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Dave Richard's running back tiers 2.0: Christian McCaffrey returns to Tier 1

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We've seen the running back position come back to high-stat glory over the past two seasons. Teams have adjusted to defenses playing their safeties back by running the ball more. And maybe a few more teams have utilized their RBs in the passing game than we're used to seeing. Plus, when teams do throw, they're diversifying their passing games more and more, taking down the number of crazy-high volume receivers with it.

All of that has pushed RBs to the popular position it's in. Last year's top-12 running backs averaged a crazy-high 16.6 half-PPR points, up from a still-crazy 16.1 in 2024. But that can be broken down into three groups -- you could even call them tiers: Five running backs averaged over 18 half-PPR points, two others were between 16 and 17 half-PPR points per game, and the last five averaged north of 14.0. 

You should think of early-round RBs similarly: The Round 1 guys should carry 18-plus half-PPR potential, the Round 1-2 guys closer to 15-to-17, and the late Round 2 between 14 and 15 half-PPR per game. If you don't think a certain running back can do that, don't draft him, at least not early.

I definitely recommend getting at least one running back with one of your first two picks, two within your first four picks, and as many as four total within your first seven picks. I do not recommend going Zero RB this year and giving too much of a positional advantage to the rest of your league. The more shots you take at getting a running back who can produce points, the better your chances of galloping to Fantasy playoff glory.

Some positional notes:

  • Five of the seven running backs with 50-plus receptions last year finished in the top 10.
  • All of the top-12 running backs that played 10-plus games had at least 10 total touchdowns.
  • The running back with the longest active streak of consecutive seasons with 15-plus half-PPR points per game is De'Von Achane (three seasons). Gibbs and Robinson will attempt to best that in 2026 after having at least 18 half-PPR points each in their past two years. Jonathan Taylor and Kyren Williams each have 14-plus in three straight seasons. Saquon Barkley has 13-plus half-PPR points in four straight seasons.
  • One other noteworthy streak: Christian McCaffrey has at least 18.5 half-PPR points per game in each of his past five seasons when he's played at least 11 games.
  • Between five and seven of the top 12 running backs in each of 2022-25 were on playoff teams. 
  • Between seven and eight of the top 12 running backs in 2021-22 and 2024-25 were also in the top 12 the previous year (only four repeated from 2023 to 2024). Historically, not a lot of turnover there. 

Tier 1

Round 1 in half-PPR

DET Detroit
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1223
REC
77
REYDS
616
TD
18
FPTS/G
19.3
ATL Atlanta • #7
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1478
REC
79
REYDS
820
TD
11
FPTS/G
19.5
IND Indianapolis • #28
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1585
REC
46
REYDS
378
TD
20
FPTS/G
20.0
SF San Francisco • #23
Age: 30 • Experience: 10 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1202
REC
102
REYDS
924
TD
17
FPTS/G
21.5
CIN Cincinnati • #30
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1019
REC
69
REYDS
437
TD
11
FPTS/G
14.6
BUF Buffalo • #4
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1621
REC
33
REYDS
291
TD
14
FPTS/G
16.8


Pretty self-explanatory group of mega-stud running backs worth a first-round pick. All of them have the potential for 18-plus half-PPR points per game. Maybe there's an argument that Chase Brown doesn't belong, but he has not only been solid in each of his past two seasons (at least 14 half-PPR points per game in each), but he has also shown flashes of being a monster close to the level of Robinson and Gibbs when the Bengals have given him a lot of work. That's in play this season, given the lack of running back improvements they made this offseason.

Tier 2

Round 2 in half-PPR

LAC L.A. Chargers • #8
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
545
REC
32
REYDS
192
TD
5
FPTS/G
13.3
LV Las Vegas • #2
Age: 22 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
975
REC
55
REYDS
346
TD
10
FPTS/G
12.8
MIA Miami • #28
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1350
REC
67
REYDS
488
TD
12
FPTS/G
18.1
BAL Baltimore • #22
Age: 32 • Experience: 11 year
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1595
REC
15
REYDS
150
TD
16
FPTS/G
16.0
PHI Philadelphia • #26
Age: 29 • Experience: 9 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1140
REC
37
REYDS
273
TD
9
FPTS/G
13.4
KC Kansas City • #9
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1027
REC
31
REYDS
282
TD
5
FPTS/G
10.4

Don't be surprised to see Achane or Henry taken closer to the names in the first tier. However, both carry concerns that shouldn't be overlooked: Achane figures to see a decline in both targets and touchdowns given the changes around the Dolphins offense, and Henry isn't fighting age as much as a track record of declining numbers when the Ravens are trailing, plus the Ravens' new offensive system could mean changes to how much they actually run the ball. Walker III has disappointed us so many times before, and Chiefs running backs have disappointed us for much of this decade, but there's something about an explosive back like Walker getting schemed up in an Andy Reid offense that desperately needs a rushing presence that should get Fantasy managers pretty excited. 

This is a good group to expect at least 15 half-PPR points per game from.

Tier 3

Round 3 in half-PPR

GB Green Bay • #8
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
929
REC
36
REYDS
282
TD
14
FPTS/G
14.6
DAL Dallas • #33
Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1201
REC
35
REYDS
137
TD
13
FPTS/G
14.1
LAR L.A. Rams • #23
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1252
REC
36
REYDS
281
TD
13
FPTS/G
14.4
NYG N.Y. Giants • #44
Age: 24 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
410
REC
24
REYDS
207
TD
7
FPTS/G
14.5
ARI Arizona • #4
Age: 21 • Experience: Rookie

You might expect some of these names to slip into the back of Round 2 in half-PPR drafts -- Walker, especially since there's a lot of excitement about his potential in Kansas City. Jacobs would absolutely be in the second tier if his off-field issues were non-existent. The rest of the names carry at least mild risk due to injuries, splitting with another running back, a fall-off in performance, or all of the above. And yet you could argue they're a notch better than anyone else in the tiers after them.

