the Jaguars matchup is easier since Jacksonville has allowed 11 receivers to score at least 12 PPR points this season. I like Michael Pittman as a No. 2 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues, and he has scored at least 13.7 PPR points in four of his past six games. But Pierce is also worth using as a No. 2 Fantasy receiver in all leagues in Week 14 as well, given the matchup.
BAL Baltimore • #4
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
I wish we could call Flowers a must-start Fantasy option, but he should be considered a low-end starter at best in the majority of two-receiver leagues heading into Week 14 against Pittsburgh. He hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 1, and he's been held to 11.9 PPR points or less in three games in a row, including 0.6 PPR points in Week 13 against Cincinnati. Now, he had a touchdown called back against the Bengals on a questionable offensive pass interference call, and this is a great matchup against the Steelers, who are No. 2 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers. For the season, 14 receivers have scored at least 12.5 PPR points against Pittsburgh, and I'm hopeful Flowers will get to that level of production in Week 14.
HOU Houston • #81
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
Higgins should be considered a solid No. 3 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues in Week 14 at the Chiefs. He's scored at least 11.5 PPR points in four of his past six games, with two touchdowns over that span, and he has at least seven targets in three of his past four outings. Kansas City has allowed five receivers in the past three games to score at least 12.4 PPR points, including a pair of teammates from Denver in Week 11 (Pat Bryant and Troy Franklin) and Dallas in Week 13 (CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens). That bodes well for Higgins playing well opposite Nico Collins in Week 14.
NYJ N.Y. Jets • #15
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
I'll take the chance on Mitchell as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues in Week 14 against Miami with the hope that his production in Week 13 against Atlanta is a sign of things to come. He had eight catches for 102 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets against the Falcons, and he scored 24.2 PPR points. Mitchell now has 25 targets in three games with the Jets, but keep in mind that prior to facing Atlanta, Mitchell combined for three catches for 52 yards. The Dolphins have allowed six receivers to score at least 11.4 PPR points in their past four games, with five touchdowns over that span, and Mitchell will hopefully continue to see plenty of targets from Tyrod Taylor in this matchup.
NO New Orleans • #14
Age: 27 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Vele is worth using as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues in Week 14 at Tampa Bay, with the hope that his production in Week 13 against Miami is a sign of things to come. He had eight catches for 93 yards and a touchdown on eight targets against the Dolphins, and he scored 23.3 PPR points. Vele now has 15 targets in his past two games, and he should continue to be a go-to option for Tyler Shough against the Buccaneers. For the season, Tampa Bay has allowed 16 receivers to score at least 12.9 PPR points, including a pair of teammates from Seattle in Week 5 (Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Tory Horton), the Rams in Week 12 (Davante Adams and Puka Nacua), and even New Orleans in Week 10 (Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave). This week, it will hopefully be Olave and Vele posting positive production against this defense.
WRs to Sit
Projections powered by Sportsline
PIT Pittsburgh • #4
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ BAL BAL -6 O/U 42.5
OPP VS WR
23rd
PROJ PTS
10.4
WR RNK
30th
YTD Stats
REC
33
TAR
59
REYDS
689
TD
2
FPTS/G
11.4
Metcalf had another disappointing game in Week 13 against Buffalo with three catches for 32 yards on five targets, and he's now scored 9.9 PPR points or less in four of his past five games. He's also gone four games in a row without a receiving touchdown, and he has fewer than 50 receiving yards in each game over that span. The Ravens are actually a favorable matchup since Baltimore is No. 10 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, but Metcalf is only worth using as a low-end starting option in three-receiver leagues.
LAC L.A. Chargers • #1
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs PHI PHI -3 O/U 40.5
OPP VS WR
16th
PROJ PTS
9.1
WR RNK
35th
Johnston scored a touchdown in Week 13 against Las Vegas, but he finished with three catches for 23 yards on three targets. He's been held to fewer than 55 receiving yards in seven games in a row, and he has three targets or less in three of his past five outings. Justin Herbert (hand) is attempting to play in this game after having surgery Monday, and the Eagles defense will make things tough on this offensive line. I would only use Johnston as a low-end starting option in three-receiver leagues in Week 14.
WAS Washington • #1
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ MIN MIN -2 O/U 42.5
OPP VS WR
2nd
PROJ PTS
11.3
WR RNK
27th
YTD Stats
REC
32
TAR
50
REYDS
359
TD
4
FPTS/G
7.7
Samuel had a respectable 11.1 PPR points in Week 13 against Denver with five catches for 64 yards on seven targets, but he was overshadowed by Terry McLaurin, who returned from his three-game absence with a quadriceps injury and had seven catches for 96 yards and a touchdown on 14 targets for 22.6 PPR points. Samuel has now scored 11.1 PPR points or less in his past three games with McLaurin, and this is a tough matchup for both receivers in Week 14 against the Vikings, who are No. 2 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers. Minnesota has not allowed a receiver to score double digits in PPR in three games in a row against Chicago, Green Bay, and Seattle, and no receiver has scored a touchdown against the Vikings in their past four games. I'll still use McLaurin as a low-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues, but Samuel is only worth starting in three-receiver leagues.
KC Kansas City • #1
Age: 22 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs HOU KC -3.5 O/U 42
OPP VS WR
9th
PROJ PTS
8.2
WR RNK
33rd
YTD Stats
REC
35
TAR
59
REYDS
401
TD
1
FPTS/G
9
I thought Worthy had the chance to play well in Week 13 at Dallas, and he scored 11.4 PPR points. That was his best performance since Week 4, but clearly, it's tough to trust Worthy in the majority of leagues heading into Week 14 against Houston. The Texans are No. 3 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, and only six guys have scored more than 12 PPR points against Houston this season. Worthy only has one touchdown on the year, and the Chiefs are dealing with several key injuries on their offensive line. Worthy is barely worth using in three-receiver leagues in Week 14.
Bust Alert (Start/Sit)
Projections powered by Sportsline
CHI Chicago • #15
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ GB GB -6.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS WR
13th
PROJ PTS
10.2
WR RNK
24th
Odunze is struggling heading into Week 14 at Green Bay, and he's only worth starting in three-receiver leagues. He has scored 8.3 PPR points or less in four of his past five games, including three in a row, and it's not for a lack of targets. Odunze has at least six targets in each of his past three games, but he's just not connecting with Caleb Williams. The run game has also been dominant for the Bears, and Odunze has a difficult matchup against the Packers, who have allowed just five touchdowns to receivers in their past six games. And only seven receivers have scored more than 12 PPR points against Green Bay this season. I still consider Odunze a low-end starter in two-receiver leagues, but it's hard to expect a dominant outing from him given his recent level of play.