I don't think it's a mistake to expect at least 13.5 half-PPR points per game from this tier.

Tier 4

Rounds 4-5 in half-PPR

NO New Orleans • #3
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1107
REC
36
REYDS
292
TD
13
FPTS/G
14.9
CLE Cleveland • #10
Age: 22 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
827
REC
26
REYDS
171
TD
7
FPTS/G
11.2
NYJ N.Y. Jets • #20
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1065
REC
36
REYDS
350
TD
6
FPTS/G
11.9
CHI Chicago • #4
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1087
REC
34
REYDS
299
TD
10
FPTS/G
13.2
TB Tampa Bay • #7
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
588
REC
30
REYDS
277
TD
4
FPTS/G
12.4

It's notable that a tier of five players is expected to last two rounds. That speaks to the limited supply of decent-enough No. 2 running backs. 

Etienne should be the primary back for a potent Saints offense. We know Judkins can be a workhorse in Cleveland, and while it's been a few years since we've seen Hall average over 13.5 half-PPR points per game, there is a fair argument to make that he can get there again. 

After those three, there are some questions. Swift is expected to significantly split with Kyle Monangai (who's going several rounds later), and Irving also has great upside but will split with potentially two backs (both of whom are going several rounds later).

Every RB in this tier will be gone by the end of Round 5, if not the middle, and all have a profile that offers at least 12.5 half-PPR points per game.

Tier 5

Rounds 6-7 in half-PPR

JAC Jacksonville • #33
Age: 24 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
307
REC
10
REYDS
79
TD
7
FPTS/G
5.6
HOU Houston • #32
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
716
REC
24
REYDS
192
TD
9
FPTS/G
9.9
SEA Seattle • #8
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
NE New England • #32
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
911
REC
35
REYDS
221
TD
10
FPTS/G
11.1
TEN Tennessee • #20
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1082
REC
33
REYDS
206
TD
5
FPTS/G
10.0
PIT Pittsburgh • #30
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
958
REC
40
REYDS
333
TD
8
FPTS/G
12.3

This feels like the last tier where you might pull a reliable starter. The current odds-on favorites to be the lead backs in Seattle, Jacksonville, Tennessee and Pittsburgh are all here, though if it were certain any one of them would be both the lead back and really good, they'd be higher. And then there's Henderson, who has top 5 upside but figures to have his touches limited (and his backfield mate is also going a few rounds later). 

You're hoping for these guys to at least hold down an 11 half-PPR average -- Warren hit 12.3 last year and was the only one of the group to get at least 11.2.

Tier 6

Round 8 in half-PPR

CAR Carolina • #30
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
511
REC
30
REYDS
223
TD
4
FPTS/G
7.4
WAS Washington • #22
Age: 25 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
805
REC
9
REYDS
68
TD
8
FPTS/G
8.0
NE New England • #38
Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
603
REC
32
REYDS
345
TD
9
FPTS/G
11.6
PIT Pittsburgh • #13
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1076
REC
39
REYDS
297
TD
7
FPTS/G
11.6
CAR Carolina • #25
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.


Tier 7

Rounds 9-11 in half-PPR

DEN Denver • #27
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
772
REC
11
REYDS
37
TD
4
FPTS/G
11.6
MIN Minnesota • #27
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
758
REC
14
REYDS
51
TD
6
FPTS/G
7.6
WAS Washington • #1
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
572
REC
40
REYDS
218
TD
4
FPTS/G
7.2
LAR L.A. Rams • #24
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
746
REC
8
REYDS
36
TD
6
FPTS/G
7.0
CHI Chicago • #25
Age: 24 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
783
REC
18
REYDS
164
TD
5
FPTS/G
8.1
DEN Denver • #12
Age: 25 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
540
REC
47
REYDS
356
TD
12
FPTS/G
12.2
TB Tampa Bay • #1
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
537
REC
73
REYDS
486
TD
8
FPTS/G
10.9
JAC Jacksonville • #24
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
500
REC
3
REYDS
30
TD
6
FPTS/G
7.0
NYG N.Y. Giants • #29
Age: 26 • Experience: 3 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
740
REC
36
REYDS
288
TD
4
FPTS/G
9.5
SEA Seattle • #26
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
730
REC
20
REYDS
144
TD
12
FPTS/G
10.7
DEN Denver • #20
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
MIN Minnesota • #33
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
548
REC
28
REYDS
199
TD
3
FPTS/G
9.9


Tier 8

Rounds 12+ in half-PPR (and pretty much any format)

DET Detroit • #10
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
462
REC
19
REYDS
101
TD
2
FPTS/G
6.0
HOU Houston • #4
Age: 25 • Experience: 2 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
703
REC
24
REYDS
208
TD
5
FPTS/G
8.7
ARI Arizona • #22
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
514
REC
14
REYDS
96
TD
8
FPTS/G
6.8
GB Green Bay • #32
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
ATL Atlanta • #15
Age: 27 • Experience: 3 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
400
REC
8
REYDS
25
TD
2
FPTS/G
3.4
SF San Francisco • #26
Age: 24 • Experience: Rookie
BUF Buffalo • #7
Age: 26 • Experience: 3 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
275
REC
10
REYDS
86
TD
2
FPTS/G
3.5
LAC L.A. Chargers • #34
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
341
REC
9
REYDS
63
TD
1
FPTS/G
4.3
NO New Orleans • #41
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
471
REC
33
REYDS
186
TD
1
FPTS/G
7.7
ARI Arizona • #6
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.
2025 Stats
RUYDS
95
REC
8
REYDS
38
TD
2
FPTS/G
11.1
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